本文選題：區(qū)域性去工業(yè)化　切入點：技術(shù)創(chuàng)新　出處：《上海師范大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：去工業(yè)化是和工業(yè)化相對應(yīng)的一個概念,表現(xiàn)為制造業(yè)部門或其生產(chǎn)資源在國家之間、地區(qū)之間乃至不同產(chǎn)業(yè)之間轉(zhuǎn)移的一種現(xiàn)象,從量化的角度,去工業(yè)化表現(xiàn)為制造業(yè)的產(chǎn)值、就業(yè)等絕對或相對指標(biāo)的持續(xù)下降。美國、英國、日本等發(fā)達(dá)國家在經(jīng)歷了經(jīng)濟高速發(fā)展的工業(yè)化進(jìn)程后,又先后經(jīng)歷了制造業(yè)部門不斷衰退的去工業(yè)化過程。改革開放以來,中國依托比較低廉的土地成本、勞動力成本、原材料成本等優(yōu)勢,承接了歐美市場龐大的生產(chǎn)線和技術(shù)能力,國際制造業(yè)部門大量涌入,中國經(jīng)濟也因此得到了快速發(fā)展,創(chuàng)造了世界經(jīng)濟奇跡并成為了名副其實的“世界工廠”。然而,在經(jīng)歷了多年的高速增長后,中國經(jīng)濟現(xiàn)階段進(jìn)入了新常態(tài):GDP增速放緩,經(jīng)濟轉(zhuǎn)型升級和產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整成為常態(tài)。本文的數(shù)據(jù)分析表明,我國部分地區(qū)的制造業(yè)產(chǎn)值和就業(yè)指標(biāo)已經(jīng)出現(xiàn)了連續(xù)的下降,表現(xiàn)出顯著的去工業(yè)化現(xiàn)象。去工業(yè)化過程對地區(qū)經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的影響,主要可以分為兩類:積極的影響和消極的影響。目前來看,消極影響的觀點占據(jù)了學(xué)術(shù)界的主流,大部分學(xué)者認(rèn)為,制造業(yè)是國家經(jīng)濟增長的動力源泉(Kaldor,1967),是技術(shù)創(chuàng)新和擴散導(dǎo)致的供給增長的源泉(Hersh和Weller,2003),所以,一個地區(qū)的去工業(yè)化導(dǎo)致制造業(yè)部門的萎縮或轉(zhuǎn)移,也必然會導(dǎo)致該地區(qū)出現(xiàn)創(chuàng)新不足的困境;持相反觀點的學(xué)者則認(rèn)為,去工業(yè)化是在一個地區(qū)經(jīng)濟發(fā)展到較高水平時必然出現(xiàn)的現(xiàn)象,是經(jīng)濟結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整的結(jié)果,不僅不會導(dǎo)致經(jīng)濟增長的停滯還能夠帶動經(jīng)濟持續(xù)、穩(wěn)定的發(fā)展。縱觀歐美發(fā)達(dá)國家去工業(yè)化的過程及影響可知,由于基本國情不同,各國去工業(yè)化的過程及其影響也存在較大差異,既有積極的影響也存在消極、負(fù)面的影響。當(dāng)前,我國已經(jīng)出現(xiàn)了較顯著的區(qū)域性去工業(yè)化現(xiàn)象,而關(guān)于去工業(yè)化對我國經(jīng)濟發(fā)展和技術(shù)創(chuàng)新的影響同樣存在較大爭議,去工業(yè)化將會給我國的經(jīng)濟發(fā)展帶來何種結(jié)果,是值得我們進(jìn)行深入探討的話題�，F(xiàn)階段,我國正處于產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整的重要時期,供給端的產(chǎn)能過剩和需求端的消費升級推動了我國的供給側(cè)改革,在產(chǎn)業(yè)改革的過程中,技術(shù)創(chuàng)新是實現(xiàn)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整、驅(qū)動經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的重要途徑,基于此,本文通過建立計量回歸模型,實證分析了區(qū)域性去工業(yè)化對技術(shù)創(chuàng)新的影響,進(jìn)而探討了去工業(yè)化對我國產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整和經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的影響。首先,文章對去工業(yè)化的內(nèi)涵和類別進(jìn)行了解釋和劃分,根據(jù)相關(guān)理論探討了去工業(yè)化與技術(shù)創(chuàng)新的內(nèi)在影響機制;其次,對我國的去工業(yè)化現(xiàn)狀進(jìn)行了分析,分別從全國層面和地區(qū)層面對我國的去工業(yè)化進(jìn)行了度量分析;最后,構(gòu)建面板數(shù)據(jù)模型研究我國區(qū)域性去工業(yè)化對技術(shù)創(chuàng)新的影響,本文還在計量模型中引入了二次項,分析去工業(yè)化與技術(shù)創(chuàng)新之間是否存在非線性關(guān)系。實證結(jié)果表明:(1)我國的區(qū)域性去工業(yè)化對技術(shù)創(chuàng)新的影響是一個由促進(jìn)到抑制的過程,表現(xiàn)出倒“U”型的非線性關(guān)系;(2)由于去工業(yè)化的過程以及區(qū)域規(guī)劃不同,我國區(qū)域性去工業(yè)化對技術(shù)創(chuàng)新的影響也存在差異。最后,本文結(jié)合區(qū)域經(jīng)濟發(fā)展規(guī)劃和產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展特點,分析了去工業(yè)化的影響并給出以下建議:1.要進(jìn)行積極的去工業(yè)化,產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整與區(qū)域規(guī)劃相結(jié)合;2.各地區(qū)需明確產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展方向,優(yōu)化產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu),保留并發(fā)展優(yōu)勢、核心產(chǎn)業(yè)。
[Abstract]:Industrialization is a concept of industrialization and the corresponding to the performance of the manufacturing sector or the production resources between countries, a phenomenon of transfer between regions and different industries, from a quantitative point of view to industrialization for manufacturing output, employment continued to decline in absolute or relative index. The United States, England Japan and other developed countries, has experienced rapid economic development after the process of industrialization, and has gone through the manufacturing sector continues to decline to the industrialization process. Since the reform and opening up, Chinese relying on relatively low land costs, labor costs, raw material costs and other advantages, to undertake large market and production line and technical ability. The influx of international manufacturing sector, China economy has been rapid development, has created an economic miracle in the world and become worthy of the name "world factory". However, after After years of rapid growth, the economy has entered a new stage of Chinese normal: GDP slowdown, economic transformation and upgrading of industrial structure adjustment