本文關(guān)鍵詞：中國(guó)能源消費(fèi)、碳排放與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的動(dòng)態(tài)關(guān)系分析　出處：《山東理工大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文　論文類(lèi)型：學(xué)位論文

  更多相關(guān)文章： 低碳經(jīng)濟(jì) 能源消費(fèi) 碳排放 經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)

【摘要】：改革開(kāi)放以來(lái)，我國(guó)的經(jīng)濟(jì)實(shí)現(xiàn)了飛躍式發(fā)展，經(jīng)濟(jì)實(shí)力空前增強(qiáng)，而隨之而來(lái)的是能源消費(fèi)和碳排放量的急劇增長(zhǎng)，，目前，我國(guó)的能源消費(fèi)總量和二氧化碳排放量都位居全球第二位。發(fā)展低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)作為協(xié)調(diào)社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展、保障能源安全與應(yīng)對(duì)氣候變化的基本途徑，已得到世界各國(guó)普遍認(rèn)同。我國(guó)正處于工業(yè)化和新型城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展的重要時(shí)期，經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)與資源、環(huán)境約束的矛盾日益突出，隨著低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)的加速與深入發(fā)展，傳統(tǒng)的高碳經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展模式面臨嚴(yán)峻挑戰(zhàn)，發(fā)展低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)勢(shì)在必行。 能源消費(fèi)、碳排放與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)三者之間的關(guān)系是一個(gè)復(fù)雜的系統(tǒng)關(guān)系。一方面，能源作為經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的物質(zhì)基礎(chǔ)和助推器，是經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的必要條件；另一方面，能源消費(fèi)導(dǎo)致了碳排放的產(chǎn)生，影響了經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的質(zhì)量。因此，在能源消費(fèi)和碳排放的雙重約束下，如何保持經(jīng)濟(jì)的持續(xù)、穩(wěn)定、綠色、健康發(fā)展是一個(gè)亟待解決的關(guān)鍵性問(wèn)題。如何在發(fā)展低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)的道路上協(xié)調(diào)好能源消費(fèi)、碳排放與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)三者的關(guān)系尤為重要。 關(guān)于此方面的研究，很多學(xué)者只考察能源消費(fèi)與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)，碳排放與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)兩者之間的關(guān)系，而對(duì)于能源消費(fèi)、碳排放與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)三者之間的關(guān)系的研究卻相對(duì)較少。本文在對(duì)國(guó)內(nèi)外相關(guān)文獻(xiàn)梳理總結(jié)的基礎(chǔ)上，分別基于全國(guó)范圍和東中西部地區(qū)，對(duì)1990—2009年能源消費(fèi)、碳排放和經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行了統(tǒng)計(jì)分析與比較，發(fā)現(xiàn)我國(guó)的能源消費(fèi)、碳排放和經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)，無(wú)論是從量的角度還是從增速角度都位居世界前列，同時(shí)呈現(xiàn)較為顯著的區(qū)域差異性，東部地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)達(dá)，能源消費(fèi)與碳排放較多，中部地區(qū)次之，西部地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)落后，能源消費(fèi)與碳排放最少，但增速較快，發(fā)展空間大。之后本文對(duì)能源消費(fèi)和碳排放的影響因素作了實(shí)證分析，發(fā)現(xiàn)能源消費(fèi)與經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平、產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)、技術(shù)水平和城市化水平存在長(zhǎng)期的均衡關(guān)系，而碳排放與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)、產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)、人口數(shù)量、能源價(jià)格、能源效率和生活水平等因素存在著長(zhǎng)期協(xié)整關(guān)系。在此基礎(chǔ)上，本文對(duì)能源消費(fèi)、碳排放與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)三者之間的動(dòng)態(tài)關(guān)系進(jìn)行了實(shí)證研究，研究表明：能源消費(fèi)、碳排放與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)之間存在長(zhǎng)期協(xié)整關(guān)系。能源消費(fèi)是經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)和碳排放的原因，經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)也是能源消費(fèi)和碳排放的原因，同時(shí)碳排放也是經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的原因；能源消費(fèi)對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)和碳排放，經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)對(duì)能源消費(fèi)和碳排放的影響都是正向的，其作用機(jī)制基本相同，影響程度有所差異。在此研究基礎(chǔ)上，本文提出了相關(guān)的政策建議。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, China's economy has achieved a leapfrog development, the economic strength of unprecedented enhancement, and followed by a sharp increase in energy consumption and carbon emissions, at present. China's total energy consumption and carbon dioxide emissions are ranked second in the world. The development of low-carbon economy as a basic way to coordinate social and economic development, to ensure energy security and to deal with climate change. China is in an important period of industrialization and new urbanization. The contradiction between economic growth and resources, environmental constraints is increasingly prominent, with the acceleration and in-depth development of low-carbon economy. The traditional development mode of high-carbon economy is facing severe challenge, so it is imperative to develop low-carbon economy. The relationship among energy consumption, carbon emission and economic growth is a complex systematic relationship. On the one hand, as the material basis and booster of economic growth, energy is the necessary condition of economic development. On the other hand, energy consumption leads to the generation of carbon emissions and affects the quality of economic development. Therefore, under the dual constraints of energy consumption and carbon emissions, how to keep the economy sustainable, stable and green. How to coordinate energy consumption on the road of developing low-carbon economy, the relationship between carbon emission and economic growth is particularly important. Regarding this aspect of research, many scholars only examine the relationship between energy consumption and economic growth, carbon emissions and economic growth, but for energy consumption. The research on the relationship between carbon emissions and economic growth is relatively few. This paper summarizes the relevant literature at home and abroad, respectively based on the national scope and the central and western regions. The data of energy consumption, carbon emission and economic growth from 1990 to 2009 are statistically analyzed and compared. It is found that China's energy consumption, carbon emissions and economic growth. Whether from the perspective of volume or from the point of view of growth rate of the world are in the forefront, at the same time showing a more significant regional differences, economic development in the eastern region, energy consumption and carbon emissions are more, followed by the central region. The western region is backward in economy, the energy consumption and carbon emissions are the least, but the growth rate is fast, and the space for development is large. Then, this paper makes an empirical analysis on the influencing factors of energy consumption and carbon emissions. It is found that there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between energy consumption and economic development level, industrial structure, technology level and urbanization level, while carbon emissions and economic growth, industrial structure, population size, energy price. There is a long-term cointegration relationship between energy efficiency and living standard. On this basis, the dynamic relationship among energy consumption, carbon emissions and economic growth is studied empirically in this paper. The results show that there is a long-term cointegration relationship between energy consumption, carbon emissions and economic growth. Energy consumption is the cause of economic growth and carbon emissions, and economic growth is also the reason of energy consumption and carbon emissions. At the same time, carbon emissions are also the cause of economic growth; The impact of energy consumption on economic growth and carbon emissions, economic growth on energy consumption and carbon emissions are positive, its mechanism is basically the same, the impact degree is different. This paper puts forward some relevant policy suggestions.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：山東理工大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】：F426.2;F205;F124.1

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