發(fā)布時(shí)間：2018-03-17 07:18

  本文選題：多智能體模型　切入點(diǎn)：規(guī)劃支持系統(tǒng)　出處：《現(xiàn)代城市研究》2016年11期 　論文類(lèi)型：期刊論文

【摘要】：面向城市問(wèn)題的復(fù)雜性和動(dòng)態(tài)性,大量模擬仿真、定量分析等手段被廣泛應(yīng)用于城鄉(xiāng)規(guī)劃方案的預(yù)測(cè)與評(píng)價(jià)中,而其相應(yīng)的預(yù)測(cè)評(píng)價(jià)結(jié)果也往往被認(rèn)為有助于規(guī)劃方案的調(diào)整與決策。在此過(guò)程中,仿真模型的構(gòu)建逐漸從宏觀向微觀方向發(fā)展,對(duì)研究對(duì)象的分析也逐漸體現(xiàn)出從群體性描述向個(gè)體行為特征、機(jī)理的刻畫(huà)轉(zhuǎn)變。但是這其中卻鮮有學(xué)者探討基于微觀個(gè)體行為的仿真模擬究竟在規(guī)劃方案的生成與決策過(guò)程中發(fā)揮怎樣的作用,對(duì)規(guī)劃師的知識(shí)構(gòu)建是否能夠有效地達(dá)到規(guī)劃決策支持的目的。本研究從這一科學(xué)問(wèn)題出發(fā),基于一個(gè)面向養(yǎng)老日護(hù)理中心空間分布模擬的多智能體模型(Agent-Based Model,ABM)的構(gòu)建與應(yīng)用,探討多智能體模擬仿真在空間規(guī)劃實(shí)踐中的應(yīng)用可能及其構(gòu)建機(jī)制。研究結(jié)果表明,多智能體模擬用于規(guī)劃實(shí)踐首先必須具有可信的、完整的數(shù)據(jù)支持;要達(dá)到輔助規(guī)劃師建立對(duì)規(guī)劃問(wèn)題的科學(xué)認(rèn)識(shí),模型構(gòu)建則應(yīng)該在規(guī)劃工作的最初開(kāi)始介入,并讓規(guī)劃師參與其中;同時(shí),多智能體模型的構(gòu)建必須基于面向規(guī)劃問(wèn)題的現(xiàn)實(shí)決策過(guò)程。總體而言,多智能體模型可用于規(guī)劃決策支持,但是模擬結(jié)果卻不能代替規(guī)劃方案。
[Abstract]:Facing the complexity and dynamics of urban problems, a large number of simulation, quantitative analysis and other means are widely used in the prediction and evaluation of urban and rural planning plans. The corresponding prediction and evaluation results are often considered to be helpful to the adjustment and decision of the planning scheme. In this process, the construction of simulation model gradually develops from macro to micro direction. The analysis of the object of study gradually reflects the characteristics of individual behavior from group description to individual behavior. However, few scholars have discussed how simulation based on micro-individual behavior plays a role in the process of planning scheme generation and decision-making. Whether the knowledge construction of planners can effectively achieve the purpose of planning decision support, this study based on the construction and application of Agent-Based Modeler (ABM), a multi-agent model for spatial distribution simulation of care centers for the aged, is carried out in this paper. The application of multi-agent simulation in spatial planning practice and its construction mechanism are discussed. The results show that multi-agent simulation for planning practice must first have credible and complete data support. To assist planners in building a scientific understanding of planning issues, model building should begin at the very beginning of the planning process and involve the planners; at the same time, In general, the multi-agent model can be used for planning decision support, but the simulation results can not replace the planning scheme.
【作者單位】： 日本金澤大學(xué);福州大學(xué)建筑學(xué)院;
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】：TU984.113

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