本文關(guān)鍵詞：安徽省生態(tài)足跡與可持續(xù)發(fā)展研究　出處：《中國科學(xué)技術(shù)大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

  更多相關(guān)文章： 安徽省 生態(tài)足跡 生態(tài)承載力 生態(tài)赤字 可持續(xù)發(fā)展

【摘要】：近年來,安徽省在取得工業(yè)化和城市化輝煌成就的同時(shí),面臨日益嚴(yán)峻的水污染和霧霾天氣等環(huán)境問題。為促進(jìn)經(jīng)濟(jì)社會與人口資源環(huán)境協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展,安徽省在第九次黨代會上提出“生態(tài)強(qiáng)省”和“美好安徽”的戰(zhàn)略目標(biāo),并在《安徽省“十二五”環(huán)境保護(hù)規(guī)劃》中要求提高資源環(huán)境承載力,走可持續(xù)發(fā)展之路,故本文基于生態(tài)足跡理論分析了安徽省的人均生態(tài)足跡賬戶和可持續(xù)發(fā)展?fàn)顩r。 首先,在梳理生態(tài)足跡相關(guān)概念及研究成果的基礎(chǔ)上,基于可變世界產(chǎn)量法和時(shí)間序列數(shù)據(jù)計(jì)算了安徽省1995-2011年的人均生態(tài)足跡賬戶,結(jié)果表明安徽省的人均生態(tài)足跡由1.02公頃上升至2.24公頃,而其同期的人均生態(tài)承載力僅從0.478公頃上升到0.663公頃；人均生態(tài)足跡的大幅增加使安徽省人均生態(tài)赤字由0.54公頃上升至1.58公頃。具體而言,在生態(tài)足跡方面,安徽省除耕地生態(tài)足跡人均占有量稍微下降外,其化石能源地、建成地、牧草地、林地和水域的人均生態(tài)足跡均出現(xiàn)較大幅度的上升；在生態(tài)承載力方面,安徽省除水域生態(tài)承載力的人均占有量略微下降外,其耕地、牧草地、林地、建成地的人均生態(tài)承載力均有所增加；就生態(tài)赤字而言,安徽省除耕地和建成地處于生態(tài)盈余狀態(tài)外,其牧草地、林地、水域及化石能源用地均為生態(tài)赤字且赤字分別從1995年的0.014公頃、0.004公頃、0.046公頃和0.527公頃上升至2011年的0.089公頃、0.019公頃、0.119公頃及1.48公頃。 其次,利用萬元GDP生態(tài)足跡、生態(tài)足跡多樣性指數(shù)、人口赤字評價(jià)了安徽省的資源利用效率、消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)合理性和人口超載程度。其中,在資源利用效率方面,安徽省的資源利用效率雖不斷提高,但與我國平均水平及江蘇、浙江等地相比,其資源利用效率較低。在消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)合理性方面,化石能源足跡增加導(dǎo)致安徽省消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)的合理性不斷降低。在人口超載程度方面,人均生態(tài)足跡的過快上升使安徽省適度人口規(guī)模不斷下降,其人口赤字和人口超載問題日益加劇。 此外,運(yùn)用STIRPAT模型分析了安徽省生態(tài)足跡不斷上升的驅(qū)動因素,得出單位GDP能耗對安徽省人均生態(tài)足跡的影響并不顯著；安徽省的人均生態(tài)足跡主要受第二產(chǎn)業(yè)占GDP比重、人均消費(fèi)支出影響且與它們正相關(guān)。 最后,基于研究結(jié)論從提高生態(tài)承載力,優(yōu)化產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu),減少化石能源消費(fèi),控制人口規(guī)模、提倡合理消費(fèi),將生態(tài)足跡賬戶納入政府考核體系等方面提出政策建議,并對未來研究進(jìn)行展望。
[Abstract]:In recent years, Anhui province has made brilliant achievements in the process of industrialization and the city at the same time, facing the increasingly serious water pollution and haze weather and other environmental problems. In order to promote the coordinated development of economy and population, resources and environment, Anhui province put forward the "ecological province" and "beautiful Anhui" strategic goal in the Ninth Party Congress, and in "Anhui Province," 12th Five-Year "environmental protection plan > requirements to improve the carrying capacity of resources and environment, take the road of sustainable development, this paper based on the theory of ecological footprint analysis in Anhui Province, the per capita ecological footprint accounts and sustainable development.
First of all, the basic concepts and research achievements in combing the ecological footprint, per capita ecological footprint of Anhui province in 1995-2011 account to calculate the variable world production method and based on the time series data, results showed that the per capita ecological footprint of Anhui province from 1.02 hectares to 2.24 hectares rise, the per capita ecological carrying capacity over the same period from only 0.478 hectares up to 0.663 hectares; the per capita ecological footprint increased the per capita ecological deficit in Anhui province from 0.54 hectares to 1.58 hectares of rose. Specifically, in terms of ecological footprint in Anhui Province, cultivated land ecological footprint per capita are slightly decreased, the fossil energy land, construction land, grassland, forest and water per capita ecological footprint there were increased greatly; the ecological carrying capacity in Anhui Province, the per capita ecological carrying capacity decreased slightly in the waters, the cultivated land, grassland, forest land, construction As the per capita ecological carrying capacity increased; ecological deficit in Anhui Province, in addition to cultivated land and built in ecological surplus, the grassland, woodland, waters and fossil energy land for ecological deficit and the deficit respectively from 1995 to 0.014 hectares, 0.004 hectares, 0.046 hectares and 0.527 hectares to rise in 2011 0.089 hectares, 0.019 hectares, 0.119 hectares and 1.48 hectares.
Secondly, using GDP ecological footprint, ecological footprint diversity index, population deficit of Anhui province with evaluate the resource utilization efficiency, consumption structure and population overload degree. Among them, the resource utilization efficiency, the efficiency is to improve the use of resources in Anhui Province, but with the average level of our country and Jiangsu, compared to Zhejiang and the resource utilization efficiency is low. The rationality of consumption structure, increase the fossil energy footprint in Anhui province led to rationality of consumption structure is continuously decreasing. In population overload level, the per capita ecological footprint on the rise too fast to the appropriate scale of Anhui province population continued to decline, the population deficit and population overload problems become more and more serious.
In addition, the use of STIRPAT model to analyze the driving factors of the ecological footprint of Anhui province rising, the unit GDP energy consumption per capita ecological footprint of Anhui province is not significant; the per capita ecological footprint of Anhui province is mainly affected by the second industry accounted for the proportion of GDP, per capita consumption expenditure and their effects are related.
Finally, based on the conclusions, policy recommendations are put forward from the aspects of improving ecological carrying capacity, optimizing industrial structure, reducing fossil energy consumption, controlling population size, promoting rational consumption, and integrating ecological footprint accounts into government assessment system.

