【摘要】：本文通過對廣西的金融和出口貿(mào)易發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀分析和與其他地區(qū)的金融與出口貿(mào)易的比較分析,同時結合金融發(fā)展對貿(mào)易的作用機理和模型分析就廣西金融對出口貿(mào)易發(fā)展進行深入的探討。 論文首先回顧了金融與貿(mào)易關系的理論及實證的研究成果,總結得出金融對貿(mào)易是存在著顯著影響的結論。其次,闡述與貿(mào)易發(fā)展相關的金融理論及作用機理。然后分別從金融規(guī)模、金融效率及金融結構和出口規(guī)模及出口結構來分析廣西金融與出口貿(mào)易發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀,并分別分析廣西金融與出口貿(mào)易發(fā)展存在問題。且通過與西部地區(qū)的金融和出口貿(mào)易發(fā)展的比較來分析廣西是否屬于不完善金融市場及欠發(fā)達地區(qū)。再次,以1985年至2012年的樣本數(shù)據(jù)為基礎,基于VAR模型檢驗方法分析了廣西金融對出口貿(mào)易的影響。研究結果表明,廣西的金融發(fā)展對出口規(guī)模及出口結構存在長期均衡的影響,主要分為廣西出口貿(mào)易規(guī)模受到金融規(guī)模的沖擊反應相對較強,短期存在負向影響及長期存在正向影響關系,并以長期的影響關系為主要的發(fā)展方向；同時可從檢驗還看出廣西出口規(guī)模除了受自身的影響外主要的貢獻來自金融規(guī)模。而出口貿(mào)易結構受到金融效率沖擊的反應相對較強,短期存在負向影響關系,且慢慢減弱并有向正向發(fā)展的趨勢；并且檢驗結果顯示廣西出口結構除了受自身的影響外主要的貢獻來自金融效率。最后結合廣西金融與出口貿(mào)易發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀、對比分析及實證分析的結果,提出與廣西出口貿(mào)易發(fā)展相適應的金融發(fā)展對策。
[Abstract]:Through the analysis of the present situation of Guangxi's finance and export trade and the comparative analysis with other regions' finance and export trade, At the same time, based on the analysis of the mechanism and model of financial development to trade, the paper makes a deep discussion on the development of Guangxi finance to export trade. Firstly, the paper reviews the theoretical and empirical research results of the relationship between finance and trade, and concludes that finance has a significant impact on trade. Secondly, it expounds the financial theory and mechanism related to the development of trade. Then it analyzes the present situation of Guangxi's finance and export trade from the aspects of financial scale, financial efficiency, financial structure, export scale and export structure, and analyzes the problems existing in the development of Guangxi's finance and export trade respectively. By comparing with the development of finance and export trade in the western region, this paper analyzes whether Guangxi belongs to the imperfect financial market and the underdeveloped region. Thirdly, based on the sample data from 1985 to 2012, this paper analyzes the impact of Guangxi finance on export trade based on VAR model. The results show that the financial development of Guangxi has a long-term equilibrium effect on the export scale and export structure, mainly divided into that the scale of Guangxi's export trade is relatively strongly impacted by the financial scale. There are negative effects in the short run and positive effects in the long run, and the main development direction is the long-term influence relationship. At the same time, we can also see that the main contribution of Guangxi export scale comes from the financial scale in addition to its own influence. The export trade structure is relatively strong response to the impact of financial efficiency, there is a negative impact on the short-term relationship, and slowly weakened and has a trend of positive development; The results show that the main contribution of Guangxi's export structure comes from financial efficiency in addition to its own influence. Finally, based on the present situation of Guangxi's finance and export trade, the results of comparative analysis and empirical analysis, the author puts forward the financial development countermeasures suitable for Guangxi's export trade development.
【學位授予單位】：廣西大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F832.7;F752.8

【參考文獻】

相關期刊論文 前10條

1 楊德勇;金融壓制·金融深化·金融約束——我國金融改革道路的選擇[J];北京工商大學學報(社會科學版);2003年03期

2 陳建國,楊濤;中國對外貿(mào)易的金融促進效應分析[J];財貿(mào)經(jīng)濟;2005年01期

3 胡巖;金融發(fā)展與中國經(jīng)濟發(fā)展中的比較優(yōu)勢變遷[J];國際貿(mào)易問題;2003年06期

4 胡求光;李洪英;;金融危機對中國出口貿(mào)易影響的實證分析[J];國際貿(mào)易問題;2010年03期

5 沈能;;金融發(fā)展與國際貿(mào)易的動態(tài)演進分析——基于中國的經(jīng)驗數(shù)據(jù)[J];世界經(jīng)濟研究;2006年06期

6 史龍祥;馬宇;;金融發(fā)展對中國制造業(yè)出口結構優(yōu)化影響的實證分析[J];世界經(jīng)濟研究;2008年03期

7 曹珂;朱彤;;外部融資依賴、金融發(fā)展與比較優(yōu)勢變遷——基于中國制造業(yè)部門的行業(yè)分析[J];世界經(jīng)濟研究;2010年04期

8 陽佳余;;金融發(fā)展與對外貿(mào)易:基于省際面板數(shù)據(jù)的經(jīng)驗研究[J];經(jīng)濟科學;2007年04期

9 趙春明;郭界秀;;金融發(fā)展與比較優(yōu)勢關系研究評述[J];經(jīng)濟學動態(tài);2010年04期

10 潘珍珍;;浙江省金融發(fā)展和對外貿(mào)易關系研究——基于VAR模型分析[J];經(jīng)濟研究導刊;2011年13期

，

本文編號：2177143