【摘要】：本文通過對(duì)廣西的金融和出口貿(mào)易發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀分析和與其他地區(qū)的金融與出口貿(mào)易的比較分析,同時(shí)結(jié)合金融發(fā)展對(duì)貿(mào)易的作用機(jī)理和模型分析就廣西金融對(duì)出口貿(mào)易發(fā)展進(jìn)行深入的探討。 論文首先回顧了金融與貿(mào)易關(guān)系的理論及實(shí)證的研究成果,總結(jié)得出金融對(duì)貿(mào)易是存在著顯著影響的結(jié)論。其次,闡述與貿(mào)易發(fā)展相關(guān)的金融理論及作用機(jī)理。然后分別從金融規(guī)模、金融效率及金融結(jié)構(gòu)和出口規(guī)模及出口結(jié)構(gòu)來分析廣西金融與出口貿(mào)易發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀,并分別分析廣西金融與出口貿(mào)易發(fā)展存在問題。且通過與西部地區(qū)的金融和出口貿(mào)易發(fā)展的比較來分析廣西是否屬于不完善金融市場(chǎng)及欠發(fā)達(dá)地區(qū)。再次,以1985年至2012年的樣本數(shù)據(jù)為基礎(chǔ),基于VAR模型檢驗(yàn)方法分析了廣西金融對(duì)出口貿(mào)易的影響。研究結(jié)果表明,廣西的金融發(fā)展對(duì)出口規(guī)模及出口結(jié)構(gòu)存在長(zhǎng)期均衡的影響,主要分為廣西出口貿(mào)易規(guī)模受到金融規(guī)模的沖擊反應(yīng)相對(duì)較強(qiáng),短期存在負(fù)向影響及長(zhǎng)期存在正向影響關(guān)系,并以長(zhǎng)期的影響關(guān)系為主要的發(fā)展方向；同時(shí)可從檢驗(yàn)還看出廣西出口規(guī)模除了受自身的影響外主要的貢獻(xiàn)來自金融規(guī)模。而出口貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)受到金融效率沖擊的反應(yīng)相對(duì)較強(qiáng),短期存在負(fù)向影響關(guān)系,且慢慢減弱并有向正向發(fā)展的趨勢(shì)；并且檢驗(yàn)結(jié)果顯示廣西出口結(jié)構(gòu)除了受自身的影響外主要的貢獻(xiàn)來自金融效率。最后結(jié)合廣西金融與出口貿(mào)易發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀、對(duì)比分析及實(shí)證分析的結(jié)果,提出與廣西出口貿(mào)易發(fā)展相適應(yīng)的金融發(fā)展對(duì)策。
[Abstract]:Through the analysis of the present situation of Guangxi's finance and export trade and the comparative analysis with other regions' finance and export trade, At the same time, based on the analysis of the mechanism and model of financial development to trade, the paper makes a deep discussion on the development of Guangxi finance to export trade. Firstly, the paper reviews the theoretical and empirical research results of the relationship between finance and trade, and concludes that finance has a significant impact on trade. Secondly, it expounds the financial theory and mechanism related to the development of trade. Then it analyzes the present situation of Guangxi's finance and export trade from the aspects of financial scale, financial efficiency, financial structure, export scale and export structure, and analyzes the problems existing in the development of Guangxi's finance and export trade respectively. By comparing with the development of finance and export trade in the western region, this paper analyzes whether Guangxi belongs to the imperfect financial market and the underdeveloped region. Thirdly, based on the sample data from 1985 to 2012, this paper analyzes the impact of Guangxi finance on export trade based on VAR model. The results show that the financial development of Guangxi has a long-term equilibrium effect on the export scale and export structure, mainly divided into that the scale of Guangxi's export trade is relatively strongly impacted by the financial scale. There are negative effects in the short run and positive effects in the long run, and the main development direction is the long-term influence relationship. At the same time, we can also see that the main contribution of Guangxi export scale comes from the financial scale in addition to its own influence. The export trade structure is relatively strong response to the impact of financial efficiency, there is a negative impact on the short-term relationship, and slowly weakened and has a trend of positive development; The results show that the main contribution of Guangxi's export structure comes from financial efficiency in addition to its own influence. Finally, based on the present situation of Guangxi's finance and export trade, the results of comparative analysis and empirical analysis, the author puts forward the financial development countermeasures suitable for Guangxi's export trade development.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：廣西大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號(hào)】：F832.7;F752.8

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