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基于PPP模式的城市軌道交通項目風險分擔模型與機制研究

發(fā)布時間:2018-07-10 13:38

  本文選題:PPP建設模式 + 城市軌道交通項目 ; 參考:《石家莊鐵道大學》2015年碩士論文


【摘要】:目前,城市軌道交通項目的建設在我國飛速發(fā)展,其建設模式和融資模式多種多樣,而PPP(Public-Private-Partnerships)—公私合營的模式,作為一種嶄新的建設模式和融資模式在實際中被廣泛運用。引進該模式不僅可以緩解政府部門一定的財務壓力,也能夠有效促進我國城市軌道交通建設的進步。由于PPP模式本身的特點,致使在城市軌道交通項目的全生命周期建設過程中,存在較多較復雜的風險因素。風險如何分擔便成為在這種公私合營模式下的城市軌道交通項目能否有效運行的關鍵。在項目的眾多參建方中怎樣合理的分擔這些風險也成為各參建方關注的焦點。本論文將文獻綜述法與定量研究方法相融合,以這種綜合的方法深層剖析PPP模式下城市軌道交通建設的風險分擔。第一,通過WBS分解、RBS分解以及二維風險矩陣初步識別風險因素,通過專家訪談和文獻匯總總結出基于PPP模式的城市軌道交通項目主要的27種風險;第二,確定此模式下城市軌道交通項目的風險承擔者(風險分擔主體),以發(fā)放調查問卷的途徑找到PPP城市軌道交通項目中影響風險分擔結果的最關鍵因素,進而從影響風險分擔因素的角度構建風險分擔的指標體系,此指標體系由5個一級指標和12個二級指標構成,并以此為基礎,采用灰色關聯(lián)理論建立PPP模式下城市軌道交通項目的風險分擔模型,直至最后確定出風險承擔者;第三,專門設計PPP模式下城市軌道交通項目的風險分擔體制,關鍵就是將PPP模式下城市軌道交通項目的風險分擔過程與有效利用風險分擔模型相結合,制定出已識別風險的風險分擔方案,此外,從制度的角度,在一定程度上激勵和約束風險承擔者的行為,對風險分擔制度的設計主要從行為導向和行為規(guī)劃兩方面著手,以確保在實際中項目風險分擔結果的有效實施。最后,以北京地鐵14號線為例來驗證此模型的有效性。
[Abstract]:At present, the construction of urban rail transit project is developing rapidly in our country, its construction mode and financing mode are various, and PPP (Public-Private-Partnerships)-public-private partnership mode, as a new construction mode and financing mode, is widely used in practice. The introduction of this model can not only alleviate the financial pressure of government departments, but also effectively promote the progress of urban rail transit construction in China. Due to the characteristics of PPP model, there are many complicated risk factors in the whole life cycle construction of urban rail transit project. How to share the risks is the key to the effective operation of urban rail transit projects under the public-private partnership mode. How to reasonably share these risks among the many participants in the project has also become the focus of attention. In this paper, the literature review method and quantitative research method are combined to deeply analyze the risk sharing of urban rail transit construction under the PPP model. First, through WBS decomposition RBS decomposition and two-dimensional risk matrix preliminary identification of risk factors, through expert interviews and literature summary based on the PPP model of urban rail transit project main 27 kinds of risks; second, Determine the risk bearer (risk sharing subject) of urban rail transit project under this mode, and find out the most critical factors that affect the risk sharing result in PPP urban rail transit project by the way of issuing questionnaire. Then the index system of risk sharing is constructed from the point of view of influencing factors of risk sharing. The index system is composed of 5 primary indexes and 12 secondary indexes, and on this basis, Using grey correlation theory to establish the risk sharing model of urban rail transit project under PPP model, until the risk bearer is finally determined. Thirdly, the risk sharing system of urban rail transit project under PPP mode is specially designed. The key is to combine the risk sharing process of urban rail transit project with the effective use of risk sharing model under the PPP model, and formulate the risk sharing scheme of identified risks. In addition, from the perspective of system, To a certain extent, the risk-sharing system is designed from the two aspects of behavior orientation and behavior planning to ensure the effective implementation of project risk sharing results. Finally, take Beijing Metro Line 14 as an example to verify the validity of the model.
【學位授予單位】:石家莊鐵道大學
【學位級別】:碩士
【學位授予年份】:2015
【分類號】:F572;F283

【引證文獻】

相關碩士學位論文 前2條

1 楊謹華;中國城市軌道交通PPP項目風險分擔研究[D];西南交通大學;2017年

2 孫曄;基于ISM-ANP-灰色聚類的PPP模式城市軌道交通項目風險評價研究[D];山東大學;2016年

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本文編號:2113547

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