本文關(guān)鍵詞：中國與東盟雙邊貿(mào)易對(duì)雙邊沖突削減作用的研究　出處：《浙江工業(yè)大學(xué)》2015年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

  更多相關(guān)文章： 中國-東盟 雙邊貿(mào)易 雙邊沖突 對(duì)稱依賴性 削減

【摘要】：當(dāng)今世界,國與國之間的貿(mào)易聯(lián)系日益頻繁和緊密,伴隨而來的是頻頻發(fā)生的國際沖突,國際經(jīng)濟(jì)與國際政治之間的相互滲透作用日益加深,國際貿(mào)易對(duì)國際沖突的影響作用亦愈加深厚。中國與東盟國家同屬亞洲國家,地理位置毗鄰,自2010年中國-東盟自由貿(mào)易區(qū)正式成立以來,中國與東盟之間的貿(mào)易關(guān)系日益緊密,雙邊貿(mào)易量不斷創(chuàng)新高。然而,由于歷史,地理等因素的存在,中國與東盟之間一直存在著一系列的糾紛和沖突問題。隨著“中國威脅論”在世界范圍內(nèi)的散播,如何和周邊國家妥當(dāng)處理和平與發(fā)展的問題,營造一個(gè)良好的周邊環(huán)境,并在發(fā)展雙邊經(jīng)貿(mào)聯(lián)系的同時(shí)將沖突降至最低,是中國面臨的關(guān)鍵問題所在。文章采用理論研究,理論模型和實(shí)證模型研究的方法,從七個(gè)章節(jié)逐步深入論證了中國與東盟雙邊貿(mào)易對(duì)雙邊沖突的削減作用。首先文章從中國政策“21世紀(jì)海上絲綢之路”戰(zhàn)略大背景入手,論述中國和東盟雙邊貿(mào)易的發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀和契機(jī),以及當(dāng)前雙邊面臨的沖突問題,并對(duì)國內(nèi)外相關(guān)國際貿(mào)易影響國際沖突的理論、模型和實(shí)證三個(gè)方面的研究現(xiàn)狀進(jìn)行綜述,通過分析國際貿(mào)易對(duì)國際沖突的兩國模型和三國模型,得出國際貿(mào)易能在一定程度上削減國際沖突的結(jié)論。文章的理論機(jī)理部分分析了國際貿(mào)易對(duì)國際沖突的總效應(yīng),分別從國際貿(mào)易促進(jìn)國際沖突的原因和國際貿(mào)易削減國際沖突的因素進(jìn)行論述。在實(shí)證模型中,采用中國與東盟國家之間的雙邊貿(mào)易數(shù)據(jù)做聯(lián)立方程模型,使用COW 4.0版本中的沖突與合作數(shù)據(jù)以及世界銀行中中國與東盟雙邊貿(mào)易的數(shù)據(jù),驗(yàn)證中國與東盟之間貿(mào)易對(duì)雙邊沖突的削減作用。通過研究發(fā)現(xiàn)中國與東盟之間貿(mào)易緊密程度和貿(mào)易依賴程度不斷加深的同時(shí),受到國際因素和雙邊歷史發(fā)展條件的影響,中國與東盟國家之間的沖突問題一直都存在。文章通過實(shí)證研究得出1990年至2012年期間,中國與東盟之間的雙邊貿(mào)易對(duì)雙邊沖突具有削減作用。通過研究雙邊貿(mào)易對(duì)雙邊沖突的凈效應(yīng),利用有效的經(jīng)濟(jì)手段來緩解雙邊的沖突,從而進(jìn)一步推動(dòng)中國與東盟的雙邊經(jīng)濟(jì)合作,實(shí)現(xiàn)雙邊經(jīng)濟(jì)平穩(wěn)快速發(fā)展,對(duì)于中國而言有著重要的理論和現(xiàn)實(shí)意義。針對(duì)中國與東盟雙邊貿(mào)易和沖突的現(xiàn)狀,文章從加強(qiáng)貿(mào)易開放程度以推進(jìn)貿(mào)易自由化發(fā)展,加快基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施建設(shè)以優(yōu)化貿(mào)易便利條件和加強(qiáng)次區(qū)域間合作以推動(dòng)產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易發(fā)展三個(gè)方面對(duì)中國改善與東盟的經(jīng)貿(mào)和政治關(guān)系提出了政策性建議。
[Abstract]:In today's world, the trade links between countries are becoming more frequent and close. The frequent international conflicts are accompanied by the increasing penetration of international economy and international politics, and the impact of international trade on international conflicts is deeper. China and ASEAN countries belong to Asian countries and their geographical location is adjacent. Since the establishment of China ASEAN Free Trade Area in 2010, trade relations between China and ASEAN have been increasingly close, and bilateral trade volume has been continuously innovating. However, due to the existence of historical, geographical and other factors, there has been a series of disputes and conflicts between China and ASEAN. With the spread of "China Threat Theory" in the world, how to build a good surrounding environment and deal with the problems of peace and development with the neighboring countries, and to minimize the conflict while developing bilateral economic and trade ties, is the key problem facing China. Based on theoretical research, theoretical model and empirical model research, the article gradually demonstrates the role of bilateral trade between China and ASEAN in reducing bilateral conflicts from seven chapters. Firstly, from the policy Chinese twenty-first Century "maritime Silk Road" strategic background, discusses the development status and opportunity Chinese and bilateral trade, and the current bilateral conflict problem, and a summary of current situation of domestic and foreign related international trade influence three aspects of international conflict theory, model and empirical analysis, through the the two models and three models of international trade of international conflicts, the international trade can reduce international conflicts to a certain extent the conclusion. The theoretical mechanism of the article partly analyzes the total effect of international trade on international conflicts, and discusses the reasons for international trade to promote international conflicts, and the factors that reduce international conflicts in international trade. In the empirical model, using bilateral trade data between China and ASEAN countries do simultaneous equation model, using COW 4 version of the conflict and cooperation between the data and the world bank in China ASEAN bilateral trade data, verify the trade between ASEAN Chinese cut effect on bilateral conflict. Through research, it is found that trade tightness and trade dependence between China and ASEAN are deepening. Meanwhile, the conflict between China and ASEAN countries is always affected by international factors and bilateral historical development conditions. Through an empirical study, the paper draws a conclusion that bilateral trade between China and ASEAN has a reduction in bilateral conflicts between 1990 and 2012. The net effect of bilateral trade on bilateral conflict, the use of effective economic means to alleviate bilateral conflicts, so as to further promote bilateral economic cooperation with ASEAN China, realize bilateral economic steady and rapid development, has important theoretical and practical significance for the Chinese concerned. According to the present situation of bilateral trade and China conflict with ASEAN, in order to strengthen the trade openness in order to promote the development of free trade, accelerate infrastructure construction in order to optimize the conditions of trade facilitation and strengthen cooperation between the region to promote the development of intra industry trade in three aspects of policy recommendations and the ASEAN Economic and political relations to improve Chinese.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：浙江工業(yè)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2015
【分類號(hào)】：F752.7

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