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能源要素與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)模型及實(shí)證研究

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-03-12 23:22

  本文選題:能源要素 切入點(diǎn):生產(chǎn)函數(shù) 出處:《西南交通大學(xué)》2008年博士論文 論文類(lèi)型:學(xué)位論文


【摘要】: 就經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)的發(fā)展歷史而言,經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)自從其誕生之日起就將經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)問(wèn)題作為其主要的研究?jī)?nèi)容之一。而經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的源泉問(wèn)題則是經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)問(wèn)題中的核心問(wèn)題。早期的古典經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)主要關(guān)注資本和勞動(dòng)在經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)中的作用。在新古典經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)中,技術(shù)進(jìn)步開(kāi)始成為經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家關(guān)注的焦點(diǎn)。到70年代,通過(guò)貝克爾、門(mén)采爾、舒爾茨等一批經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家的貢獻(xiàn),人們開(kāi)始關(guān)注人力資本在促進(jìn)經(jīng)濟(jì)長(zhǎng)期增長(zhǎng)中的作用。而制度經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)則關(guān)注各種制度變革對(duì)長(zhǎng)期經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的影響。隨著可持續(xù)發(fā)展觀念的提出和影響日漸擴(kuò)大,人們開(kāi)始認(rèn)識(shí)到能源對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)長(zhǎng)期穩(wěn)定增長(zhǎng)具有重要影響。 在早期的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展中,能源通常是歸入資本范疇的,它們并沒(méi)有單獨(dú)作為一種要素投入成為經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家的分析范疇。一方面是因?yàn)樵缙诘慕?jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)主要是依靠勞動(dòng)力的投入和資本的積累,生產(chǎn)過(guò)程中對(duì)能源的需求不是很大;另一方面則是因?yàn)榧词股a(chǎn)過(guò)程有對(duì)能源的需求,但由于相對(duì)于能源的儲(chǔ)量來(lái)說(shuō)還是很少,能源的稀缺性沒(méi)有表現(xiàn)出來(lái),其價(jià)格在較長(zhǎng)時(shí)間內(nèi)通常保持不變。隨著科技的發(fā)展,人類(lèi)利用能源發(fā)展經(jīng)濟(jì)的能力越來(lái)越強(qiáng),能源對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的重要性已日益凸現(xiàn)。與此同時(shí),隨著生產(chǎn)中能源消耗量的日益增長(zhǎng),能源危機(jī)也開(kāi)始顯現(xiàn)。因此,將能源從資本中剝離出來(lái)作為單獨(dú)的一種要素投入,從而考察能源與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的關(guān)系,能源與其他要素的關(guān)系,具有重要的理論和現(xiàn)實(shí)意義。 本文以C-D生產(chǎn)函數(shù)為基礎(chǔ),通過(guò)引入能源要素對(duì)傳統(tǒng)的生產(chǎn)函數(shù)進(jìn)行擴(kuò)展,運(yùn)用動(dòng)態(tài)優(yōu)化理論,考察了能源與長(zhǎng)期經(jīng)濟(jì)的關(guān)系。文中分別在新古典分析框架和內(nèi)生經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)分析框架下考察了不可再生能源與可再生能源約束下經(jīng)濟(jì)實(shí)現(xiàn)可持續(xù)發(fā)展的可能性,路徑,以及實(shí)現(xiàn)條件。運(yùn)用傳統(tǒng)的計(jì)量模型實(shí)證分析了能源要素投入與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的函數(shù)關(guān)系與比例關(guān)系,以及各要素投入對(duì)產(chǎn)出的貢獻(xiàn)度;運(yùn)用非傳統(tǒng)計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)分析方法分析了能源要素投入與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的定性與定量關(guān)系;運(yùn)用狀態(tài)空間模型考察了能源要素投入及其他要素投入與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的動(dòng)態(tài)關(guān)系;并且首次分析了我國(guó)能源價(jià)格波動(dòng)與能源強(qiáng)度變化的均衡關(guān)系和非均衡的動(dòng)態(tài)關(guān)系。
[Abstract]:As far as the history of economics is concerned, Since its birth, economics has made the issue of economic growth one of its main research contents. The source of economic growth is the core of the problem of economic growth. The role of Ben and Labor in Economic growth. In neoclassical economics, In 70s, through the contributions of a group of economists such as Becker, Menzel, Schultz, etc. People begin to pay attention to the role of human capital in promoting long-term economic growth, while institutional economics is concerned about the impact of various institutional changes on long-term economic growth. People are beginning to realize that energy has an important impact on long-term and stable economic growth. In the early years of economic development, energy was usually classified as capital. On the one hand, the early economic growth mainly depends on labor input and capital accumulation, and the demand for energy in the production process is not very large; On the other hand, even if there is a demand for energy in the production process, but because the scarcity of energy is still small relative to the reserves of energy, the price of energy usually stays the same for a longer period of time. The ability of human beings to use energy to develop the economy is becoming stronger and stronger, and the importance of energy to economic development is becoming more and more obvious. At the same time, with the increasing consumption of energy in production, the energy crisis is beginning to appear. It is of great theoretical and practical significance to separate energy from capital as a single factor input, and to investigate the relationship between energy and economic growth, and between energy and other elements. In this paper, based on C-D production function, the traditional production function is extended by introducing energy elements, and dynamic optimization theory is used. In this paper, the relationship between energy and long-term economy is investigated, and the possibility and path of sustainable economic development under the constraints of non-renewable energy and renewable energy are investigated under the framework of neoclassical analysis and endogenous economic growth, respectively. Using the traditional econometric model, the paper empirically analyzes the functional and proportional relationship between energy input and economic growth, as well as the contribution of each factor input to the output. The qualitative and quantitative relationship between energy factor input and economic growth is analyzed by using non-traditional econometric analysis method, and the dynamic relationship between energy element input and other factor input and economic growth is investigated by using state space model. The equilibrium and disequilibrium dynamic relationship between energy price fluctuation and energy intensity change are analyzed for the first time.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:西南交通大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:博士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2008
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】:F224;F407.2;F061.2

【引證文獻(xiàn)】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前2條

1 馮沛運(yùn);紅娜;王鋒;;我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)、經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)與能源消費(fèi)關(guān)系之研究[J];統(tǒng)計(jì)教育;2010年09期

2 王亞楠;蔡釗利;郭立宏;;內(nèi)生經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)與資源型城市的可持續(xù)發(fā)展[J];新西部(下旬.理論版);2011年07期

相關(guān)博士學(xué)位論文 前3條

1 吳明明;中國(guó)能源消費(fèi)與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)關(guān)系研究[D];華中科技大學(xué);2011年

2 李振名;能源消費(fèi)與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)——基于中國(guó)的實(shí)證研究[D];復(fù)旦大學(xué);2010年

3 劉春梅;信息產(chǎn)業(yè)對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)質(zhì)量的影響研究及實(shí)證分析[D];北京郵電大學(xué);2010年

相關(guān)碩士學(xué)位論文 前4條

1 石昱馨;北京房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)價(jià)格波動(dòng)研究[D];北方工業(yè)大學(xué);2011年

2 胡成卉;西部經(jīng)濟(jì)與能源消費(fèi)之間的協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展[D];四川社會(huì)科學(xué)院;2010年

3 孫芳;內(nèi)蒙古能源消費(fèi)與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的關(guān)系研究[D];內(nèi)蒙古大學(xué);2010年

4 黃晗君;我國(guó)清潔能源消費(fèi)與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的關(guān)系研究[D];華東理工大學(xué);2013年

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