【學(xué)位授予單位】：中國科學(xué)技術(shù)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：X22;F127

【參考文獻(xiàn)】

中國期刊全文數(shù)據(jù)庫 前10條

1 張志強(qiáng),程國棟,徐中民;可持續(xù)發(fā)展評估指標(biāo)、方法及應(yīng)用研究[J];冰川凍土;2002年04期

2 蔣莉,陳治諫,沈興菊,郭娜;生態(tài)足跡影響因子的定量分析——以中國各省(區(qū)市)1999年生態(tài)足跡為例[J];長江流域資源與環(huán)境;2005年02期

3 傅春;陳煒;歐陽瑩;;環(huán)鄱陽湖區(qū)生態(tài)足跡與經(jīng)濟(jì)產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展關(guān)系的實(shí)證研究[J];長江流域資源與環(huán)境;2011年12期

4 成淑敏;高陽;黃姣;楊卓翔;;京津冀及江浙滬經(jīng)濟(jì)圈生態(tài)足跡比較分析[J];長江流域資源與環(huán)境;2012年04期

5 邱東;席瑋;;投入產(chǎn)出生態(tài)占用模型及在中國的應(yīng)用[J];財(cái)經(jīng)問題研究;2008年08期

6 王亞菲;陳長;;北京市生態(tài)足跡的投入產(chǎn)出分析[J];城市發(fā)展研究;2009年04期

7 魯鳳;徐建華;王占永;胡秀芳;;生態(tài)足跡影響因子定量分析及其動態(tài)預(yù)測比較研究——以新疆為例[J];地理與地理信息科學(xué);2010年06期

8 肖思思;黃賢金;吳春篤;;江蘇省生態(tài)足跡時(shí)間維度變化及其驅(qū)動因素分析——基于PLS方法對STIRPAT模型的修正[J];地理與地理信息科學(xué);2012年03期

9 徐中民,張志強(qiáng),程國棟;甘肅省1998年生態(tài)足跡計(jì)算與分析[J];地理學(xué)報(bào);2000年05期

10 張志強(qiáng),徐中民,程國棟,陳東景;中國西部12省(區(qū)市)的生態(tài)足跡[J];地理學(xué)報(bào);2001年05期

，

本文編號：1403180