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貿(mào)易成本對(duì)中國(guó)對(duì)外直接投資的影響研究

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-04-10 23:03

  本文選題:貿(mào)易成本 + 對(duì)外直接投資; 參考:《廣東外語(yǔ)外貿(mào)大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文


【摘要】:本文分析了中國(guó)對(duì)外直接投資現(xiàn)狀,嘗試在中國(guó)對(duì)外直接投資的具體背景下,結(jié)合相關(guān)理論研究雙邊貿(mào)易成本對(duì)對(duì)外直接投資的影響路徑和選擇邊界,然后從經(jīng)驗(yàn)證據(jù)檢驗(yàn)雙邊貿(mào)易成本與中國(guó)對(duì)外直接投資的關(guān)系及影響程度。從理論角度看,以往學(xué)者使用傳統(tǒng)理論“鄰近—集中”權(quán)衡效應(yīng)模型從宏觀層面認(rèn)為貿(mào)易成本下降阻礙對(duì)外直接投資。這與貿(mào)易成本下降,對(duì)外直接投資上升的現(xiàn)狀相悖。本文從微觀角度對(duì)“鄰近——集中”權(quán)衡理論給出一種新的視角,提出了在動(dòng)態(tài)變化的現(xiàn)狀中,貿(mào)易成本下降可以與對(duì)外直接投資上升并行,將中國(guó)對(duì)外直接投資納入“鄰近——集中”權(quán)衡模型中,這也是本文的創(chuàng)新點(diǎn)。同時(shí),通過(guò)歸納總結(jié)相關(guān)理論,從垂直型FDI理論和出口平臺(tái)型FDI理論入手,解釋貿(mào)易成本下降與FDI上升并行的現(xiàn)狀,在理論層面解釋貿(mào)易成本下降與對(duì)外直接投資上升的現(xiàn)狀。在經(jīng)驗(yàn)證據(jù)上,本文利用2003-2014年中國(guó)對(duì)全球100多個(gè)國(guó)家的投資面板數(shù)據(jù),將雙邊貿(mào)易成本作為核心解釋變量引入模型,運(yùn)用系統(tǒng)GMM兩步法實(shí)證考察貿(mào)易成本對(duì)中國(guó)對(duì)外直接投資的影響?紤]到投資行為具有一定的慣性,進(jìn)一步引入上期對(duì)外直接投資額使用動(dòng)態(tài)面板數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行回歸估計(jì);貧w結(jié)果顯示:雙邊貿(mào)易成本與中國(guó)對(duì)外直接投資成負(fù)相關(guān)關(guān)系,中國(guó)與東道國(guó)的雙邊貿(mào)易成本每下降1個(gè)百分點(diǎn),刺激中國(guó)對(duì)外直接投資上升0.884個(gè)百分點(diǎn)。實(shí)證結(jié)果同樣通過(guò)了穩(wěn)健性檢驗(yàn),回歸具有一致性,實(shí)證證據(jù)支持理論結(jié)果。因此,認(rèn)為降低雙邊貿(mào)易成本是推動(dòng)中國(guó)對(duì)外直接投資一條切實(shí)可行的途徑。
[Abstract]:This paper analyzes the current situation of Chinese foreign direct investment, try in the specific background China foreign direct investment, based on related theories of bilateral trade cost impact on foreign direct investment and choose the path boundary, then test the relationship and the impact of bilateral trade cost and Chinese of foreign direct investment from empirical evidence. From a theoretical point of view, the past researchers used the traditional theory "proximity concentration model that the trade-off effect from the macro level, the decline of the trade costs hinder foreign direct investment. This decline and the trade cost, contrary to foreign direct investment status rising. From the micro perspective of" proximity concentration "trade-off theory provides a new perspective, put forward in the dynamic change of the status quo in the decline of the trade costs can be in parallel with the foreign direct investment will rise, Chinese foreign direct investment into the" proximity concentration "right balance In the model, which is the innovation of this paper. At the same time, through summarizing the relevant theory, starting from the vertical FDI export platform theory and FDI theory, to explain the trade cost reduction status of parallel with the increase of FDI, explained in theory the decline of the trade costs rise and the status of foreign direct investment. In the empirical evidence, this paper use 2003-2014 years Chinese to more than 100 countries worldwide investment panel data, the bilateral trade costs as the main explanatory variable into the model, the effect of GMM system on two step demonstration of trade costs on China foreign direct investment. Considering the investment behavior has a certain inertia, further into regression estimation using dynamic panel data on foreign direct investment. The regression results show: bilateral trade costs and Chinese foreign direct investment is negatively related with the host country, China bilateral trade cost Each dropped 1 percentage points, China stimulate foreign direct investment increased by 0.884 percentage points. The empirical results through the same robustness test, regression is consistent, the empirical evidence supports the theoretical results. Therefore, that reducing the trade cost is China promote foreign direct investment in a feasible way.

【學(xué)位授予單位】:廣東外語(yǔ)外貿(mào)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2017
【分類號(hào)】:F832.6;F740.45

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