基于塹壕效應的預算松弛生成機理及其經(jīng)濟后果研究
本文選題:塹壕效應 + 預算松弛; 參考:《重慶理工大學》2017年碩士論文
【摘要】:預算管理作為企業(yè)中一種重要的控制手段,不管是在企業(yè)財務管理方面,還是在公司治理層面,都受到了學術(shù)界和實務界的高度重視。但從國內(nèi)外預算管理實踐經(jīng)驗來看,預算管理效果存在很多爭議,預算松弛便是其中之一。目前,國內(nèi)對預算松弛的研究主要集中于中層管理和基層管理的預算松弛,對高層管理的研究較少,且大都沒有從預算執(zhí)行人所在崗位的共性特征來研究預算松弛的產(chǎn)生及其對公司的影響。本文以2011-2015年自愿披露預算數(shù)據(jù)的上市公司為研究對象,通過規(guī)范研究與實證研究的方法,詳細剖析預算松弛的生成機理以及對公司業(yè)績的影響,從而有利于進一步改進與完善預算管理制度,解決預算松弛問題具有重要的意義。本文的研究內(nèi)容主要分為六章:第一章是緒論。主要介紹本文研究的背景和研究意義以及相關(guān)概念界定,提出本文研究的思路和主要內(nèi)容,闡述了本文研究方法與創(chuàng)新。第二章是文獻綜述與評述;仡櫯c梳理國內(nèi)外預算松弛的影響因素及其經(jīng)濟后果的研究,并對其進行了文獻評述。第三章是理論基礎(chǔ)與分析;谖写砝碚撆c權(quán)變理論,從高管塹壕效應的視角,分析了預算松弛的動因。第四章是生成機理的實證研究;诿姘鍞(shù)據(jù)模型,詳細地剖析了高管權(quán)力、股權(quán)集中度和股權(quán)性質(zhì)對預算松弛的影響。第五章是經(jīng)濟后果的實證研究。在上一章的研究基礎(chǔ)上,通過門檻面板模型,研究預算松弛與公司業(yè)績之間的非線性關(guān)系,并且還進一步分析了在塹壕效應下,預算松弛對公司業(yè)績的影響。第六章是結(jié)論與對策建議。根據(jù)前兩章的實證結(jié)果,得出本文的研究結(jié)論并提出相應的建議。本文研究結(jié)論發(fā)現(xiàn):1)高管權(quán)力、股權(quán)集中度和股權(quán)性質(zhì)是產(chǎn)生預算松弛的重要因素。具體而言,在高管權(quán)力較大、股權(quán)分散的非國有企業(yè)中,高管出于職位安全性的考慮,傾向于構(gòu)筑塹壕效應,減少被變更的風險,從而減少預算松弛的概率;而在高管權(quán)力較小、股權(quán)集中的國有企業(yè)中,高管為了獲得良好的業(yè)績評價和較高的報酬,更傾向于制定寬松的預算。2)預算松弛與公司業(yè)績呈現(xiàn)出先弱后強再減弱的非線性關(guān)系。雖然預算松弛給公司造成一定的負面影響,但它的積極作用也不可忽視。適當?shù)念A算松弛不僅能緩解經(jīng)理人與股東之前的利益問題,還能有效應對環(huán)境不確定性因素帶來的風險,從而實現(xiàn)共贏的格局。
[Abstract]:Budget management as an important means of control in enterprises, whether in corporate financial management or corporate governance, has been highly valued by the academic and practical circles. But from the experience of budget management at home and abroad, there are many controversies on the effect of budget management, and budget relaxation is one of them. At present, the domestic research on budget relaxation mainly focuses on the budget relaxation of middle management and grass-roots management, while the research on senior management is less. And most of them do not study the generation of budget relaxation and its influence on the company from the common characteristics of the position of budget executor. This paper takes listed companies that voluntarily disclose budget data from 2011-2015 as the research object, through normative research and empirical research, analyzes the formation mechanism of budget relaxation and its impact on corporate performance in detail. Therefore, it is of great significance to further improve and perfect the budget management system and solve the problem of budget relaxation. The main content of this paper is divided into six chapters: the first chapter is an introduction. This paper mainly introduces the background and significance of this study and the definition of related concepts, puts forward the ideas and main contents of this study, and expounds the research methods and innovations of this paper. The second chapter is literature review and review. This paper reviews and reviews the influence factors and economic consequences of budgetary relaxation at home and abroad. The third chapter is the theoretical basis and analysis. Based on the principal-agent theory and contingency theory, this paper analyzes the causes of budget relaxation from the perspective of trench effect. Chapter four is an empirical study of the formation mechanism. Based on panel data model, the effects of executive power, ownership concentration and equity property on budget relaxation are analyzed in detail. The fifth chapter is the empirical study of economic consequences. Based on the previous chapter, the nonlinear relationship between budget relaxation and corporate performance is studied by the threshold panel model, and the influence of budget relaxation on corporate performance under trench effect is also analyzed. The sixth chapter is the conclusion and the countermeasure suggestion. According to the empirical results of the first two chapters, the conclusion of this paper and the corresponding recommendations are put forward. The conclusion of this paper is that executive power, ownership concentration and equity nature are important factors of budget relaxation. Specifically, in the non-state-owned enterprises with higher executive power and decentralized equity, the executives tend to build trench effect, reduce the risk of change and reduce the probability of budget relaxation because of the position security. In the case of state-owned enterprises with less executive power and concentrated equity, in order to obtain good performance evaluation and higher remuneration, It is more inclined to make a loose budget. 2) the relationship between the slack budget and the company's performance shows the nonlinear relationship between the weak and then the weak. Although the budget relaxation has a certain negative impact on the company, but its positive role can not be ignored. Proper budget relaxation can not only alleviate the interests of managers and shareholders, but also effectively deal with the risks caused by environmental uncertainties, thus realizing a win-win situation.
【學位授予單位】:重慶理工大學
【學位級別】:碩士
【學位授予年份】:2017
【分類號】:F275;F832.51
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