本文選題：房地產(chǎn)項目 + 不確定性評價��； 參考：《中國海洋大學》2014年碩士論文

【摘要】：近年來隨著我國房地產(chǎn)產(chǎn)業(yè)的迅速發(fā)展,許多企業(yè)紛紛加入到房地產(chǎn)投資建設(shè)的行列中。但同時房地產(chǎn)產(chǎn)業(yè)存在著投資金額大、回收期長、不確定性因素多、投資風險較大等特征。因此,為了降低投資房地企業(yè)的風險,避免因盲目投資而造成的巨大虧損。投資企業(yè)應(yīng)當對其投資房地產(chǎn)項目的風險情況進行詳盡的了解和分析,尤其是針對項目投資建設(shè)時期所面臨風險的評價。這是房地產(chǎn)投資企業(yè),合理開發(fā)、控制風險的重要方法和先決條件。本文根據(jù)房地產(chǎn)項目投資風險評價的相關(guān)理論,結(jié)國內(nèi)外學者在此方面的研究資料,在充分分析和借鑒現(xiàn)有房地產(chǎn)項目評估的研究文獻和資料的基礎(chǔ)上,實地調(diào)研收集相關(guān)數(shù)據(jù),將理論運用到實例當中。從天一房地產(chǎn)項目的財務(wù)情況入手,對項目的投資風險進行分析,以此對整個房地產(chǎn)項目的投資風險情況進行進一步的了解,為投資企業(yè)做出合理投資決策提供科學的依據(jù)。目前國內(nèi)外學者對于項目的投資風險評價多為單方面的定性的宏觀分析,且針對房地產(chǎn)項目的投資風險評價研究,并沒有形成一個較為完整的房地產(chǎn)產(chǎn)業(yè)投資風險評價體系和方法。因此,本文以企業(yè)財務(wù)估算為基礎(chǔ),定量的對房地產(chǎn)投資風險評價方法進行進一步的研究,從而建立一個比較完整的房地產(chǎn)項目投資風險評價方法體系。本文研究的目標為綜合應(yīng)用項目評估的理論知識與研究成果,結(jié)合房地產(chǎn)項目投資風險評估的方法成果,在對天一房地產(chǎn)項目投資情況進行估算的基礎(chǔ)上,對其進行投資風險評價研究。建立一個科學合理的、全面的房地產(chǎn)項目風險評價方法與結(jié)論,為房地產(chǎn)企業(yè)投資決策提供科學的數(shù)據(jù)理論支持。同時,為房地產(chǎn)項目相關(guān)研究提供參考。
[Abstract]:In recent years, with the rapid development of the real estate industry in China, many enterprises have joined in the construction of real estate investment, but at the same time, the real estate industry has the characteristics of large investment, long recovery period, many uncertain factors and high investment risk. In order to reduce the risk of investment in real estate enterprises and avoid blind investment, The investment enterprise should make a detailed understanding and analysis of the risk of its investment real estate projects, especially the evaluation of the risk facing the project investment construction period. This is an important method and prerequisite for the real estate investment enterprise to develop and control the risk reasonably. This article is based on the investment risk of the real estate project. On the basis of the research documents and data of the existing real estate project evaluation, the relevant data of the domestic and foreign scholars have been analyzed and collected, and the relevant data are collected in the field, and the theory is applied to the examples. In this regard, the investment risk of the whole real estate project is further understood, and the scientific basis is provided for the investment enterprises to make reasonable investment decisions. At present, most scholars at home and abroad have a unilateral and qualitative macro analysis on the investment risk assessment of the project, and the investment risk assessment study of real estate projects has not been formed. It is a more complete investment risk evaluation system and method for real estate industry. Therefore, based on the financial estimation of the enterprise, this paper makes a quantitative study on the evaluation method of real estate investment risk, thus establishing a relatively complete system of investment risk evaluation of real estate projects. The objective of this paper is to integrate the real estate investment risk evaluation method. With the theoretical knowledge and research results of project evaluation, combined with the results of the investment risk assessment of real estate projects, the investment risk assessment is carried out on the basis of the estimation of the investment situation of the real estate project. A scientific and reasonable and comprehensive risk assessment method and conclusion for real estate projects is established for real estate enterprises. It provides scientific data theory support for industry investment decisions, and provides reference for related research of real estate projects.
【學位授予單位】：中國海洋大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F299.233.42

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