陜西省產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)與就業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展研究
本文關(guān)鍵詞: 產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu) 就業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu) 協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展 陜西省 出處:《西北農(nóng)林科技大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文 論文類型:學(xué)位論文
【摘要】:本文針對(duì)“陜西省該如何實(shí)現(xiàn)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)與就業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展”這一問題進(jìn)行了研究,在研究過程中首先分別對(duì)陜西省的產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)和就業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)演變過程及現(xiàn)狀進(jìn)行了分析,然后對(duì)兩者之間的關(guān)系和協(xié)調(diào)性進(jìn)行了研究和評(píng)價(jià),并在從效率角度對(duì)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)與就業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)實(shí)現(xiàn)協(xié)調(diào)的優(yōu)化路徑進(jìn)行理論分析的基礎(chǔ)上明確陜西省未來產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)與就業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展的方向。最終在上述研究的基礎(chǔ)上形成對(duì)存在問題的總結(jié)與實(shí)現(xiàn)二者協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展的對(duì)策建議。本次研究所得出的主要結(jié)論有如下幾點(diǎn): (1)陜西省的產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)與就業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的演變與一般經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展規(guī)律相符,但陜西省產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)與就業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)仍存在一些問題。產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的問題主要表現(xiàn)在第二產(chǎn)業(yè)比重較大,尤其是重工業(yè)化程度明顯,第三產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展嚴(yán)重滯后產(chǎn)業(yè)比重開始下滑;就業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的問題表現(xiàn)在第一產(chǎn)業(yè)仍存在大量的勞動(dòng)力,二產(chǎn)業(yè)對(duì)就業(yè)的吸納作用不強(qiáng),第三產(chǎn)業(yè)就業(yè)比重偏低且開始下滑,新興服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展不充分,同時(shí)還呈現(xiàn)出第一產(chǎn)業(yè)勞動(dòng)力直接流向第三產(chǎn)業(yè)和就業(yè)集中于農(nóng)村地區(qū)兩個(gè)特征。 (2)在三次產(chǎn)業(yè)中,陜西省一、三產(chǎn)業(yè)的產(chǎn)業(yè)比重與就業(yè)比重之間存在著較大的相關(guān)性,第二產(chǎn)業(yè)不僅自身內(nèi)部產(chǎn)業(yè)比重與就業(yè)比重相關(guān)性不強(qiáng),同時(shí)與一、三產(chǎn)業(yè)的交叉相關(guān)性也較弱。在產(chǎn)業(yè)的總體層面,產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)與就業(yè)增長(zhǎng)都呈現(xiàn)變化幅度逐漸縮小的趨勢(shì),而就業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的變動(dòng)程度越來越強(qiáng),同時(shí)短期格蘭杰因果檢驗(yàn)結(jié)果中,只有就業(yè)增長(zhǎng)是促進(jìn)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整的格蘭杰原因得到支持,這些結(jié)果陜西省產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整不僅不利于擴(kuò)大就業(yè)規(guī)模而且存在著被動(dòng)性,就業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)變動(dòng)無法形成對(duì)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)的促進(jìn)作用。 (3)陜西省目前產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)與就業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的協(xié)調(diào)性只有中級(jí)協(xié)調(diào)程度,一、二產(chǎn)業(yè)產(chǎn)值比重與就業(yè)比重失調(diào)是不協(xié)調(diào)產(chǎn)生的主要原因。陜西省的三次產(chǎn)業(yè)按勞動(dòng)生產(chǎn)率大小排列依次為“二、三、一”,并且第三產(chǎn)業(yè)已經(jīng)接近于社會(huì)平均水平,在未來一段時(shí)間內(nèi)吸納勞動(dòng)力的能力將明顯減弱,因此未來階段陜西省產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)與就業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)實(shí)現(xiàn)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展應(yīng)堅(jiān)持的大方向是“以第二產(chǎn)業(yè)部門為主要吸納勞動(dòng)力的部門,優(yōu)化工業(yè)內(nèi)部的結(jié)構(gòu),,增強(qiáng)第二產(chǎn)業(yè)吸納勞動(dòng)力的能力,同時(shí)大力發(fā)展第三產(chǎn)業(yè),尤其是新興服務(wù)業(yè),來拓寬第一產(chǎn)業(yè)勞動(dòng)力的轉(zhuǎn)移路徑”。 (4)研究中結(jié)合國(guó)家、陜西省的一些制度、政策以及基本情況對(duì)造成陜西產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)與就業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的問題的原因進(jìn)行了分析,并認(rèn)為相關(guān)部門可以從加快戶籍改革與社會(huì)保障制度、優(yōu)化第二產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)部結(jié)構(gòu)、大力發(fā)展第三產(chǎn)業(yè)、合理把握技術(shù)進(jìn)步與就業(yè)的關(guān)系、加強(qiáng)勞動(dòng)力市場(chǎng)建設(shè)與勞動(dòng)力素質(zhì)培訓(xùn)等方面入手,促進(jìn)陜西省產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)與就業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展。
