中國(guó)森林碳匯價(jià)值核算研究
發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-03-31 21:55
本文選題:中國(guó) 切入點(diǎn):森林碳匯 出處:《北京林業(yè)大學(xué)學(xué)報(bào)》2013年06期
【摘要】:為了更好地評(píng)估我國(guó)森林碳匯對(duì)氣候變化的影響和對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的貢獻(xiàn),促進(jìn)碳匯市場(chǎng)的發(fā)展,采用國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)核算(SNA)的方法,根據(jù)最新的森林資源清查數(shù)據(jù),對(duì)2003—2008年的森林碳匯進(jìn)行了核算研究。結(jié)果表明,2003—2008年,我國(guó)森林碳儲(chǔ)量、碳匯量是增加的,二者年均增長(zhǎng)3.55%左右。在價(jià)值核算上,2003年我國(guó)森林碳儲(chǔ)量?jī)r(jià)值為7 291.85億元,2008年為7 286.30億元,年均減少約0.015%。2003、2008年森林碳匯價(jià)值量分別為258.67億和258.51億元,年均減少0.034%,這主要是由于森林碳匯價(jià)格下降引起的。另外,2003年我國(guó)森林碳匯總產(chǎn)值約占林業(yè)總產(chǎn)值的4.41%,2008年約占林業(yè)總產(chǎn)值的1.79%。2003—2008年,森林碳匯的eaGDP(environment adjusted GDP)增長(zhǎng)速度為17.21%,超過(guò)了同期GDP的平均增長(zhǎng)速度(9.5%),但在此期間,森林碳存量?jī)r(jià)值、流量?jī)r(jià)值均有所下降。研究也表明,我國(guó)森林碳匯對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)的影響尤其是對(duì)GDP的影響大約在0.1%~0.2%之間,其經(jīng)濟(jì)潛力并不是十分巨大。研究建議,需要對(duì)森林碳匯市場(chǎng)有一個(gè)清楚的認(rèn)識(shí),一味地強(qiáng)調(diào)森林碳匯的市場(chǎng)作用和空間并不利于解決森林生態(tài)、氣候變化等問(wèn)題,更不利于林業(yè)的長(zhǎng)期發(fā)展。
[Abstract]:In order to better assess the impact of forest carbon sinks on climate change and the contribution of forest carbon sinks to economic development and promote the development of carbon sink markets in China, the national economic accounting (SNA) method is adopted, based on the latest inventory data of forest resources, The forest carbon sinks from 2003 to 2008 are studied. The results show that the forest carbon stocks and carbon sinks in China increased from 2003 to 2008. The value of forest carbon storage in China was 7 29.185 billion yuan in 2003 and 7 28.63 billion yuan in 2008, which decreased by 0.015.2003.The value of forest carbon sink in 2008 was 25.867 billion yuan and 25.851 billion yuan respectively. The annual decrease of 0.034% is mainly caused by the decrease in forest carbon sink prices. In addition, the total value of forest carbon sinks in China accounted for 4.41% of the total forestry output value in 2003 and 1.79% of the total forestry output value in 2008. The eaGDP(environment adjusted growth rate of forest carbon sinks was 17.21, which exceeded the average growth rate of GDP in the same period by 9.5%, but during this period, the value of forest carbon stock and the value of flow decreased. The impact of forest carbon sinks on the economy, especially on GDP, is about 0.2%, and its economic potential is not very great. It is suggested that there should be a clear understanding of the forest carbon sink market. The emphasis on the market function and space of forest carbon sink is not conducive to solving the problems of forest ecology and climate change, and is not conducive to the long-term development of forestry.
【作者單位】: 北京林業(yè)大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)管理學(xué)院;國(guó)家林業(yè)局造林綠化管理司;
【基金】:教育部人文社會(huì)科學(xué)研究規(guī)劃基金項(xiàng)目(09YJA910001) 林業(yè)公益性行業(yè)科研專項(xiàng)(201204107)
【分類號(hào)】:X196;F326.2
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本文編號(hào):1692615
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