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基于環(huán)境庫茲涅茨曲線的我國經(jīng)濟(jì)增長與環(huán)境污染相互關(guān)系的初步評價

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  本文關(guān)鍵詞:基于環(huán)境庫茲涅茨曲線的我國經(jīng)濟(jì)增長與環(huán)境污染相互關(guān)系的初步評價 出處:《青島大學(xué)》2007年碩士論文 論文類型:學(xué)位論文


  更多相關(guān)文章: 環(huán)境質(zhì)量 經(jīng)濟(jì)增長 環(huán)境庫茲涅茨曲線 中國


【摘要】: 改革開放以來,隨著我國經(jīng)濟(jì)的高速發(fā)展,伴隨著各種各樣環(huán)境問題的產(chǎn)生,研究中國的環(huán)境質(zhì)量與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長之間的關(guān)系,協(xié)調(diào)經(jīng)濟(jì)和環(huán)境發(fā)展的關(guān)系迫在眉睫。本文首先介紹了有關(guān)EKC假說的知識;而后從分析中國經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的趨勢、三種產(chǎn)業(yè)的構(gòu)成、環(huán)境污染與人均GDP的關(guān)系入手,基于中國1989年至2005年期間的經(jīng)濟(jì)和環(huán)境污染方面的歷史數(shù)據(jù),運(yùn)用模糊數(shù)學(xué)的原理,建立評價環(huán)境污染水平的數(shù)學(xué)模型,求出各年份的環(huán)境污染綜合指數(shù),根據(jù)其與人均GDP的對應(yīng)關(guān)系利用Excel軟件得出二者之間的關(guān)系曲線圖和對應(yīng)關(guān)系的數(shù)學(xué)模型,并對曲線的形成原因進(jìn)行經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)和環(huán)境政策方面的分析,同時給出了曲線走勢的原因;最后結(jié)合上述分析結(jié)果,根掘中國的實(shí)際情況,提出保持中國環(huán)境與經(jīng)濟(jì)可持續(xù)發(fā)展的對策建議。 本文主要內(nèi)容包括: (1)環(huán)境與經(jīng)濟(jì)關(guān)系的理論分析。 (2)中國環(huán)境與經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀描述。 (3)研究中國環(huán)境污染綜合指數(shù)與人均GDP之間的曲線關(guān)系,并通過經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)分析其存在的合理性和可能性。 通過研究得出以下結(jié)論: 第一、中國的三種產(chǎn)業(yè)中第二產(chǎn)業(yè)所占比例增幅較大,第三產(chǎn)業(yè)所占比例基本保持不變,,第一產(chǎn)業(yè)呈下降趨勢。總體而言,產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)還未達(dá)到理想狀態(tài)。 第二、中國固體廢棄物排放量隨經(jīng)濟(jì)的增長呈逐年上升趨勢;煙塵排放量在2003年以前為逐年下降趨勢,二氧化硫排放量在2003年以前,是先增加,后下降,但在2003年后均呈增長態(tài)勢;廢水的污染狀況基本得到控制。 第三、中國的EKC曲線的表現(xiàn)形式具有自己的獨(dú)特性,不呈現(xiàn)倒U型,而是呈倒W型,且受國家環(huán)保政策的影響較大。 第四、EKC曲線形成的過程中,指標(biāo)和指標(biāo)標(biāo)準(zhǔn)體系的選取決定著曲線的形狀,環(huán)境綜合污染指數(shù)與人均GDP的擬合計算對客觀、正確的分析二者之間的關(guān)系也產(chǎn)生一定的影響。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, with the rapid development of Chinese economy, accompanied by a variety of environmental problems, the relationship between environmental quality and economic growth China, imminent relationship coordinative development of economy and environment. This paper firstly introduces the related knowledge of the EKC hypothesis; then China from the analysis of the trend of economic development, three for the industry, starting with the relationship between environmental pollution and per capita GDP during 1989 to 2005, China the historical data of the economic and environmental pollution based on the principle of fuzzy mathematics, mathematical model is established to evaluate the level of environmental pollution, calculate the comprehensive index of environmental pollution each year, according to the mathematical model of the relationship between it and GDP per capita the use of Excel software to calculate the relationship between the two curves and the corresponding relationship, and the formation of the curve is used to analyze the causes of economic and environmental policies, At the same time, the reasons for the trend of the curve are given. Finally, based on the above analysis results, based on the actual situation of China, the countermeasures and suggestions for maintaining sustainable development of China's environment and economy are put forward.
The main contents of this paper are as follows:
(1) the theoretical analysis of the relationship between the environment and the economy.
(2) the description of the current situation of China's environmental and economic development.
(3) the relationship between the comprehensive index of China's environmental pollution and the per capita GDP is studied, and the rationality and possibility of its existence are analyzed by economics.
Through the study, the following conclusions are drawn.
First, the proportion of the second industries in China's three industries has increased a lot. The proportion of the third industries has basically remained unchanged. The primary industry is decreasing. Overall, the industrial structure has not yet reached the ideal state.
Second, solid waste emissions China increased year by year with economic growth; soot emissions in 2003 before declining trend year by year, sulfur dioxide emissions in 2003 before the first increased, then decreased, but after 2003 showed growth; pollution of wastewater under control.
Third, the form of the EKC curve in China has its own uniqueness, not the inverted U type, but the inverted W type, and is greatly influenced by the national environmental protection policy.
Fourth, in the process of EKC curve formation, the selection of index system and index standard system decide the shape of curve. The fitting calculation of environmental comprehensive pollution index and per capita GDP also has certain influence on objective and correct analysis of the relationship between the two.

【學(xué)位授予單位】:青島大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2007
【分類號】:X196;X820

【引證文獻(xiàn)】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前2條

1 劉鐵鷹;李京梅;;中國工業(yè)廢氣排放與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長關(guān)系的區(qū)域分異研究[J];中國科技論壇;2011年08期

2 李志濤;黃河清;張明慶;王夏暉;;鄱陽湖流域經(jīng)濟(jì)增長與水環(huán)境污染關(guān)系研究[J];資源科學(xué);2010年02期

相關(guān)博士學(xué)位論文 前1條

1 劉定一;大連能源—環(huán)境—經(jīng)濟(jì)可持續(xù)發(fā)展研究[D];大連理工大學(xué);2009年

相關(guān)碩士學(xué)位論文 前6條

1 戴嶸;中國環(huán)境與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長關(guān)系的Kuznets曲線特征研究[D];南京財經(jīng)大學(xué);2011年

2 陶艷偉;中國工業(yè)環(huán)境負(fù)荷測算及其結(jié)構(gòu)成因研究[D];大連理工大學(xué);2009年

3 譚洪坤;吉林省工業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展與環(huán)境質(zhì)量優(yōu)化研究[D];吉林大學(xué);2009年

4 楊兆立;基于EKC曲線的云南省經(jīng)濟(jì)增長與環(huán)境質(zhì)量變化關(guān)系分析[D];陜西師范大學(xué);2009年

5 賈少萌;人口、資源與環(huán)境約束下中國經(jīng)濟(jì)增長研究[D];河北大學(xué);2010年

6 劉鐵鷹;中國沿海地區(qū)工業(yè)廢水排放與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長關(guān)系的區(qū)域分異研究[D];中國海洋大學(xué);2012年



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