本文關(guān)鍵詞：盧布匯率傳遞效應(yīng)與轉(zhuǎn)型國家匯率制度改革　出處：《歐亞經(jīng)濟(jì)》2016年01期 　論文類型：期刊論文

  更多相關(guān)文章： 盧布匯率 資本項(xiàng)目 中國金融改革 人民幣國際化

【摘要】：2014年以來,盧布匯率大幅貶值和劇烈波動引起國際社會廣泛關(guān)注。資本外逃、通貨膨脹、外匯儲備下降,俄羅斯經(jīng)濟(jì)面臨嚴(yán)峻考驗(yàn)。深刻分析盧布貶值的原因:歐美制裁和油價下跌是導(dǎo)火索,經(jīng)濟(jì)增長乏力、結(jié)構(gòu)畸形是根本點(diǎn),開放資本項(xiàng)目是助推器。關(guān)聯(lián)儲退出量化寬松政策,美元加息預(yù)期不斷增強(qiáng),特別是中國大幅下調(diào)人民幣中間價后,新興市場國家和與中國有密切貿(mào)易關(guān)系的國家貨幣爭先恐后貶值,在經(jīng)濟(jì)全球化的今天,發(fā)展中國家選擇何種匯率制度、資本項(xiàng)目的開放程度等又成為當(dāng)前研討的熱點(diǎn)問題。中國"十三五"規(guī)劃建議指出,有序?qū)崿F(xiàn)人民幣資本項(xiàng)目可自由兌換,推動人民幣進(jìn)入特別提款權(quán),成為可自由兌換、可自由使用貨幣,可見,人民幣國際化進(jìn)程已經(jīng)開始提速。本刊編輯部特邀請國內(nèi)專家學(xué)者參加討論,剖析盧布貶值的深層原因,比較中俄兩國在經(jīng)濟(jì)增長、產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)、國際儲備、本幣國際化、匯率制度等方面的差異,評估盧布匯率危機(jī)對中國金融改革總體進(jìn)程的影響,探討中國如何在逐步推進(jìn)匯率形成機(jī)制市場化的同時,有效防范匯率大幅波動產(chǎn)生的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)。
[Abstract]:Since 2014, the sharp depreciation and violent fluctuations of the rouble exchange rate have aroused wide attention from the international community. Capital flight, inflation, and foreign exchange reserves have fallen, and the Russian economy is facing a severe test. A deep analysis of the reasons for the ruble's depreciation: the sanctions in Europe and the US and the fall in oil prices are the fuse. The economic growth is weak and the structural abnormality is the fundamental point. Opening capital account is a booster. The Fed exit quantitative easing, the dollar rate hike is expected to continue to strengthen, especially China slashed the central parity of RMB, emerging market countries have close trade relations with China and national currency devaluation fall over each other, in the economic globalization, the developing countries choose what kind of exchange rate regime, capital account openness has become a hot topic of current research the. China "13th Five-Year" planning proposal pointed out that in order to achieve capital account convertibility, push the renminbi into SDRs, become freely convertible and freely usable currency, visible, has begun to accelerate the process of internationalization of the rmb. This print editorial office invited domestic experts and scholars to participate in the discussion, analyzes the deep reason for the devaluation of the ruble, comparing the difference in economic growth, industrial structure, international reserves, international currency exchange rate and other aspects of the Russian ruble exchange rate crisis, impact assessment of the overall process Chinese financial reform, explore how to Chinese gradually promote the exchange rate formation mechanism of the market at the same time, effectively prevent the risk from exchange rate fluctuations.
【作者單位】： 魯東大學(xué)商學(xué)院;
【分類號】：F832.6;F835.12
【正文快照】： 歐美制裁和石油價格下跌對俄羅斯經(jīng)濟(jì)造成的影響是多方面的。無論從哪個角度切人,都可以從制度層面發(fā)現(xiàn)俄羅斯作為轉(zhuǎn)型國家在制度建設(shè)方面的不足和缺陷。如何以俄羅斯為鑒,從源頭上避免轉(zhuǎn)型期各種制度建設(shè)的缺陷,保持經(jīng)濟(jì)社會平穩(wěn)健康可持續(xù)性發(fā)展是我們關(guān)注的重點(diǎn)。盧布匯率

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