[Abstract]:This paper focuses on the problem of how to realize the coordinated development of industrial structure and employment structure in Shaanxi Province. In the course of the study, the evolution process and current situation of industrial structure and employment structure in Shaanxi Province are analyzed, and then the relationship and coordination between them are studied and evaluated. On the basis of theoretical analysis of the optimal path to realize the coordination between industrial structure and employment structure from the angle of efficiency, the direction of future coordinated development of industrial structure and employment structure in Shaanxi Province is clarified. Finally, the basis of the above research is given. The main conclusions of this study are as follows:. 1) the evolution of industrial structure and employment structure in Shaanxi Province is consistent with the general economic development law. However, there are still some problems in the industrial structure and employment structure in Shaanxi Province. The main problems of industrial structure are the high proportion of the secondary industry, especially the obvious degree of heavy industry. The development of tertiary industry is seriously lagging behind the proportion of industry began to decline; The problem of employment structure is that there is still a large number of labor force in the primary industry, the role of the secondary industry in absorbing employment is not strong, the proportion of employment in the tertiary industry is low and declining, and the new service industry is not fully developed. At the same time, it also presents two characteristics: the direct flow of labor force from the primary industry to the tertiary industry and the concentration of employment in the rural areas. Among the three industries, there is a great correlation between the industrial proportion and the employment proportion of the first and third industries in Shaanxi Province, and the second industry is not only its own internal industrial proportion and employment proportion is not strong correlation. At the same time, the cross-correlation with the first and third industries is also weak. In the overall level of industry, the upgrading of industrial structure and employment growth are gradually shrinking trend, and the degree of change of employment structure is becoming stronger and stronger. At the same time, in the short-term Granger causality test, only the employment growth is the Granger reason to promote the industrial structure adjustment. These results show that the adjustment of industrial structure in Shaanxi Province is not only unfavorable to the expansion of employment scale, but also passive, and the change of employment structure can not promote the upgrading of industrial structure. At present, the coordination of industrial structure and employment structure in Shaanxi Province is only intermediate level. The imbalance between the proportion of the output value of the second industry and the proportion of employment is the main reason for the disharmony. The three industries in Shaanxi Province are in order of "two, three, one" according to the size of labor productivity. And the tertiary industry has been close to the social average level, in the future, the ability to absorb labor will be significantly weakened. Therefore, in the future, the main direction of the coordinated development of industrial structure and employment structure in Shaanxi Province should be "taking the secondary industrial sector as the main department to absorb labor force, and optimizing the internal structure of the industry." We should strengthen the ability of the secondary industry to absorb labor force, and vigorously develop the tertiary industry, especially the new service industry, to broaden the transfer path of the labor force in the primary industry. In the study, the author analyzes the causes of the problems of industrial structure and employment structure of Shaanxi Province, combining with some systems, policies and basic conditions of the state and Shaanxi Province. The author thinks that the relevant departments can speed up the household registration reform and the social security system, optimize the internal structure of the secondary industry, vigorously develop the tertiary industry, and reasonably grasp the relationship between technological progress and employment. In order to promote the harmonious development of industrial structure and employment structure in Shaanxi Province, the construction of labor market and the training of labor quality should be strengthened.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:西北農(nóng)林科技大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2014
【分類號(hào)】:F121.3;F249.21
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