【摘要】：隨著經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展和經(jīng)濟(jì)全球化，虛擬經(jīng)濟(jì)得以迅速發(fā)展；而泡沫與虛擬經(jīng)濟(jì)聯(lián)系由來(lái)已久，經(jīng)濟(jì)泡沫對(duì)各國(guó)社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)的影響越發(fā)嚴(yán)重；同時(shí)虛擬資產(chǎn)過(guò)度泡沫化，對(duì)實(shí)體經(jīng)濟(jì)也容易造成較大的沖擊。本文旨在剖析虛擬經(jīng)濟(jì)與投資泡沫之間的聯(lián)系，研究投資泡沫的影響因素，揭示投資泡沫的形成機(jī)制，進(jìn)而為科學(xué)預(yù)防和控制經(jīng)濟(jì)泡沫提供理論參考。 第二、三章指出在現(xiàn)代經(jīng)濟(jì)系統(tǒng)中，虛擬經(jīng)濟(jì)容易泡沫化，因此經(jīng)濟(jì)虛擬化是泡沫產(chǎn)生的前提，經(jīng)濟(jì)過(guò)度虛擬化勢(shì)必演變成泡沫經(jīng)濟(jì)；進(jìn)而從經(jīng)濟(jì)泡沫的源頭出發(fā)，，在深入分析虛擬經(jīng)濟(jì)與投資泡沫關(guān)系的基礎(chǔ)上，基于結(jié)構(gòu)方程模型研究了投資泡沫影響因素；并基于對(duì)投資泡沫影響因素相關(guān)時(shí)間序列進(jìn)行了統(tǒng)計(jì)分析。結(jié)果顯示，實(shí)體經(jīng)濟(jì)與金融發(fā)展對(duì)虛擬經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展及投資泡沫形成存在著正向影響，初步闡述了泡沫的形成機(jī)制。 第四、五章構(gòu)建了多主體多階段投資均衡調(diào)適蜈蚣博弈網(wǎng)絡(luò)模型，揭示了多主體多階段投資均衡調(diào)適機(jī)理；在此基礎(chǔ)上，引出了泡沫的形成機(jī)制，并根據(jù)泡沫形成的過(guò)程特征將泡沫分成整體性泡沫、結(jié)構(gòu)性泡沫和摩擦性泡沫；同時(shí)以房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)為例構(gòu)建了基于蜈蚣博弈網(wǎng)絡(luò)模型，驗(yàn)證了均衡調(diào)適蜈蚣博弈網(wǎng)絡(luò)模型存在的可行性。經(jīng)研究認(rèn)為，虛擬經(jīng)濟(jì)與投資泡沫有著密切的聯(lián)系，泡沫是經(jīng)濟(jì)偏離基本面的產(chǎn)物。
[Abstract]:With the development of economy and the globalization of economy, the fictitious economy develops rapidly, and the bubble and the fictitious economy have been linked for a long time, and the economic bubble has more and more serious influence on the social economy of every country, at the same time, the fictitious assets are inflated excessively. To the real economy also easy to cause the bigger impact. The purpose of this paper is to analyze the relationship between the virtual economy and the investment bubble, to study the influencing factors of the investment bubble, to reveal the forming mechanism of the investment bubble, and to provide a theoretical reference for the scientific prevention and control of the economic bubble. Second, the third chapter points out that in modern economic system, virtual economy is easy to bubble, so economic virtualization is the premise of bubble generation, and economic excessive virtualization is bound to evolve into bubble economy, and then proceed from the source of economic bubble. Based on the analysis of the relationship between the virtual economy and the investment bubble, the influencing factors of the investment bubble are studied based on the structural equation model, and the correlation time series of the influencing factors of the investment bubble are analyzed statistically. The results show that the development of real economy and finance has a positive effect on the development of virtual economy and the formation of investment bubble. Chapter four, chapter five constructs the multi-agent multi-stage investment equilibrium adjustment centipede game network model, reveals the multi-agent multi-stage investment equilibrium adjustment mechanism, on this basis, leads to the foam formation mechanism, According to the process of foam formation, the foam is divided into global foam, structural foam and frictional foam. At the same time, taking the real estate market as an example, the network model based on centipede game is constructed. The feasibility of balanced centipede game network model is verified. It is concluded that the virtual economy is closely related to the investment bubble, and the bubble is the product of economic deviation from the fundamentals.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：南京航空航天大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】：F224.32;F832.51

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