本文選題：金融發(fā)展 + FDI�。� 參考：《福建農(nóng)林大學》2017年碩士論文

【摘要】：近年來,隨著全球一體化進程的推進,我國在國際上的經(jīng)濟地位日益提高,流入我國的FDI數(shù)額不斷地增長,其對經(jīng)濟增長的作用也越來越受到重視。數(shù)據(jù)顯示我國FDI以每年10%的速度增長,同期GDP增長速度高達7%,因此從某種意義上看FDI對經(jīng)濟增長有著促進的作用,但學者們從實證角度出發(fā),認為FDI對經(jīng)濟增長的作用卻存在爭議。于是學者們開始研究影響FDI對經(jīng)濟增長作用的因素有哪些?直到21世紀初金融發(fā)展這個視角逐漸進入了學者的視線。目前國內(nèi)外關(guān)于這方面的研究幾乎都從國家或者從東、中和西部出發(fā),缺乏針對區(qū)域性的探究,因此本文以經(jīng)濟發(fā)展迅猛的珠三角地區(qū)為研究對象,從而豐富金融發(fā)展、FDI與經(jīng)濟增長的關(guān)系的區(qū)域性研究,另一方面基于珠三角的發(fā)展優(yōu)勢帶動整個廣東省的發(fā)展乃至中部地區(qū)的崛起。本文首先對國內(nèi)外相關(guān)文獻進行梳理和總結(jié),基于前人的經(jīng)驗概述FDI、經(jīng)濟增長和金融發(fā)展的內(nèi)涵及相關(guān)的機制分析,然后對珠三角9市的FDI、經(jīng)濟增長和金融發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀進行描述。繼而建立以生產(chǎn)函數(shù)為基礎的模型并選取經(jīng)濟增長、FDI以及金融發(fā)展合適的指標,利用E-Viwes5.0軟件采用1995-2015年時間序列數(shù)據(jù)進行實證分析并將指標變量進行平穩(wěn)性、協(xié)整關(guān)系檢驗并進行修正和格蘭杰因果檢驗,把實證分析分為兩部分:一部分直接研究FDI與經(jīng)濟增長關(guān)系;另一部分研究金融發(fā)展水平在FDI與經(jīng)濟增長的關(guān)系中起到的作用。通過實證性的研究得出外商直接投資、金融市場發(fā)展的實際情況,從而提出促進珠江三角洲地區(qū)經(jīng)濟增長的政策建議。實證分析顯示,在沒有加入金融市場因素時,經(jīng)濟水平相對發(fā)達的珠三角地區(qū)FDI的流入能夠促進經(jīng)濟的增長,但增長幅度并不大。加入金融市場因素時,金融發(fā)展規(guī)模和FDI的交互作用抑制了經(jīng)濟增長,但是這并沒有完全抑制FDI對經(jīng)濟增長的促進作用;金融發(fā)展效率和FDI的交互項作用能促進經(jīng)濟增長,但是金融發(fā)展在促進FDI對經(jīng)濟增長的過程中存在門檻值,以至于制約FDI對經(jīng)濟增長的作用。因此本文在最后得出結(jié)論在促進珠三角地區(qū)經(jīng)濟增長的策略中除了要加大區(qū)域引資的流入外,也要高效發(fā)展金融市場。
[Abstract]:In recent years, with the advancement of the global integration process, our country's economic status in the international community is increasing day by day, and the amount of FDI flowing into our country has been increasing, and its effect on economic growth has been paid more and more attention. The data show that FDI in China is growing at a rate of 10% per year, and GDP growth is as high as 7% in the same period, so FDI has a positive effect on economic growth in a sense, but scholars have started from an empirical point of view. The effect of FDI on economic growth is controversial. So scholars began to study the impact of FDI on economic growth factors? Until the beginning of the 21 st century, the perspective of financial development gradually entered the sight of scholars. At present, almost all the domestic and foreign researches on this aspect are from the country or from the east, the middle and the west, and lack of regional exploration. Therefore, this paper takes the Pearl River Delta region, where the economy is developing rapidly, as the research object. It enriches the regional research on the relationship between FDI and economic growth. On the other hand, the development advantage of the Pearl River Delta drives the development of the whole Guangdong Province and even the rise of the central region. This paper firstly summarizes the relevant literature at home and abroad, summarizes the connotation and mechanism of FDI, economic growth and financial development based on previous experience, and then describes the present situation of FDI, economic growth and financial development in 9 cities of the Pearl River Delta. Then the model based on production function is established and the appropriate indicators of economic growth FDI and financial development are selected. Using E-Viwes5.0 software to carry out empirical analysis with time series data from 1995 to 2015 and to make the index variables stable. Based on the cointegration test and Granger causality test, the empirical analysis is divided into two parts: one is the direct study of the relationship between FDI and economic growth; the other is the role of financial development level in the relationship between FDI and economic growth. Through the empirical research, the paper draws the actual situation of the development of foreign direct investment and financial market, and puts forward some policy suggestions to promote the economic growth in the Pearl River Delta region. The empirical analysis shows that the inflow of FDI in the relatively developed Pearl River Delta region can promote the economic growth without adding the financial market factors, but the growth rate is not large. When we join the financial market, the interaction between the scale of financial development and FDI inhibits economic growth, but this does not completely inhibit the contribution of FDI to economic growth, and the interaction of financial development efficiency and FDI can promote economic growth. But the financial development has the threshold value in the process of promoting FDI to the economic growth, which restricts the effect of FDI on the economic growth. Therefore, this paper concludes that in the strategy of promoting economic growth in the Pearl River Delta region, we should not only increase the inflow of regional investment, but also develop the financial market efficiently.
【學位授予單位】：福建農(nóng)林大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：F832.6;F127

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