本文選題：投資消費(fèi)比 + 財(cái)政政策　； 參考：《投資研究》2017年05期

【摘要】：本文在內(nèi)生增長理論框架下構(gòu)建出財(cái)政政策、貨幣政策作用于投資消費(fèi)比的理論模型,得到貨幣供給增長率、經(jīng)濟(jì)建設(shè)支出、非經(jīng)濟(jì)建設(shè)支出、宏觀稅負(fù)與投資消費(fèi)比的顯式關(guān)系式,并運(yùn)用數(shù)值模擬的方法對此關(guān)系進(jìn)行分析。接下來利用全國30個省、直轄市2001—2015年的面板數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行實(shí)證分析,結(jié)果顯示:貨幣供給增長率與投資消費(fèi)比呈現(xiàn)倒U型關(guān)系,我國當(dāng)前處于曲線下降階段;宏觀稅負(fù)與投資消費(fèi)比也呈現(xiàn)倒U型關(guān)系,我國處于曲線的下降階段;經(jīng)濟(jì)建設(shè)支出與投資消費(fèi)比正相關(guān),而非經(jīng)濟(jì)建設(shè)支出與投資消費(fèi)比負(fù)相關(guān)。
[Abstract]:In this paper, under the framework of endogenous growth theory, we construct a theoretical model of fiscal policy, monetary policy acting on investment and consumption ratio, and obtain the growth rate of money supply, economic construction expenditure, non-economic construction expenditure. The explicit relation between macro tax burden and investment consumption ratio is analyzed by numerical simulation. Then we use the panel data of 30 provinces and municipalities directly under the Central Government from 2001 to 2015 to make an empirical analysis. The results show that the growth rate of money supply and the ratio of investment and consumption are inversely U-shaped, and our country is in the stage of curve decline; The relationship between macro tax burden and investment consumption ratio is also inversely U-shaped, and our country is in the declining stage of the curve, and the economic construction expenditure is positively related to investment consumption ratio, but not the negative correlation between economic construction expenditure and investment consumption ratio.
【作者單位】： 中國科學(xué)技術(shù)大學(xué)管理學(xué)院;
【基金】：國家自然科學(xué)基金項(xiàng)目“基于內(nèi)生經(jīng)濟(jì)增長理論的中國財(cái)政分權(quán)效應(yīng)研究”的支持(71573240)
【分類號】：F126.1;F812.0;F822.0

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本文編號：1849528