本文選題：城鎮(zhèn)化　切入點：居民消費　出處：《廣東外語外貿(mào)大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：本文以研究廣東省城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展對居民消費需求的影響為主線，層層遞進，剖析了廣東城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展的現(xiàn)狀、廣東省城鄉(xiāng)居民消費的特征，然后運用了協(xié)整分析的方法研究了廣東省城鎮(zhèn)化的發(fā)展對城鄉(xiāng)居民消費需求的作用，并且進一步運用VAR模型和脈沖響應(yīng)函數(shù)分析研究了城鎮(zhèn)化與城鎮(zhèn)居民以及農(nóng)村居民消費間的動態(tài)關(guān)系，并在此基礎(chǔ)上提出了一些政策建議。 本文的主要的結(jié)論結(jié)果如下：第一，廣東省綜合城鎮(zhèn)化水平和人口城鎮(zhèn)化水平的發(fā)展不協(xié)調(diào)，人口城鎮(zhèn)化水平大于綜合城鎮(zhèn)化水平；第二，廣東省城鄉(xiāng)居民的消費需求、消費率、平均消費傾向以及消費結(jié)構(gòu)等均存在較大的差異；第三，廣東省城鎮(zhèn)化的發(fā)展與城鎮(zhèn)居民和農(nóng)村居民的消費需求之間存在長期穩(wěn)定的協(xié)整關(guān)系，城鎮(zhèn)化水平每變動一個百分點，，將帶來城鎮(zhèn)居民消費同方向變動1.091個百分點和農(nóng)村居民消費同方向變動0.8388個百分點；第四，脈沖響應(yīng)的結(jié)果表明廣東省城鎮(zhèn)化的發(fā)展對農(nóng)村居民和城鎮(zhèn)居民都具有正向效應(yīng)，但是對城鎮(zhèn)居民的正向效應(yīng)大于對農(nóng)村居民的正向效應(yīng)。
[Abstract]:Based on the study of the influence of the urbanization development of Guangdong Province on the consumption demand of the residents, this paper analyzes the current situation of the urbanization development in Guangdong Province and the characteristics of the consumption of urban and rural residents in Guangdong Province. Then, the co-integration analysis method is used to study the effect of the development of urbanization in Guangdong on the consumption demand of urban and rural residents. Furthermore, the dynamic relationship between urbanization and the consumption of urban and rural residents is studied by using VAR model and impulse response function, and some policy suggestions are put forward. The main conclusions of this paper are as follows: first, the level of comprehensive urbanization and the level of population urbanization in Guangdong Province is not coordinated, the level of population urbanization is greater than the level of comprehensive urbanization; second, the consumption demand of urban and rural residents in Guangdong Province, There are significant differences in consumption rate, average consumption tendency and consumption structure. Thirdly, there is a long-term stable cointegration relationship between the development of urbanization in Guangdong Province and the consumption demand of urban and rural residents. If the urbanization level changes by one percentage point, it will bring about a change of 1.091 percentage points in the same direction of consumption of urban residents and 0.8388 percentage points in the same direction of consumption of rural residents; 4th, The results of pulse response show that the development of urbanization in Guangdong Province has a positive effect on both rural and urban residents, but the positive effect on urban residents is greater than that on rural residents.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：廣東外語外貿(mào)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F299.27;F126.1

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