本文選題：區(qū)域性去工業(yè)化　切入點：技術創(chuàng)新　出處：《上海師范大學》2017年碩士論文　論文類型：學位論文

【摘要】：去工業(yè)化是和工業(yè)化相對應的一個概念,表現為制造業(yè)部門或其生產資源在國家之間、地區(qū)之間乃至不同產業(yè)之間轉移的一種現象,從量化的角度,去工業(yè)化表現為制造業(yè)的產值、就業(yè)等絕對或相對指標的持續(xù)下降。美國、英國、日本等發(fā)達國家在經歷了經濟高速發(fā)展的工業(yè)化進程后,又先后經歷了制造業(yè)部門不斷衰退的去工業(yè)化過程。改革開放以來,中國依托比較低廉的土地成本、勞動力成本、原材料成本等優(yōu)勢,承接了歐美市場龐大的生產線和技術能力,國際制造業(yè)部門大量涌入,中國經濟也因此得到了快速發(fā)展,創(chuàng)造了世界經濟奇跡并成為了名副其實的“世界工廠”。然而,在經歷了多年的高速增長后,中國經濟現階段進入了新常態(tài):GDP增速放緩,經濟轉型升級和產業(yè)結構調整成為常態(tài)。本文的數據分析表明,我國部分地區(qū)的制造業(yè)產值和就業(yè)指標已經出現了連續(xù)的下降,表現出顯著的去工業(yè)化現象。去工業(yè)化過程對地區(qū)經濟發(fā)展的影響,主要可以分為兩類:積極的影響和消極的影響。目前來看,消極影響的觀點占據了學術界的主流,大部分學者認為,制造業(yè)是國家經濟增長的動力源泉(Kaldor,1967),是技術創(chuàng)新和擴散導致的供給增長的源泉(Hersh和Weller,2003),所以,一個地區(qū)的去工業(yè)化導致制造業(yè)部門的萎縮或轉移,也必然會導致該地區(qū)出現創(chuàng)新不足的困境;持相反觀點的學者則認為,去工業(yè)化是在一個地區(qū)經濟發(fā)展到較高水平時必然出現的現象,是經濟結構調整的結果,不僅不會導致經濟增長的停滯還能夠帶動經濟持續(xù)、穩(wěn)定的發(fā)展�？v觀歐美發(fā)達國家去工業(yè)化的過程及影響可知,由于基本國情不同,各國去工業(yè)化的過程及其影響也存在較大差異,既有積極的影響也存在消極、負面的影響。當前,我國已經出現了較顯著的區(qū)域性去工業(yè)化現象,而關于去工業(yè)化對我國經濟發(fā)展和技術創(chuàng)新的影響同樣存在較大爭議,去工業(yè)化將會給我國的經濟發(fā)展帶來何種結果,是值得我們進行深入探討的話題�，F階段,我國正處于產業(yè)結構調整的重要時期,供給端的產能過剩和需求端的消費升級推動了我國的供給側改革,在產業(yè)改革的過程中,技術創(chuàng)新是實現產業(yè)結構調整、驅動經濟發(fā)展的重要途徑,基于此,本文通過建立計量回歸模型,實證分析了區(qū)域性去工業(yè)化對技術創(chuàng)新的影響,進而探討了去工業(yè)化對我國產業(yè)結構調整和經濟發(fā)展的影響。首先,文章對去工業(yè)化的內涵和類別進行了解釋和劃分,根據相關理論探討了去工業(yè)化與技術創(chuàng)新的內在影響機制;其次,對我國的去工業(yè)化現狀進行了分析,分別從全國層面和地區(qū)層面對我國的去工業(yè)化進行了度量分析;最后,構建面板數據模型研究我國區(qū)域性去工業(yè)化對技術創(chuàng)新的影響,本文還在計量模型中引入了二次項,分析去工業(yè)化與技術創(chuàng)新之間是否存在非線性關系。實證結果表明:(1)我國的區(qū)域性去工業(yè)化對技術創(chuàng)新的影響是一個由促進到抑制的過程,表現出倒“U”型的非線性關系;(2)由于去工業(yè)化的過程以及區(qū)域規(guī)劃不同,我國區(qū)域性去工業(yè)化對技術創(chuàng)新的影響也存在差異。最后,本文結合區(qū)域經濟發(fā)展規(guī)劃和產業(yè)發(fā)展特點,分析了去工業(yè)化的影響并給出以下建議:1.要進行積極的去工業(yè)化,產業(yè)結構調整與區(qū)域規(guī)劃相結合;2.各地區(qū)需明確產業(yè)發(fā)展方向,優(yōu)化產業(yè)結構,保留并發(fā)展優(yōu)勢、核心產業(yè)。
[Abstract]:Industrialization is a concept of industrialization and the corresponding to the performance of the manufacturing sector or the production resources between countries, a phenomenon of transfer between regions and different industries, from a quantitative point of view to industrialization for manufacturing output, employment continued to decline in absolute or relative index. The United States, England Japan and other developed countries, has experienced rapid economic development after the process of industrialization, and has gone through the manufacturing sector continues to decline to the industrialization process. Since the reform and opening up, Chinese relying on relatively low land costs, labor costs, raw material costs and other advantages, to undertake large market and production line and technical ability. The influx of international manufacturing sector, China economy has been rapid development, has created an economic miracle in the world and become worthy of the name "world factory". However, after After years of rapid growth, the economy has entered a new stage of Chinese normal: GDP slowdown, economic transformation and upgrading of industrial structure adjustment become the norm. The data analysis shows that in some areas of China's manufacturing output and employment index has been continuous decline, showed a significant influence to the industrialization phenomenon. The industrialization process of regional economic development, which can be divided into two categories: positive and negative effects. At present, the negative influence of view occupy the mainstream of academic circles, most scholars believe that the manufacturing industry is the power source of national economic growth (Kaldor, 1967), is