發(fā)布時(shí)間：2018-06-17 03:24

  本文選題：人力資源模型 + 人力資源預(yù)測(cè)��； 參考：《哈爾濱工業(yè)大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文

【摘要】：隨著我國航天事業(yè)的快速發(fā)展，總環(huán)部AIT業(yè)務(wù)的任務(wù)量大幅增加。由于在產(chǎn)品生產(chǎn)的不同階段對(duì)人力的需求不同，人力資源的波動(dòng)比較大。產(chǎn)品生產(chǎn)所需的操作工人培訓(xùn)周期長，如果不能提前做好準(zhǔn)備，將會(huì)造成人力資源的短缺，而維持過高的人力資源水平又會(huì)帶來過高的人力成本。在這一急需平衡的矛盾下，準(zhǔn)確預(yù)測(cè)未來生產(chǎn)任務(wù)負(fù)荷量與可用人力資源具有重要的現(xiàn)實(shí)意義。 針對(duì)未來較長時(shí)期內(nèi)的人力資源預(yù)測(cè)與規(guī)劃屬于綜合計(jì)劃問題，，需要平衡持續(xù)波動(dòng)的人力資源需求與相對(duì)保持穩(wěn)定的實(shí)際人力資源水平，通過多種手段實(shí)現(xiàn)利益最大化的目標(biāo)。對(duì)于航天產(chǎn)品的生產(chǎn)，應(yīng)以確保產(chǎn)品的交貨期為首要目標(biāo)，其次考慮成本的優(yōu)化。 本文針對(duì)航天產(chǎn)品多平臺(tái)的特點(diǎn)，面向產(chǎn)品裝配與測(cè)試業(yè)務(wù)，建立人力資源投入產(chǎn)出模型，預(yù)測(cè)未來時(shí)期的生產(chǎn)能力，對(duì)給定的任務(wù)進(jìn)行特定壓力的測(cè)試，實(shí)現(xiàn)對(duì)未來時(shí)期內(nèi)人力資源需求水平的評(píng)估。本研究主要內(nèi)容包括： （1）綜合分析文獻(xiàn)中對(duì)各領(lǐng)域內(nèi)人力資源模型的研究，尋找不同模型之間的異同，并關(guān)注各模型的顯著特征。對(duì)于人力資源規(guī)劃問題，從預(yù)測(cè)問題和指派問題兩個(gè)角度對(duì)已有的研究進(jìn)行分析，結(jié)合實(shí)際背景分析解決問題的方法�；仡櫸墨I(xiàn)中關(guān)于建立綜合計(jì)劃管理模式的研究，以及采用的不同模型與算法。 （2）對(duì)產(chǎn)品中的每類型號(hào)平臺(tái)的各工序，確定每項(xiàng)生產(chǎn)任務(wù)的工作內(nèi)容，所需的操作工人的工種，以及標(biāo)準(zhǔn)工期與人力資源需求。確定各階段可用操作工人的人力資源狀況，各工種操作工人數(shù)量與生產(chǎn)任務(wù)負(fù)荷的匹配程度。確定在年度范圍內(nèi)，各類型號(hào)任務(wù)到達(dá)的時(shí)間點(diǎn)，以及至完工時(shí)的時(shí)間范圍。 （3）在準(zhǔn)確預(yù)測(cè)未來時(shí)期內(nèi)生產(chǎn)任務(wù)的類型與數(shù)量的前提下，對(duì)人力資源需求進(jìn)行模擬，得到人力資源負(fù)荷曲線。按多種任務(wù)負(fù)荷水平進(jìn)行多次模擬，得到不同負(fù)荷水平的壓力測(cè)試結(jié)果。以特定型號(hào)平臺(tái)為標(biāo)準(zhǔn)產(chǎn)品，評(píng)估綜合生產(chǎn)能力。 通過本文的研究，建立人力資源投入產(chǎn)出模型，實(shí)現(xiàn)未來時(shí)期任務(wù)負(fù)荷水平與人力資源水平較為準(zhǔn)確的預(yù)測(cè)，提前采取調(diào)整措施，確保任務(wù)及時(shí)完成。
[Abstract]:With the rapid development of China's aerospace industry, the AIT business of the General Department of the task volume increased significantly. Due to the different demand for human resources in different stages of product production, human resources fluctuate greatly. The production of products requires a long period of training for operational workers, if not prepared in advance, it will lead to the shortage of human resources, and maintain a high level of human resources will bring too high human costs. Under this urgent need of balance, it is of great practical significance to accurately predict the future production workload and available human resources. The prediction and planning of human resources in the long term in the future belong to the problem of comprehensive planning. It is necessary to balance the fluctuating demand of human resources with the relatively stable level of actual human resources, and to achieve the goal of maximizing the benefits through various means. For the production of aerospace products, the first objective should be to ensure the delivery time of the products, and the second consideration should be the optimization of cost. In this paper, according to the multi-platform characteristics of aerospace products, we set up a human resource input-output model for product assembly and testing business, predict the production capacity in the future period, and test the given tasks under specific pressure. To realize the evaluation of the level of human resource demand in the future period. The main contents of this study are as follows: 1) synthetically analyzing the human resource models in various fields, looking for the similarities and differences between different models, and paying attention to the remarkable characteristics of each model. For the human resource planning problem, the existing research is analyzed from the perspective of forecasting problem and assignment problem, and the method of solving the problem is analyzed in combination with the actual background. Recalling the research in the literature on the establishment of integrated planning management models, as well as the different models and algorithms used, which determine the content of each production task for each process of each type of platform in the product, The type of work required for the operator, as well as the standard duration and human resource requirements. Determine the human resource status of the operational workers in each stage and the matching degree between the number of operational workers and the production workload. Determine, within a year, the time point at which various types of tasks arrive, and the time frame from completion to completion.) on the premise of accurately predicting the type and number of production tasks in the future period, the human resource needs are simulated, The curve of human resource load is obtained. The pressure test results of different load levels are obtained by many times simulation according to various task load levels. Evaluate the comprehensive production capacity with a specific model platform as the standard product. Through the research of this paper, the author establishes the input and output model of human resources, realizes the accurate forecast of task load level and human resource level in the future period, and adopts the adjustment measures in advance to ensure the timely completion of the task.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：哈爾濱工業(yè)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號(hào)】：F426.5;F272.92;F223

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本文編號(hào)：2029450