【摘要】：近二十多年來,中國作為加工貿(mào)易大國,中間品貿(mào)易發(fā)展越來越迅速,中間品貿(mào)易已經(jīng)成為了中國進(jìn)出口貿(mào)易的重要組成部分。中國的中間品貿(mào)易受外商直接投資的影響十分深刻�？鐕髽I(yè)在中間品貿(mào)易中起到了重要的作用。因此,在生產(chǎn)網(wǎng)絡(luò)視角下,研究FDI通過影響中國中間品的進(jìn)口,進(jìn)而如何影響最終品的出口這種三角貿(mào)易模式就顯得十分必要。本文在此基礎(chǔ)上,通過生產(chǎn)網(wǎng)絡(luò)視角,利用一般均衡理論,闡述了FDI對中間品貿(mào)易、最終品貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)的影響機(jī)制。首先用表格和數(shù)據(jù)等方法闡述了中國近二十年來FDI與貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)的發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀,歸納了其特點(diǎn),發(fā)現(xiàn)了二者之間的內(nèi)在關(guān)系。其次,對前人研究FDI與貿(mào)易之間的替代互補(bǔ)關(guān)系理論進(jìn)行了疏理和總結(jié)。并運(yùn)用一般均衡分析,對FDI與最終品,中間品貿(mào)易模式做了理論上的闡述。接下來在引力方程基礎(chǔ)上,運(yùn)用最小二乘法和固定效應(yīng)的面板模型進(jìn)行了回歸,對FDI與中間品貿(mào)易、最終品貿(mào)易關(guān)系做了實(shí)證分析。得出結(jié)論：在三角貿(mào)易模式中,FDI對中間投入品的進(jìn)口起到了正向的促進(jìn)作用,而中間品中半成品和零部件的進(jìn)口促進(jìn)了最終資本品的出口,中間品中初級(jí)產(chǎn)品的進(jìn)口促進(jìn)了最終消費(fèi)品的出口。做為加工貿(mào)易大國的中國,FDI通過中間品與最終產(chǎn)品出口形成了互補(bǔ)關(guān)系；另外,也發(fā)現(xiàn)兩國經(jīng)濟(jì)水平越相似的國家中間品貿(mào)易所占的比重越大。GDP與雙邊最終品貿(mào)易額,中間品貿(mào)易存在著顯著正向影響。針對此結(jié)論本文最后提出了相應(yīng)的政策建議。
[Abstract]:In the past twenty years, as a big country of processing trade, China's intermediate trade has developed more and more rapidly, and intermediate trade has become an important part of China's import and export trade. China's intermediate trade is deeply influenced by foreign direct investment. Multinational enterprises play an important role in the trade of intermediate goods. Therefore, from the perspective of production network, it is necessary to study the triangle trade mode of FDI which influences the import of Chinese intermediate goods and how to influence the export of final goods. On this basis, through the perspective of production network and using the general equilibrium theory, this paper expounds the influence mechanism of FDI on the trade structure of intermediate goods and final goods. In this paper, the development status of China's FDI and trade structure in the past two decades is described by means of tables and data, and its characteristics are summarized, and the internal relations between them are found. Secondly, the theory of substitution and complementarity between FDI and trade is reviewed and summarized. Using the general equilibrium analysis, the trade model of FDI, final product and intermediate goods is expounded theoretically. Then, on the basis of gravity equation, using the least square method and the panel model of fixed effect, the paper makes an empirical analysis on the trade relationship between FDI and intermediate goods and final goods. It is concluded that FDI plays a positive role in promoting the import of intermediate inputs in the triangular trade model, while the import of semi-finished products and components in intermediate goods promotes the export of final capital goods. Imports of primary products in intermediates facilitate the export of final consumer goods. As a big country of processing trade, China FDI forms a complementary relationship through the export of intermediate goods and final products. In addition, it is also found that the more similar the economic level of the two countries is, the larger the proportion of intermediate goods trade between the two countries is. There is a significant positive impact on intermediate trade. In view of this conclusion, this paper finally puts forward the corresponding policy recommendations.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：天津財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號(hào)】：F832.6;F752

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