本文關(guān)鍵詞：居民消費需求不足與宏觀經(jīng)濟政策效應(yīng)的理論與實證研究　出處：《廈門大學(xué)》2007年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

  更多相關(guān)文章： 居民消費 消費函數(shù) 宏觀經(jīng)濟

【摘要】： 消費需求作為拉動經(jīng)濟增長的“三駕馬車”之一,是經(jīng)濟增長中份額最大、最穩(wěn)定的需求。然而20世紀90年代以來,我國經(jīng)濟發(fā)展過程中出現(xiàn)了居民消費需求不足的問題,一定程度上制約了國民經(jīng)濟的持續(xù)、快速、健康發(fā)展。因此深入研究轉(zhuǎn)型時期我國居民消費需求的特征,認真分析居民消費需求不足的影響因素并提出相應(yīng)對策,不僅對豐富我國消費理論研究具有重要的理論價值,而且對于提高宏觀經(jīng)濟政策效應(yīng)具有十分重大的現(xiàn)實意義。 本文首先評述了西方消費理論的研究成果,尤其對消費理論研究的最新進展進行細致地總結(jié),為全文作好理論鋪墊。第二章對我國居民消費需求不足進行了估算,分別從消費率、消費傾向的橫向、縱向比較兩個方面指出我國居民消費需求長期偏低的現(xiàn)狀,說明研究居民消費問題的必要性和緊迫性。第三章深入研究了轉(zhuǎn)軌時期我國居民的消費需求,以揭示居民消費需求不足的形成機制:先從微觀角度考察了消費者的消費決策,通過構(gòu)建一個包含不確定性和流動性約束在內(nèi)的數(shù)理模型,得出結(jié)論為:不確定性和流動性約束會對我國居民消費產(chǎn)生顯著影響,為消費函數(shù)研究奠定微觀基礎(chǔ);再從宏觀角度對我國居民的消費函數(shù)進行了實證檢驗,得出結(jié)論為:收入、不確定性、流動性約束以及收入差距這四個因素均在一定程度上影響了我國居民的消費。第四章對居民消費需求不足和宏觀經(jīng)濟政策效應(yīng)的關(guān)系進行了考察,指出中國當前的宏觀經(jīng)濟政策取向應(yīng)更加側(cè)重通過消費拉動經(jīng)濟增長,實現(xiàn)消費和投資之間的合理比例。第五章在第三章的基礎(chǔ)上,深入分析了制約我國居民消費需求的主要因素,并提出擴大我國居民消費需求的政策建議,主要通過制定居民收入增長政策、完善社會保障體系、發(fā)展消費信貸以及縮小收入差距等方面來刺激居民的消費需求拉動經(jīng)濟增長。
[Abstract]:Consumer demand to promote economic growth as one of "three carriages", is the largest share of economic growth, the most stable demand. However, since 1990s, the lack of consumer demand in China's economic development, to a certain extent restricts the national economy sustained, rapid and healthy development. Therefore, in-depth study the transition period characteristics of China's consumer demand, a careful analysis of the reasons of inadequate consumer demand and put forward the corresponding countermeasures, not only has important theoretical value to enrich the study of China's consumption theory and practical significance to improve the effectiveness of macroeconomic policies is very important.
This paper first reviews the research achievements of western consumption theory, especially the latest development of consumption theory research makes a detailed summary, as theoretical basis. The second chapter is the estimate of the insufficient consumption demand of Chinese residents, respectively, from the consumption rate, lateral consumption, longitudinal comparison of the two aspects of present consumption demand residents of long-term low, indicating the necessity and urgency of consumer issues. The third chapter analyzes China's consumer demand during the transition period, in order to reveal the formation mechanism of insufficient consumer demand: first from the micro perspective of consumer decisions, by constructing a mathematical model which contains uncertainty and flow constraint, the conclusion is: the uncertainty and liquidity constraints will have a significant impact on household consumption in China, for the study of consumption function lay micro foundation; Again on Chinese consumption function from the perspective of empirical analysis, the conclusion is: the income uncertainty, all the four factors of liquidity constraints and income gap affect the consumption of our residents to a certain extent. The fourth chapter is about the relationship between consumer demand and the effect of macroeconomic policy of study pointed out that China current macroeconomic policy orientation should be more dependent on consumer driven economic growth, to achieve a reasonable proportion between consumption and investment. In the fifth chapter, the third chapter on the basis of in-depth analysis of the main factors restricting the consumption demand of our country, and put forward the expansion of China's consumer demand policy recommendations, mainly through the development of residents' income growth policies, improve the social security system, the development of consumer credit and narrowing the income gap to stimulate consumer demand and stimulate economic growth.

【學(xué)位授予單位】：廈門大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2007
【分類號】：F014.5;F123

【引證文獻】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前2條

1 苗錫哲;馬艷麗;;擴大內(nèi)消重于拉動內(nèi)需[J];當代經(jīng)濟;2009年06期

2 李慧;;增強消費在經(jīng)濟增長中的拉動作用[J];江蘇商論;2010年05期

相關(guān)碩士學(xué)位論文 前4條

1 葉忠連;基于居民消費視角的我國第三產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)部結(jié)構(gòu)研究[D];中國科學(xué)技術(shù)大學(xué);2011年

2 劉薇;我國居民收入分配差距對經(jīng)濟增長及消費需求的影響研究[D];長沙理工大學(xué);2009年

3 鄭書朋;中國居民消費函數(shù)的實證分析[D];河北大學(xué);2010年

4 高媛媛;我國社會保障制度變遷對居民消費的影響[D];云南財經(jīng)大學(xué);2010年

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本文編號：1396159