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宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)下行背景下“雙降”政策的有效性分析

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-02-02 10:37

  本文關(guān)鍵詞: 宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì) 經(jīng)濟(jì)下行 雙降 有效性 出處:《商場(chǎng)現(xiàn)代化》2015年28期  論文類型:期刊論文


【摘要】:目前我宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)面臨下行壓力,央行在2015年下半年先后三次實(shí)施"雙降"政策,本文對(duì)該政策的有效性進(jìn)行分析。本文先對(duì)我國(guó)當(dāng)前的宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)背景進(jìn)行描述,并在此基礎(chǔ)上引出"雙降"政策的實(shí)施,進(jìn)而從產(chǎn)能過(guò)剩、因果倒置和國(guó)企擠占金融資源三個(gè)方面分析了"雙降"政策的有效性,提出了相應(yīng)的解決措施,最終得出結(jié)論,實(shí)施"雙降"政策的有效性有限,央行及政府相關(guān)監(jiān)管當(dāng)局都應(yīng)當(dāng)更加注重對(duì)資金流向的監(jiān)督和相關(guān)配套刺激政策的實(shí)施,不違背政策的初衷。
[Abstract]:At present, China's macroeconomic is facing downward pressure, the central bank in the second half of 2015 three times to implement the "double fall" policy. This paper analyzes the effectiveness of the policy. Firstly, this paper describes the current macroeconomic background of China, and on this basis leads to the implementation of the "double fall" policy, and then from the overcapacity. This paper analyzes the effectiveness of "double descending" policy from three aspects: causality inversion and state-owned enterprise crowding out financial resources, and puts forward corresponding measures to solve it. Finally, it concludes that the effectiveness of implementing "double descending" policy is limited. Both the central bank and the relevant government regulators should pay more attention to the supervision of the capital flow and the implementation of the related stimulus policies, which are not contrary to the original intention of the policy.
【作者單位】: 南京師范大學(xué);
【分類號(hào)】:F123.16;F822.0
【正文快照】: 一、宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)背景1.內(nèi)外部經(jīng)濟(jì)形勢(shì)對(duì)比分析2015年以來(lái),外部形勢(shì)依然嚴(yán)峻,全球經(jīng)濟(jì)總體上呈溫和復(fù)蘇態(tài)勢(shì),發(fā)達(dá)經(jīng)濟(jì)體和新興經(jīng)濟(jì)體之間的增長(zhǎng)分化越來(lái)越明顯。美國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)緩慢復(fù)蘇,歐洲經(jīng)濟(jì)小幅提速,量化寬松政策的效果正在逐步顯現(xiàn),日本經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展也處于良好勢(shì)頭。但是,新興市場(chǎng)的

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