本文選題：農(nóng)戶 + 農(nóng)產(chǎn)品期貨市場(chǎng)　； 參考：《天津商業(yè)大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文

【摘要】：隨著經(jīng)濟(jì)一體化的不斷發(fā)展,我國(guó)農(nóng)產(chǎn)品現(xiàn)貨價(jià)格波動(dòng)頻繁,農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)面臨很大的不確定性風(fēng)險(xiǎn),農(nóng)戶“小生產(chǎn)”與“大市場(chǎng)”之間的矛盾?chē)?yán)重制約了我國(guó)農(nóng)民增收和農(nóng)村經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展,而農(nóng)產(chǎn)品期貨市場(chǎng)具有的價(jià)格發(fā)現(xiàn)和套期保值功能在減緩農(nóng)產(chǎn)品現(xiàn)貨價(jià)格波動(dòng)、指引農(nóng)民合理安排生產(chǎn)、穩(wěn)定農(nóng)民收益、推進(jìn)農(nóng)業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)化經(jīng)營(yíng)和現(xiàn)代化發(fā)展等方面具有重要作用。在此背景下,如何促進(jìn)我國(guó)農(nóng)戶與農(nóng)產(chǎn)品期貨市場(chǎng)的對(duì)接,幫助農(nóng)戶利用農(nóng)產(chǎn)品期貨市場(chǎng)規(guī)避農(nóng)業(yè)風(fēng)險(xiǎn),是當(dāng)前“三農(nóng)”問(wèn)題的一項(xiàng)重要任務(wù)。本文旨在研究我國(guó)農(nóng)戶與農(nóng)產(chǎn)品期貨市場(chǎng)對(duì)接的障礙,論證對(duì)接中各主要障礙的影響因素,在此基礎(chǔ)上探討破除各主要障礙的具體措施,從而達(dá)到加快農(nóng)戶與農(nóng)產(chǎn)品期貨市場(chǎng)有效對(duì)接的目的。本文采用定性研究與定量分析相結(jié)合,通過(guò)實(shí)地調(diào)研、理論模型和計(jì)量實(shí)證等方法,在基本核心概念界定和相關(guān)理論闡述的基礎(chǔ)上,按照現(xiàn)狀描述—問(wèn)題發(fā)現(xiàn)—對(duì)策建議的思路進(jìn)行研究。首先,從農(nóng)戶參與農(nóng)產(chǎn)品期貨市場(chǎng)的規(guī)模比例、參與方式及參與動(dòng)機(jī)等方面著手分析我國(guó)農(nóng)戶參與農(nóng)產(chǎn)品期貨市場(chǎng)的現(xiàn)狀,分析發(fā)現(xiàn)農(nóng)戶與期貨市場(chǎng)對(duì)接中存在認(rèn)知偏差、履約困境和套期保值風(fēng)險(xiǎn)等主要障礙;其次,理論分析各主要障礙對(duì)農(nóng)戶與農(nóng)產(chǎn)品期貨市場(chǎng)對(duì)接的作用機(jī)理;再次,深入研究影響各主要障礙的具體因素;最后,針對(duì)不同問(wèn)題提出促進(jìn)農(nóng)戶與農(nóng)產(chǎn)品期貨市場(chǎng)對(duì)接的若干政策建議,通過(guò)拓寬農(nóng)戶的信息獲取途徑、提供真實(shí)有效的期貨信息、創(chuàng)新農(nóng)戶的期貨培訓(xùn)方式、積極發(fā)展和創(chuàng)新中介組織、完善期貨市場(chǎng)的法律法規(guī)和加強(qiáng)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)監(jiān)控體系建設(shè)等措施,消除農(nóng)戶對(duì)農(nóng)產(chǎn)品期貨的認(rèn)知偏差,積極引導(dǎo)農(nóng)戶通過(guò)中介組織間接參與農(nóng)產(chǎn)品期貨市場(chǎng),充分利用套期保值實(shí)現(xiàn)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)規(guī)避和穩(wěn)定增收。
[Abstract]:With the continuous development of economic integration, the spot prices of agricultural products in China fluctuate frequently, and agricultural production faces great uncertainty risks. The contradiction between peasant household "small production" and "big market" has seriously restricted the increase of farmers' income and the development of rural economy, while the function of price discovery and hedging in agricultural futures market is to slow down the fluctuation of spot price of agricultural products. It plays an important role in guiding farmers to arrange production rationally, stabilizing farmers' income and promoting agricultural industrialization and modernization. Under this background, how to promote the docking between farmers and futures market of agricultural products and how to help farmers to avoid agricultural risks by using futures market of agricultural products is an important task of the current "agriculture, rural areas and farmers" problem. The purpose of this paper is to study the obstacles to the docking between farmers and the futures market of agricultural products, to demonstrate the influencing factors of the main obstacles in the docking process, and to discuss the concrete measures to break down the main obstacles on this basis. In order to speed up the farmers and agricultural futures market effective docking purpose. This paper adopts the combination of qualitative research and quantitative analysis, through field investigation, theoretical model and econometric demonstration, on the basis of defining the basic core concepts and expounding relevant theories. According to the current situation description-problem discovery-countermeasures and suggestions for the train of thought. First of all, the paper analyzes the current situation of farmers' participation in agricultural futures market from the aspects of scale ratio, participation mode and motivation of farmers' participation in agricultural futures market, and finds that there is cognitive bias in the connection between farmers and futures market. Implementation dilemma and hedging risk and other major obstacles; secondly, theoretical analysis of the main obstacles to farmers and agricultural product futures market docking mechanism; third, in-depth study of specific factors affecting the main obstacles; finally, In view of different problems, this paper puts forward some policy suggestions to promote the linkage between farmers and futures market of agricultural products. By widening the ways of obtaining information for farmers, providing real and effective futures information, and innovating the way of futures training for farmers, the paper puts forward some suggestions on how to improve the futures training To actively develop and innovate intermediary organizations, improve the laws and regulations of the futures market, and strengthen the construction of a risk monitoring system, so as to eliminate the cognitive bias of farmers toward agricultural futures, We should actively guide farmers to participate indirectly in the agricultural product futures market through intermediary organizations and make full use of hedging to achieve risk aversion and stable income increase.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：天津商業(yè)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】：F724.5

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