本文選題：實際有效匯率　切入點：FDI　出處：《西安科技大學》2014年碩士論文

【摘要】：中國共產黨十八屆三中全會在《中共中央關于全面深化改革若干問題的決定》中明確提出：完善人民幣匯率市場化形成機制，推動資本市場雙向開放，放寬投資準入，推進服務業(yè)領域有序開放，放開服務業(yè)領域外資準入限制。繼續(xù)推進人民幣匯率市場化形成機制，更為重要的是經濟增長以側重GDP為主轉變?yōu)閮群桨l(fā)展、擴大外商投資領域、有力推進經濟結構戰(zhàn)略性調整。在這樣的背景下，人民幣實際有效匯率對我國FDI流入將產生什么樣的影響，對不同產業(yè)結構FDI流入的影響是否相同，研究這些問題對我國合理利用外資促進經濟發(fā)展以及優(yōu)化產業(yè)結構具有重大的現(xiàn)實意義。 論文在總結國內外相關研究現(xiàn)狀的基礎上，對人民幣匯率、FDI及產業(yè)結構的相關理論進行了研究和總結；運用宏觀、微觀經濟學理論、計量經濟學以及統(tǒng)計學方法，基于資源配置的視角，以勞動力及資本要素在產品市場和要素市場的流動為切入點，分別構建“匯率-FDI”傳導和“匯率-FDI-產業(yè)結構”傳導兩個理論模型。應用相關統(tǒng)計軟件，采用單位根檢驗、ADF檢驗、Johansen協(xié)整檢驗、格蘭杰因果檢驗方法，就人民幣實際有效匯率對我國FDI流入從宏觀主體和產業(yè)結構兩個角度進行定量分析，，最終確定了實際匯率與FDI流入的相互關系，以及實際匯率對不同產業(yè)結構FDI流入的影響。最后，在理論與實證研究的基礎上，進行全面系統(tǒng)的分析，提出相關對策建議，促使人民幣實際有效匯率的變動能更好的提升FDI規(guī)模，并借此手段優(yōu)化我國產業(yè)結構。
[Abstract]:The third Plenary session of the 18th CPC Central Committee clearly stated in the "decision of the CPC Central Committee on comprehensively deepening the Reform" that: to perfect the mechanism for the marketization of the RMB exchange rate, to promote the two-way opening of the capital market, and to relax the access to investment.We will open up the service sector in an orderly manner and liberalize restrictions on access to foreign capital in the service sector.What is more important is that the economic growth should focus on GDP and be transformed into connotative development expand the field of foreign investment and push forward the strategic adjustment of economic structure.Against this background, what kind of impact will the real effective exchange rate of RMB have on the inflow of FDI in China, and whether the impact on the inflow of FDI in different industrial structures will be the same or not?The study of these problems is of great practical significance to the rational use of foreign capital to promote economic development and optimize the industrial structure.On the basis of summarizing the current situation of domestic and foreign research, this paper studies and summarizes the relevant theories of RMB exchange rate FDI and industrial structure, and applies macroeconomics, microeconomics, econometrics and statistical methods.Based on the perspective of resource allocation, two theoretical models of "exchange-FDI" transmission and "exchange-FDI- industrial structure" transmission are constructed by starting from the flow of labor and capital elements in the product market and factor market.By using the relevant statistical software, using the unit root test and Johansen cointegration test and Granger causality test, this paper makes a quantitative analysis of the actual effective exchange rate of RMB on the inflow of FDI in China from two angles of macro subject and industrial structure.Finally, the relationship between the real exchange rate and the inflow of FDI and the influence of the real exchange rate on the inflow of FDI in different industrial structures are determined.Finally, on the basis of theoretical and empirical research, this paper makes a comprehensive and systematic analysis, and puts forward relevant countermeasures and suggestions to promote the change of the real effective exchange rate of RMB to better enhance the scale of FDI, and to optimize the industrial structure of our country by this means.
【學位授予單位】：西安科技大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F832.6

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本文編號：1703651