本文關(guān)鍵詞： 長三角 城市群 動(dòng)力機(jī)制　出處：《南京師范大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：當(dāng)今,隨著經(jīng)濟(jì)全球化和區(qū)域一體化快速發(fā)展,世界范圍內(nèi)的經(jīng)濟(jì)競爭越來越變成區(qū)域之間的競爭,而區(qū)域之間的競爭,則突出地反映為城市群的競爭。在這種形勢下,長三角城市群孕育而生。本文重點(diǎn)關(guān)注長三角城市群自產(chǎn)生以來發(fā)展過程中的動(dòng)力機(jī)制。 本文應(yīng)用增長極理論、核心—外圍理論,以及城市聚集經(jīng)濟(jì)理論等基本理論分析了城市群發(fā)展的一般規(guī)律,闡釋了城市群的內(nèi)涵、特征與類型,指出了城市群的影響因素與區(qū)域效應(yīng),提出了城市群影響因素的指標(biāo)體系。在此基礎(chǔ)上,采用Eviews6.0軟件進(jìn)行了指標(biāo)間的相關(guān)性檢驗(yàn),用面板數(shù)據(jù)的固定效應(yīng)、隨機(jī)效應(yīng)模型,Hausman檢驗(yàn)和似然比檢驗(yàn)方法對長三角城市群動(dòng)力機(jī)制進(jìn)行實(shí)證研究。最后,在理論分析和實(shí)證研究的基礎(chǔ)上提出有針對性的合理建議與政策。 本文通過研究發(fā)現(xiàn),長三角城市群主要受到政府推動(dòng)力、企業(yè)推動(dòng)力、市場吸引力、外部環(huán)境推動(dòng)力等四力驅(qū)動(dòng),這四大動(dòng)力相互作用與聯(lián)系,構(gòu)成城市群動(dòng)力機(jī)制模型。改革開放后,長三角城市群大致經(jīng)歷從發(fā)育、成長到進(jìn)一步成長等三個(gè)階段。其中,第一階段(1978～1991年)為發(fā)育形成階段,該階段城市群發(fā)展以民間鄉(xiāng)鎮(zhèn)企業(yè)推動(dòng)力為主；第二階段(1992～2002年)為成長階段,該階段城市群以政府推動(dòng)力為主；第三階段(2003年至今)為進(jìn)一步成長階段,該階段城市群以市場吸引力與外部環(huán)境推動(dòng)力為主。 在實(shí)證研究方面,以城市流強(qiáng)度測度城市群的發(fā)展程度,發(fā)現(xiàn)長三角城市群近年來的城市流強(qiáng)度逐漸提高,年末戶籍人口數(shù)量、高校學(xué)生數(shù)占年末戶籍人口比例、第三產(chǎn)業(yè)產(chǎn)值占地區(qū)生產(chǎn)總值的比重對城市流強(qiáng)度起正向的推動(dòng)作用,且具有正向的、較大的相關(guān)性,而規(guī)模以上工業(yè)企業(yè)數(shù)量、規(guī)模以上工業(yè)企業(yè)中外企數(shù)量所占比例對城市流強(qiáng)度的起正向的、較小的推動(dòng)作用,外貿(mào)依存度對城市流無顯著影響。
[Abstract]:Nowadays, with the rapid development of economic globalization and regional integration, the worldwide economic competition is becoming more and more regional competition, and the regional competition is reflected in the competition of urban agglomeration. This paper focuses on the dynamic mechanism of the development of the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration. This paper analyzes the general law of the development of urban agglomeration by using the theory of growth pole, the theory of core and periphery, and the theory of urban agglomeration, and explains the connotation, characteristics and types of urban agglomeration. The influencing factors and regional effects of urban agglomeration are pointed out, and the index system of influencing factors of urban agglomeration is put forward. On the basis of this, the correlation test between indexes is carried out by using Eviews6.0 software, and the fixed effect of panel data is used. The random effect model Hausman test and likelihood ratio test are used to study the dynamic mechanism of urban agglomeration in the Yangtze River Delta. Finally, based on the theoretical analysis and empirical research, some reasonable suggestions and policies are put forward. This paper finds that the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration is driven by four forces, such as government driving force, enterprise driving force, market attraction force, external environment driving force, and so on. After the reform and opening up to the outside world, the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration has experienced three stages: development, growth and further growth. Among them, the first stage (1978-#date0#) is the developmental stage. In this stage, the development of urban agglomeration is mainly driven by private township enterprises, the second stage is from 1992 to 2002), and the third stage (from 2003 to present) is the further growth stage. In this stage, the main driving force of urban agglomeration is market attraction and external environment. In the aspect of empirical research, it is found that the intensity of urban flow in the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration has gradually increased in recent years, and the number of registered residents at the end of the year and the number of college students account for the proportion of household registration population at the end of the year. The proportion of tertiary industry output value to regional GDP plays a positive role in promoting the intensity of urban flow, and has a positive and large correlation, while the number of industrial enterprises above the scale, The proportion of foreign enterprises in industrial enterprises above scale plays a positive and small role in promoting the intensity of urban flow, and the dependence of foreign trade has no significant effect on urban flow.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：南京師范大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F299.27

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本文編號：1530793