the source of technological innovation and diffusion results supply growth (Hersh and Weller, 2003), so that a region to industrialization led to the manufacturing sector to shrink or transfer, will inevitably lead to the region suffered a new problem; the opposite The views of scholars are of the opinion that is in a regional economic development to a higher level of the inevitable phenomenon of industrialization, the adjustment of economic structure is the result, not only does not lead to the stagnation of economic growth but also to drive the economy sustained, stable development. The process and effect of industrialization in developed countries throughout Europe and the United States to know, because the basic conditions are different all countries, to process and the influence of industrialization are quite different, both have a positive effect also exists negative, negative effects. At present, our country has been in a significant regional industrialization phenomenon, and on the impact of industrialization on China's economic development and technological innovation is also controversial to industrialization will what were the results for the economic development of our country, is worthy of our in-depth discussion. At present, our country is in the important period of adjustment of industrial structure, supply The end of the excess capacity and the demand side of the supply side to promote the Consumption Upgrade Reform of our country, in the process of industry reform, technological innovation is an important way to realize the adjustment of industrial structure, drive economic development, based on this, this paper through the establishment of regression model, an empirical analysis of the influence to regional industrialization of technological innovation. And then discusses the influence to the industrialization of our country industrial structure adjustment and economic development. Firstly, the connotation and categories of industrialization were explained and divided, according to the relevant theory of industrialization and technological innovation to the internal mechanism of the new industrialization; secondly, the present situation of our country to analyze the face, respectively. From the national level and the level of our country area measurement and analysis to industrialization; finally, the construction of China's regional industrialization of technological innovation influence the panel data model. In the measurement model was introduced in two, to analysis if there exist the nonlinear relationship between industrialization and technological innovation. The empirical results show that: (1) regions in China to influence the industrialization of technological innovation is a process from promoting to inhibiting, non linear relationship between the performance of the inverted "U" type; (2 due to the industrialization process) and regional planning, China's regional influence to industrialization of technological innovation are also different. Finally, combining with the regional economic development planning and industrial development characteristics, analyzed the influence of industrialization and give the following recommendations: 1. to actively to the industrialization, the adjustment of industrial structure and regional planning; 2. regions need to clear direction of industrial development, optimize the industrial structure, to retain and develop the advantage, core industries.

【學位授予單位】：上海師范大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：F424;F124.3

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