【摘要】：近年來,中俄作為兩大新興的經(jīng)濟(jì)體,其發(fā)展受到世界各國的廣泛關(guān)注,它們也都在對方各自的市場中占有重要的地位。中俄兩國友好的政治關(guān)系、較好的地緣優(yōu)勢以及資源稟賦的互補(bǔ)性是中俄兩國合作的基礎(chǔ)。隨著中俄兩國往來越來越頻繁、關(guān)系越來越密切,中俄兩國的貿(mào)易關(guān)系也得到了進(jìn)一步的發(fā)展,進(jìn)一步促進(jìn)兩國經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展。2014年烏克蘭危機(jī)的爆發(fā)給中俄貿(mào)易的發(fā)展帶來了新的機(jī)遇。本文通過分析預(yù)測烏克蘭危機(jī)下歐美對俄的制裁對中俄貿(mào)易帶來的機(jī)遇和挑戰(zhàn),以及如何來抓住機(jī)遇應(yīng)對挑戰(zhàn)讓中俄貿(mào)易關(guān)系得到更進(jìn)一步的發(fā)展,使中俄有一個(gè)長期穩(wěn)定的貿(mào)易合作伙伴關(guān)系。本文通過收集近幾年中俄經(jīng)貿(mào)方面的著作和兩國政府提出的文件、報(bào)告以及政策進(jìn)行比較分析,總結(jié)了中俄合作的基礎(chǔ);運(yùn)用了統(tǒng)計(jì)分析法分析了近年來中國對外貿(mào)易概況、俄羅斯對外貿(mào)易概況和中俄雙邊貿(mào)易概況。中俄合作的基礎(chǔ)和中俄貿(mào)易概況的介紹有助于讀者對近些年來中俄貿(mào)易的發(fā)展進(jìn)行了解。文章是在歐美制裁俄羅斯的背景之下,通過能源合作、高鐵項(xiàng)目、農(nóng)業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)等項(xiàng)目來分析歐美制裁俄羅斯給中俄貿(mào)易合作帶來的機(jī)遇;通過分析歐美制裁俄羅斯帶來的盧布的下跌和對外支付能力的下降給中俄貿(mào)易在短時(shí)間內(nèi)造成的影響。面對制裁帶來的機(jī)遇和挑戰(zhàn),中國可以通過提高我國出口產(chǎn)品的競爭力、加強(qiáng)中俄兩國的雙邊交流、與俄羅斯央行建立人民幣-盧布互換協(xié)議和推進(jìn)和完善人民幣跨境支付和結(jié)算體制等措施來抓住機(jī)遇應(yīng)對挑戰(zhàn),來促進(jìn)中俄貿(mào)易更好的發(fā)展。本文的創(chuàng)新之處在于時(shí)效性較強(qiáng),選題新穎,在烏克蘭危機(jī)下歐美對俄羅斯進(jìn)行多輪制裁的背景下,來研究對中俄貿(mào)易發(fā)展的影響,具有現(xiàn)實(shí)意義。而且采用最新的數(shù)據(jù),結(jié)合具體的實(shí)例進(jìn)行分析,從能源合作、高鐵項(xiàng)目、農(nóng)業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)等來分析可能遇到的機(jī)遇;以及盧布下跌、俄羅斯的支付能力下降帶來的負(fù)面影響。最后提出了相關(guān)的建議對策來抓住機(jī)遇應(yīng)對挑戰(zhàn)。俄羅斯作為較大的新興經(jīng)濟(jì)體,在國際上具有很強(qiáng)的影響力,隨著經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展綜合國力的增強(qiáng),俄羅斯巨大的市場潛力日益凸顯,加上俄羅斯豐富的自然資源成為世界各國關(guān)注的對象。中俄之間的地緣優(yōu)勢、友好的政治關(guān)系和出口產(chǎn)品的互補(bǔ)性不斷推進(jìn)中俄雙邊貿(mào)易的發(fā)展。歐美對俄羅斯的制裁推動著俄羅斯向東尋找合作伙伴,這給中俄貿(mào)易帶來了機(jī)會,中國應(yīng)抓住機(jī)會加強(qiáng)兩國經(jīng)貿(mào)合作。
[Abstract]:In recent years, China and Russia as two major emerging economies, their development has been widely concerned by the world, they also play an important role in each other's respective markets. The cooperation between China and Russia is based on friendly political relations, good geographical advantages and complementarity of natural resources. With the more frequent exchanges and closer relations between China and Russia, the trade relations between China and Russia have also been further developed. The Ukraine crisis in 2014 opened up new opportunities for trade between China and Russia. This paper analyzes and predicts the opportunities and challenges brought about by the sanctions imposed by Europe and the United States against Russia under the Ukraine crisis, and how to seize the opportunities to deal with the challenges and to further develop the Sino-Russian trade relations. So that China and Russia have a long-term and stable trade partnership. This paper summarizes the basis of Sino-Russian cooperation by collecting the works on Sino-Russian economy and trade in recent years and the documents, reports and policies put forward by the two governments. The general situation of China's foreign trade, Russia's foreign trade and Sino-Russian bilateral trade in recent years are analyzed by means of statistical analysis. The foundation of Sino-Russian cooperation and the introduction of Sino-Russian trade are helpful for readers to understand the development of Sino-Russian trade in recent years. Under the background of sanctions against Russia by Europe and the United States, this paper analyzes the opportunities brought to Sino-Russian trade cooperation by European and American sanctions against Russia through such projects as energy cooperation, high-speed rail project, agricultural industry and so on. This paper analyzes the impact of the fall of the rouble and the decline of the ability to pay on the trade between China and Russia in a short period of time caused by the sanctions imposed by Europe and the United States on Russia. In the face of the opportunities and challenges brought by sanctions, China can strengthen bilateral exchanges between China and Russia by improving the competitiveness of our export products. Measures such as establishing a yuan-rouble swap agreement with the Russian central bank and promoting and improving the RMB cross-border payment and settlement system are aimed at seizing the opportunities and meeting the challenges in order to promote the better development of Sino-Russian trade. The innovation of this paper lies in its strong timeliness and novel selection. It is of practical significance to study the impact on the development of Sino-Russian trade under the background of the multi-round sanctions imposed by Europe and the United States on Russia under the crisis of Ukraine. And using the latest data, combined with concrete examples to analyze the potential opportunities from energy cooperation, high-speed rail projects, agricultural industries, etc., as well as the negative impact of the fall in the rouble and the decline in Russia's ability to pay. Finally, the paper puts forward the relevant suggestions and countermeasures to seize the opportunity to meet the challenges. Russia, as a large emerging economy, has a strong influence in the world. With the economic development and comprehensive national strength increasing, Russia's enormous market potential is becoming increasingly prominent. In addition, Russia's rich natural resources have become the object of concern of all countries in the world. The geographical advantages, friendly political relations and the complementarity of export products between China and Russia continue to promote the development of bilateral trade between China and Russia. Sanctions on Russia from Europe and the United States have pushed Russia eastward in search of partners, which has opened up opportunities for trade between China and Russia, and China should seize the opportunity to strengthen economic and trade cooperation between the two countries.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：吉林財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2015
【分類號】：F752.7;F755.12;F741.2

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