本文選題：京津冀　切入點(diǎn)：出口貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)　出處：《河北大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：美國次貸危機(jī)全面爆發(fā)以后對全球經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展產(chǎn)生了巨大的沖擊,我國經(jīng)濟(jì)也或多或少受到了金融危機(jī)的影響。后金融危機(jī)時期,世界經(jīng)濟(jì)面臨無數(shù)挑戰(zhàn)與機(jī)遇,京津冀地區(qū)應(yīng)該抓住發(fā)展機(jī)遇,使地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)實(shí)力得到進(jìn)一步提升。在一國或地區(qū)的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展中,出口作為拉動經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的三大馬車之一,是保證經(jīng)濟(jì)平穩(wěn)快速發(fā)展的重要支柱,出口貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)的層次和水平?jīng)Q定了一國或者地區(qū)對外貿(mào)易依存度和面臨風(fēng)險的大小。故優(yōu)化出口貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)是保證地區(qū)對外貿(mào)易安全的重要組成部分,但是只有全面了解京津冀地區(qū)在后金融危機(jī)時期的出口貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)狀況才能找到優(yōu)化結(jié)構(gòu)的路徑,這也是值得進(jìn)一步研究的課題。本文通過對京津冀地區(qū)2010-2015年出口貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行分析,進(jìn)而得知京津冀地區(qū)出口貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)現(xiàn)狀及存在的問題,從而提出解決問題、優(yōu)化出口貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)的對策建議。具體研究步驟為:首先,本文從出口貿(mào)易商品結(jié)構(gòu)、出口貿(mào)易方式結(jié)構(gòu)、出口貿(mào)易主體結(jié)構(gòu)、出口貿(mào)易市場結(jié)構(gòu)四個方面用描述性統(tǒng)計(jì)方法分析和說明京津冀地區(qū)出口貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)現(xiàn)狀,并利用出口貿(mào)易總額排名前十(2015年)的省市(包括京津冀地區(qū))出口貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)進(jìn)行對比分析,發(fā)現(xiàn)京津冀地區(qū)出口貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)中高新技術(shù)產(chǎn)品含量較低、機(jī)電產(chǎn)品比重分布不均勻、出口市場過于集中等問題。然后,運(yùn)用SAS對十個省市(包括京津冀地區(qū))進(jìn)行熵值法綜合評價分析,進(jìn)而得出京津冀三個省市在出口貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)綜合評價中的排名。通過研究發(fā)現(xiàn)天津市的綜合評價值逐年增加,但排名較穩(wěn)定且居中間位置;北京市綜合評價值6年來變化不大,其綜合排名先下降后四年保持在第6名的中下水平;河北省綜合評價值逐年下降,綜合排名也逐年下降且處于較低水平。由現(xiàn)狀分析和綜合評價分析可看出京津冀地區(qū)出口貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)存在著許多問題,比如:高新技術(shù)產(chǎn)品比重較低;出口市場過于集中;出口市場面臨較大的風(fēng)險;地區(qū)出口貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)發(fā)展不均衡等。針對這些問題本文最后提出了優(yōu)化出口貿(mào)易產(chǎn)品結(jié)構(gòu),提高貿(mào)易競爭力、實(shí)施市場多元化戰(zhàn)略,構(gòu)建均衡合理的國際市場格局以減少貿(mào)易風(fēng)險、加大政府扶持力度促進(jìn)京津冀外貿(mào)快速均衡發(fā)展,保證京津冀地區(qū)出口貿(mào)易協(xié)同發(fā)展等建議。
[Abstract]:The subprime mortgage crisis in the United States has had a tremendous impact on the global economic development, and our economy has been more or less affected by the financial crisis. In the post-financial crisis period, the world economy is facing numerous challenges and opportunities. The Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region should seize the opportunity of development so that the regional economic strength can be further enhanced. In the economic development of a country or region, export, as one of the three major carriages that stimulate economic development, is an important pillar to ensure steady and rapid economic development. The level and level of export trade structure determine the degree of dependence and risk of a country or region's foreign trade. Therefore, optimizing export trade structure is an important part of ensuring the security of regional foreign trade. However, only through a comprehensive understanding of the export trade structure of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region in the post-financial crisis period can we find a way to optimize the structure. This is also a subject worthy of further study. Through the analysis of the export trade structure data of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region from 2010 to 2015, the present situation and existing problems of the export trade structure in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region are known, so as to solve the problems. Countermeasures and suggestions for optimizing the structure of export trade. The specific research steps are as follows: first, this paper starts with the structure of export trade commodity, the structure of export trade mode, the structure of main body of export trade, The present situation of export trade structure in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region is analyzed and explained by descriptive statistical method in four aspects of export trade market structure. By comparing and analyzing the export trade structure of the provinces and cities (including the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region) in the top 10 (2015) of total export trade, it is found that the content of high-tech products in the export trade structure of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region is relatively low. The distribution of specific gravity of mechanical and electrical products is uneven and the export market is too centralized. Then, the entropy method is used to evaluate and analyze ten provinces and cities (including Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region) with SAS. Through the research, it is found that the comprehensive evaluation value of Tianjin is increasing year by year, but the ranking is relatively stable and occupies the middle position; the comprehensive evaluation value of Beijing has not changed much in the past six years. The comprehensive ranking was first dropped and then kept at the middle and lower level of 6th place for four years, and the comprehensive evaluation value of Hebei Province decreased year by year. From the current situation analysis and comprehensive evaluation analysis, we can see that there are many problems in the export trade structure of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region, such as: the proportion of high-tech products is low; the export market is too concentrated; The export market is facing great risks, the development of regional export trade structure is not balanced, and so on. In view of these problems, this paper puts forward the strategy of optimizing the structure of export trade products, improving the trade competitiveness, and implementing the market diversification strategy. Some suggestions such as constructing a balanced and reasonable international market structure to reduce trade risk, increasing government support to promote the rapid and balanced development of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei foreign trade and ensuring the coordinated development of export trade in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region are suggested.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：河北大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：F752.62

【參考文獻(xiàn)】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前10條

1 劉愛蘭;王智p，

本文編號：1564730