【摘要】：伴隨著社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)的快速發(fā)展，近幾年物流業(yè)的發(fā)展也更多地受到了國(guó)家和政府部門的大力支持和倡導(dǎo)，物流園區(qū)的建設(shè)和規(guī)劃也隨之興起。不管是地方政府、或者說是物流企業(yè)，都極其重視當(dāng)代物流業(yè)的發(fā)展與規(guī)劃。而物流量這一指標(biāo)參數(shù)是進(jìn)行物流系統(tǒng)規(guī)劃的主要支撐，也是進(jìn)行物流系統(tǒng)規(guī)模規(guī)劃的重要參數(shù)之一，它對(duì)于物流節(jié)點(diǎn)中一些與物流相關(guān)的設(shè)施的設(shè)計(jì)布局和相應(yīng)物流設(shè)備的選取等都有著重要的指導(dǎo)意義。但由于我國(guó)的物流統(tǒng)計(jì)工作尚處于初級(jí)階段，統(tǒng)計(jì)指標(biāo)中也沒有物流量這一指標(biāo)，還沒有建立起比較完善的物流統(tǒng)計(jì)指標(biāo)體系。就目前關(guān)于物流量的理論研究和實(shí)踐活動(dòng)的情況來看，對(duì)物流量?jī)?nèi)涵的界定還不是足夠明晰，此外，統(tǒng)計(jì)口徑也尚且沒有統(tǒng)一衡量標(biāo)準(zhǔn)，暫時(shí)未能達(dá)到一致。在實(shí)際的物流規(guī)劃與建設(shè)中，由于缺少全社會(huì)物流量的相關(guān)統(tǒng)計(jì)數(shù)據(jù)，人們往往采用近似或類推的方法，一般都是用貨運(yùn)量代替物流量來進(jìn)行與物流相關(guān)的節(jié)點(diǎn)或園區(qū)等的需求分析，使用該方法獲得結(jié)果分析普遍存在著不合理性，故而在它的基礎(chǔ)上所開展的物流規(guī)劃也就存有一定的片面和盲目性。由于物流量與貨運(yùn)量之間的密切聯(lián)系，如何在現(xiàn)有貨運(yùn)量統(tǒng)計(jì)數(shù)據(jù)的基礎(chǔ)上，得到物流量與貨運(yùn)量之間的折合系數(shù)，并由此進(jìn)行物流量的定量分析就十分迫切和必要。文章希望通過對(duì)物流量的定量分析和研究，能夠?yàn)閷砦锪鞴?jié)點(diǎn)的規(guī)劃，提供較為準(zhǔn)確可信的物流量數(shù)據(jù)作參考；同時(shí)為今后物流統(tǒng)計(jì)中關(guān)于物流量指標(biāo)的統(tǒng)計(jì)研究提供一些思路和方向，以便更好地促進(jìn)我國(guó)物流統(tǒng)計(jì)工作的發(fā)展。 本文在對(duì)國(guó)內(nèi)外關(guān)于物流量及物流量預(yù)測(cè)等相關(guān)理論研究的基礎(chǔ)上，針對(duì)物流量?jī)?nèi)涵的界定及其分類和計(jì)算等問題展開研究，進(jìn)行了深入詳細(xì)地闡述。分析和介紹了當(dāng)前我國(guó)物流統(tǒng)計(jì)中存在的指標(biāo)不完善及數(shù)據(jù)缺乏等問題，并提出以貨物參與物流活動(dòng)的作業(yè)流程環(huán)節(jié)為標(biāo)準(zhǔn)，進(jìn)行物流量分析和計(jì)算的思路，通過分析不同貨物參與物流活動(dòng)的主要作業(yè)流程和環(huán)節(jié)，選擇貨運(yùn)量指標(biāo)作為主要研究對(duì)象，研究物流量和貨運(yùn)量的折合系數(shù)（Conversion Coefficient of Logistics volume and Freight volume，即CCLF），選取煤炭、糧食等幾種典型貨物作為代表，分別對(duì)其線路物流量和節(jié)點(diǎn)物流量的CCLF進(jìn)行實(shí)例分析和計(jì)算得出結(jié)果。結(jié)果表明，以線路物流量為主要研究對(duì)象時(shí)，，煤炭、糧食和生鮮農(nóng)產(chǎn)品這幾種貨物的線路物流量與貨運(yùn)量之間的折合系數(shù)，即線路物流量的糧食、生鮮農(nóng)產(chǎn)品的節(jié)點(diǎn)物流量的CCLF分別為5.33644,6.6565。并提出了以全社會(huì)貨運(yùn)量的統(tǒng)計(jì)數(shù)據(jù)為準(zhǔn),對(duì)線路物流量進(jìn)行修正和折合的CCLF計(jì)算模型。
[Abstract]:With the rapid development of social economy, the development of logistics industry in recent years has been more and more strongly supported and advocated by the state and government departments, and the construction and planning of logistics parks have arisen. Parameters are the main support of logistics system planning, and also one of the important parameters of logistics system scale planning. It has important guiding significance for the design and layout of some logistics-related facilities and the selection of corresponding logistics equipment in logistics nodes. There is no such index as logistics volume in the statistical index, and a comparatively perfect statistical index system of logistics has not been established. As far as the current theoretical research and practical activities on logistics volume are concerned, the definition of logistics volume connotation is not clear enough. In addition, there is no uniform measurement standard for statistical caliber, and it has not yet reached one. As a result, in the actual logistics planning and construction, due to the lack of relevant statistical data of the logistics volume of the whole society, people often adopt approximate or analogical methods, generally using freight volume instead of logistics volume to carry out the demand analysis of logistics-related nodes or parks, etc. The results obtained by this method are generally unreasonable. Because of the close relationship between the logistics volume and the freight volume, it is urgent and necessary to obtain the conversion coefficient between the logistics volume and the freight volume on the basis of the existing statistical data of the freight volume. The article hopes that through the quantitative analysis and research of logistics quantity, it can provide more accurate and credible logistics flow data for the future logistics node planning, and provide some ideas and directions for the future statistical research of logistics quantity index in logistics statistics, so as to better promote the development of logistics statistics in China.
On the basis of the research on the theories of logistics volume and logistics volume forecasting at home and abroad, this paper studies the definition, classification and calculation of logistics volume, and expounds in detail. It analyzes and introduces the problems of imperfect indexes and lack of data existing in logistics statistics in China, and puts forward the following suggestions: By analyzing the main processes and links of different goods participating in logistics activities, the freight volume index is selected as the main research object, and the Conversion Coefficient of Logistics volume is studied. And Freight volume, namely CCLF, chooses several typical goods such as coal, grain and so on as the representative, carries on the example analysis and the computation respectively to its route logistics quantity and the node logistics quantity CCLF to obtain the result. The CCLF coefficients between freight volume, i.e. the grain of line logistics volume and the node logistics volume of fresh agricultural products, are 5.33644 and 6.6565 respectively.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：長(zhǎng)安大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號(hào)】：F259.2

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