發(fā)布時(shí)間：2018-04-03 05:35

  本文選題：經(jīng)濟(jì)空間　切入點(diǎn)：金融趨同　出處：《經(jīng)濟(jì)問題》2015年08期

【摘要】：傳統(tǒng)金融發(fā)展理論對(duì)金融與經(jīng)濟(jì)的關(guān)系始終圍繞金融結(jié)構(gòu)、資本形成和創(chuàng)新投資等已知的滲透機(jī)制尋找二者的交互關(guān)系,然而,發(fā)達(dá)國(guó)家金融發(fā)展的經(jīng)驗(yàn)需要新鮮的視角和理論來重新闡釋,我們歸納了"金融趨同"的理論范疇以解釋深層次的關(guān)聯(lián)。通過對(duì)歐洲國(guó)家長(zhǎng)期宏觀數(shù)據(jù)的分析,證實(shí)了該現(xiàn)象的真實(shí)性。新建了Ex SAR模型,檢驗(yàn)世界各國(guó)金融發(fā)展是否存在趨同現(xiàn)象;在上述模型運(yùn)用ML法估計(jì)參數(shù),檢驗(yàn)世界20個(gè)國(guó)家金融發(fā)展差異是否存在條件β趨同。新模型結(jié)果顯示出各項(xiàng)估計(jì)對(duì)比OLS法估計(jì)參數(shù)提高了顯著性水平,空間相關(guān)強(qiáng)度系數(shù)具有較優(yōu)的統(tǒng)計(jì)性質(zhì),均能通過1%顯著性的空間依賴性檢驗(yàn),這說明考慮空間的影響是正確的。同時(shí)說明近30年歐洲國(guó)家的金融發(fā)展進(jìn)程表現(xiàn)出了比較明顯的空間溢出效應(yīng)。
[Abstract]:The relationship between finance and economy based on traditional financial development theory has always been focused on the known penetration mechanisms such as financial structure, capital formation and innovative investment. However,The experience of financial development in developed countries needs fresh perspective and theory to reinterpret. We conclude the theoretical category of "financial convergence" to explain the deep correlation.Through the analysis of long-term macro-data of European countries, the authenticity of this phenomenon is confirmed.The ex SAR model is established to test whether there is convergence in the financial development of the world, and the ML method is used to estimate the parameters to test whether there is conditional 尾 convergence in the financial development differences of 20 countries in the world.The results of the new model show that the estimation parameters of each estimation contrast OLS method improve the significant level, the spatial correlation intensity coefficient has the better statistical property, all can pass the spatial dependence test of 1% significance.This shows that it is correct to consider the effects of space.At the same time, it shows that the financial development process of the European countries in the past 30 years shows a more obvious spatial spillover effect.
【作者單位】： 西南石油大學(xué)經(jīng)管學(xué)院;
【基金】：國(guó)家社科基金項(xiàng)目(13CJL010)階段性成果 西南石油大學(xué)科研基金項(xiàng)目(2013RW004) 創(chuàng)新團(tuán)隊(duì)項(xiàng)目(2013XJRT001)
【分類號(hào)】：F830

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7 蘇h椒，

本文編號(hào)：1703884