歐元危機(jī)的性質(zhì)、前景及其中的勞動生產(chǎn)率因素
發(fā)布時間:2018-05-08 03:26
本文選題:歐元危機(jī) + 政治沖擊; 參考:《國際經(jīng)濟(jì)評論》2017年03期
【摘要】:歐元是世界第二大貨幣,歐元區(qū)的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展和凝聚力是其貨幣實力的主要支撐。2009年歐債危機(jī)爆發(fā)后,歐債危機(jī)引發(fā)的希臘退歐風(fēng)險對歐洲貨幣聯(lián)盟的基礎(chǔ)造成沖擊,進(jìn)而引發(fā)歐元的存在性危機(jī)和治理框架危機(jī)。2016年英國公投脫歐,以及難民危機(jī)背景下不斷高漲的反全球化和反一體化民粹主義浪潮,再次拷問歐元的長期前景。表面上看,目前關(guān)于歐元命運(yùn)的擔(dān)憂源于政治沖擊,實際上問題根源仍然在經(jīng)濟(jì)層面。歐元區(qū)多數(shù)成員國的中下層民眾生活水平無法得到改善,既源于歐債危機(jī)后全球經(jīng)濟(jì)增速放緩的影響,更源于歐元區(qū)內(nèi)勞動生產(chǎn)率增長的停滯和國家間勞動生產(chǎn)率的分化。歐元治理框架的完善在一定程度上能夠提高歐元的信用水平,但要從根本上解決歐元的存在性危機(jī),關(guān)鍵還在于能否提高區(qū)域內(nèi)勞動生產(chǎn)率增速,糾正區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展失衡,并實現(xiàn)繁榮共享。
[Abstract]:The euro is the second largest currency in the world, and the economic development and cohesion of the euro zone is the main support for its monetary strength. After the European debt crisis broke out in 2009, the risk of Greece leaving the European Union caused by the European debt crisis had an impact on the foundation of the European Monetary Union. In turn, the euro's existential crisis and governance framework crisis. Britain's referendum on Brexit in 2016 and the rising wave of anti-globalisation and anti-integration populism in the context of the refugee crisis have again tortured the euro's long-term prospects. On the face of it, the current concerns about the fate of the euro stem from political shocks, and in fact the root of the problem remains at the economic level. The poor living standards of the lower and middle class in most euro zone member states can not be improved either because of the impact of the global economic slowdown after the European debt crisis, but also because of the stagnation of labor productivity growth in the euro zone and the division of labor productivity between countries. The perfection of the euro governance framework can improve the credit level of the euro to a certain extent, but in order to fundamentally solve the existing crisis of the euro, the key lies in whether the growth rate of labor productivity in the region can be increased and the imbalance of regional economic development can be corrected. And achieve prosperity and sharing.
【作者單位】: 中國社會科學(xué)院俄羅斯東歐中亞研究所;遼寧大學(xué);
【分類號】:F821.5
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本文編號:1859767
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