本文關鍵詞： 全球價值鏈 出口貿易 技術外溢 增加值貿易統(tǒng)計　出處：《北京交通大學》2014年碩士論文　論文類型：學位論文

【摘要】：第二次世界大戰(zhàn)以來,新科技革命和社會生產力發(fā)展到一個更高水平,使得產品的生產環(huán)節(jié)能夠分散地跨越國家進行。同時在世界貿易組織的推動下,貿易壁壘和外國資本投資的限制逐漸降低和減少,這些都為全球價值鏈的產生和發(fā)展提供了制度保障。全球價值鏈分工體系的形成和發(fā)展,逐漸改變著世界經濟,使中間產品貿易更加頻繁。此外,在全球價值鏈分工體系下,以往一國“生產+出口”的國際分工模式,轉變成為“進口(外包)+生產+出口”的模式。 本文首先分析了全球價值鏈分工產生的背景、特征以及我國參與全球價值鏈分工的情況。然后,闡述了全球價值鏈分工體系下出口貿易技術外溢機制。最后,建立計量模型,分別從全國層面和行業(yè)層面,對我國出口貿易技術外溢效應進行實證分析。得出的結論如下：(1)全球價值鏈分工體系中包含三個分工層次,分別為技術環(huán)節(jié)、生產環(huán)節(jié)和市場環(huán)節(jié),而我國在全球價值鏈分工中主要從事的是附加值最低的生產環(huán)節(jié),參與的形式以加工貿易形式為主；(2)全國層面模型顯示我國出口貿易水平技術外溢效應不顯著,垂直技術外溢效應顯著,行業(yè)層面模型的回歸結果表明,出口貿易水平技術外溢效應顯著,同時通過中間產品和價值鏈向后連接所產生的垂直溢出效應明顯；(3)出口流向實證結果顯示,測量水平溢出效應的系數(shù)則只有出口到美國的在1%的顯著性水平下顯著,說明我國對美國的出口貿易會產生水平溢出效應；而測量垂直溢出效應的系數(shù)只有出口到美國和日本的在1%的顯著性水平下顯著,表明我國對美國和日本的出口貿易會產生垂直溢出效應。
[Abstract]:Since the second World War, the new scientific and technological revolution and social productive forces have developed to a higher level, enabling the production of products to spread across the country. At the same time, under the impetus of the World Trade Organization. Trade barriers and restrictions on foreign capital investment have been gradually reduced, all of which provide institutional guarantee for the emergence and development of global value chain, and the formation and development of the division of labor system of global value chain. Gradually changing the world economy, making the intermediate product trade more frequent. In addition, under the global value chain division of labor system, a country in the past "production and export" international division of labor model. Change to the mode of "import (outsourcing) production and export". This paper first analyzes the background and characteristics of the global value chain division of labor, as well as China's participation in the global value chain division of labor. Then, it expounds the export trade technology spillover mechanism under the global value chain division system. The econometric model is established to analyze the spillover effect of export trade technology from the national level and the industry level respectively. The conclusion is as follows: 1) the division system of global value chain includes three levels of division of labor. It is the technical link, the production link and the market link, while our country is mainly engaged in the lowest value-added production link in the global value chain division of labor, and the form of participation is mainly in the form of processing trade. 2) the national level model shows that the technology spillover effect of export level is not significant, the vertical technology spillover effect is significant, and the regression result of the industry level model shows that the export trade level technology spillover effect is significant. At the same time, the vertical spillover effect caused by backward connection of intermediate product and value chain is obvious. 3) the empirical results of export flow show that the coefficient of horizontal spillover effect measured to the United States is significant only at the significant level of 1%, indicating that China's export trade to the United States will produce horizontal spillover effect. The coefficient of vertical spillover effect is only significant at the level of 1% for exports to the United States and Japan, indicating that China's export trade to the United States and Japan will have a vertical spillover effect.
【學位授予單位】：北京交通大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F752.62;F224

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