本研究的重點(diǎn)是1986年至2016年期間貿(mào)易自由化政策的采用對(duì)尼日利亞經(jīng)濟(jì)的影響。貿(mào)易自由化處理的是打破壁壘,將世界市場(chǎng)融入全球經(jīng)濟(jì)。盡管全球化對(duì)整個(gè)世界經(jīng)濟(jì)產(chǎn)生了積極影響,但尼日利亞經(jīng)濟(jì)無法超越其目前的狀態(tài),這是一個(gè)非常嚴(yán)肅的研究案例。這項(xiàng)研究利用了國(guó)家和國(guó)際數(shù)據(jù)庫(kù)的二次數(shù)據(jù)。采用普通最小二乘法對(duì)多元線性回歸模型中的數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行分析。為了評(píng)估貿(mào)易改革政策與3個(gè)經(jīng)濟(jì)部門對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)的影響,第一個(gè)模型是以GDP作為經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的代表變量,以農(nóng)業(yè)、工業(yè)、服務(wù)部門增值和1986年SAP貿(mào)易改革的虛擬變量作為解釋變量。為了進(jìn)一步研究支持這3個(gè)經(jīng)濟(jì)部門的幾個(gè)關(guān)鍵宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)指標(biāo)對(duì)增長(zhǎng)的影響,第二個(gè)模型也以GDP為因變量,而FDI、貿(mào)易開放性、資本形成、出口、進(jìn)口、服務(wù)業(yè)增加值百分比GDP和1986年SAP貿(mào)易改革的虛擬變量作為解釋變量。模型1的OLS分析結(jié)果表明,盡管農(nóng)業(yè)和工業(yè)的表現(xiàn)低于預(yù)期,但3個(gè)經(jīng)濟(jì)部門對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)都有積極和顯著的影響。模型2的結(jié)果表明,FDI、貿(mào)易開放、資本形成和SAP貿(mào)易改革與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)呈負(fù)相關(guān),而出口、進(jìn)口和服務(wù)業(yè)增值與經(jīng)濟(jì)產(chǎn)出呈正相關(guān),只有FDI不顯著。這些發(fā)現(xiàn)的含義是,貿(mào)易自由化并未顯著... 

【文章頁(yè)數(shù)】：94 頁(yè)

【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士

【文章目錄】：
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
ABSTRACT
摘要
LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS
CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION
    1.1 Background
    1.2 Statement of the Problem
    1.3 Objectives
    1.4 Significance of the Study
    1.5 Scope of the Study
    1.6 Structure of the Research
CHAPTER 2 LITERATURE REVIEW
    2.1 Overview
        2.1.1 Theoritical Literature Review
        2.1.2 Review of Empirical Literature
CHAPTER 3 THE NIGERIAN ECONOMY AND TRADE POLICY DEVELOPMENTS
    3.1 Analysis of the Nigerian Economy
        3.1.1 Specific Sector Analysis: Agriculture
        3.1.2 Specific Sector Analysis: Industry
        3.1.3 Specific Sector Analysis: Service
    3.2 Dynamics of Trade Policies in Nigeria
        3.2.1 The Pre-SAP Trade Policy Regime (1960 - 1986)
        3.2.2 SAP Era Trade Policies 1986-2001
        3.2.3 Current Trade Reform Initiatives
CHAPTER 4 METHODOLOGY
    4.1 Data
    4.2 Description and Justification of Variables
        4.2.1 Gross Domestic Product
        4.2.2 Imports (IM)
        4.2.3 Exports (EX)
        4.2.4 Foreign Direct Investment (FDI)
        4.2.5 Capital Formation (CPF)
        4.2.6 Trade Openness (OP)
        4.2.7 Service Value Added (SER)
        4.2.8 Trade Liberalization Reform (RD)
    4.3 Model Specifications
    4.4 Data Analysis & Estimation Method
        4.4.1 Descriptive Analysis
        4.4.2 Linear Regression Analysis
        4.4.3 Economic A Priori Expectation
    4.5 Evaluation of Model
        4.5.1 Statistical Criteria
        4.5.2 Econometric Criteria
CHAPTER 5 INTERPRETATION & ANALYSIS OF RESULTS
    5.1 Interpretation Of Results for Model 1
        5.1.1 Model (1) Evaluation : Statistical Criteria
        5.1.2 Model Evaluation : Econometric Criteria
    5.2 Interpretation Of Results for Model 2
        5.2.1 Model Evaluation : Statistical Criteria
        5.2.2 Model Evaluation : Econometric Criteria
    5.3 DISCUSSION & ANALYSIS OF RESULTS
        5.3.1 Economic A Priori Expectation Analysis (Model1)
        5.3.2 Economic A Priori Expectation Analysis (Model2)
        5.3.3 Import
        5.3.4 Exports
        5.3.5 Foreign Direct Investment
        5.3.6 Capital Formation
        5.3.7 Service Value Added
        5.3.8 Trade Openness
        5.3.9 Trade Reform Dummy
    5.4 Summary of Findings
CHAPTER 6 CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATION
    6.1 Conclusion
    6.2 Policy Recommendation
REFERENCES
Appendix Ⅰ
Appendix Ⅱ
APPENDIX Ⅲ



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