become the norm. The data analysis shows that in some areas of China's manufacturing output and employment index has been continuous decline, showed a significant influence to the industrialization phenomenon. The industrialization process of regional economic development, which can be divided into two categories: positive and negative effects. At present, the negative influence of view occupy the mainstream of academic circles, most scholars believe that the manufacturing industry is the power source of national economic growth (Kaldor, 1967), is the source of technological innovation and diffusion results supply growth (Hersh and Weller, 2003), so that a region to industrialization led to the manufacturing sector to shrink or transfer, will inevitably lead to the region suffered a new problem; the opposite The views of scholars are of the opinion that is in a regional economic development to a higher level of the inevitable phenomenon of industrialization, the adjustment of economic structure is the result, not only does not lead to the stagnation of economic growth but also to drive the economy sustained, stable development. The process and effect of industrialization in developed countries throughout Europe and the United States to know, because the basic conditions are different all countries, to process and the influence of industrialization are quite different, both have a positive effect also exists negative, negative effects. At present, our country has been in a significant regional industrialization phenomenon, and on the impact of industrialization on China's economic development and technological innovation is also controversial to industrialization will what were the results for the economic development of our country, is worthy of our in-depth discussion. At present, our country is in the important period of adjustment of industrial structure, supply The end of the excess capacity and the demand side of the supply side to promote the Consumption Upgrade Reform of our country, in the process of industry reform, technological innovation is an important way to realize the adjustment of industrial structure, drive economic development, based on this, this paper through the establishment of regression model, an empirical analysis of the influence to regional industrialization of technological innovation. And then discusses the influence to the industrialization of our country industrial structure adjustment and economic development. Firstly, the connotation and categories of industrialization were explained and divided, according to the relevant theory of industrialization and technological innovation to the internal mechanism of the new industrialization; secondly, the present situation of our country to analyze the face, respectively. From the national level and the level of our country area measurement and analysis to industrialization; finally, the construction of China's regional industrialization of technological innovation influence the panel data model. In the measurement model was introduced in two, to analysis if there exist the nonlinear relationship between industrialization and technological innovation. The empirical results show that: (1) regions in China to influence the industrialization of technological innovation is a process from promoting to inhibiting, non linear relationship between the performance of the inverted "U" type; (2 due to the industrialization process) and regional planning, China's regional influence to industrialization of technological innovation are also different. Finally, combining with the regional economic development planning and industrial development characteristics, analyzed the influence of industrialization and give the following recommendations: 1. to actively to the industrialization, the adjustment of industrial structure and regional planning; 2. regions need to clear direction of industrial development, optimize the industrial structure, to retain and develop the advantage, core industries.

【學(xué)位授予單位】：上海師范大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：F424;F124.3

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本文編號：1556846