本文關(guān)鍵詞：外商直接投資對上海市出口貿(mào)易影響的實證分析　出處：《華東師范大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

  更多相關(guān)文章： 外商直接投資 上海市 出口貿(mào)易

【摘要】：在全球經(jīng)濟(jì)一體化的今天,外商直接投資和對外貿(mào)易在世界經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展中的作用日益凸顯,并且二者之間的關(guān)系也愈來愈密切。我國自1978年改革開放以來,在利用外商直接投資不斷發(fā)展的同時,對外貿(mào)易也取得了長足的進(jìn)展。一國或地區(qū)利用的外商直接投資與其貿(mào)易之間是否存在著關(guān)系,已經(jīng)是國內(nèi)外眾多學(xué)者研究的問題。本文主要分析上海市利用外商直接投資與其出口貿(mào)易之間的關(guān)系。 本文以宏微觀國際直接投資的理論為基礎(chǔ),通過對1990-2012年的相關(guān)數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行統(tǒng)計性分析,概括了上海市利用外商直接投資和出口貿(mào)易的現(xiàn)狀。然后利用EViews軟件,通過平穩(wěn)性檢驗、協(xié)整檢驗以及格蘭杰因果檢驗來驗證上海市利用的外商直接投資對其初級產(chǎn)品、工業(yè)制成品以及機(jī)電產(chǎn)品、高新技術(shù)產(chǎn)品出口額的影響關(guān)系；同時也研究了外商直接投資與一般貿(mào)易、加工貿(mào)易的出口額之問的格蘭杰因果關(guān)系。最后文章總結(jié)實證分析的結(jié)論,并提出針對性的對策建議。 實證分析發(fā)現(xiàn)上海市利用的外商直接投資對其出口貿(mào)易總量有著明顯的促進(jìn)作用,但外商直接投資從引入到促進(jìn)上海的出口總額增長,有兩年的時滯；同時外商直接投資可以提升上海市出口商品結(jié)構(gòu)。從長期的均衡關(guān)系來看,外商直接投資每增加1%,工業(yè)制成品出口額便增加2.78%。同時外商直接投資對一般貿(mào)易出口的引導(dǎo)作用比較顯著,對于加工貿(mào)易的引導(dǎo)作用比較不顯著。 綜合來說,外商直接投資促進(jìn)了上海市的出口貿(mào)易。但從長遠(yuǎn)來看,上海市有必要出臺一系列利用外商直接投資來提升其出口競爭力的政策。
[Abstract]:In today's global economic integration, the role of foreign direct investment and foreign trade in the development of the world economy is increasingly prominent, and the relationship between the two is becoming more and more close. With the development of foreign direct investment, foreign trade has made great progress. Whether there is a relationship between foreign direct investment and foreign trade in a country or region. This paper mainly analyzes the relationship between the utilization of foreign direct investment and its export trade in Shanghai. Based on the theory of macro and micro international direct investment, this paper makes a statistical analysis of the relevant data from 1990 to 2012. This paper summarizes the current situation of using foreign direct investment and export trade in Shanghai, and then makes use of EViews software to pass the stability test. Co-integration test and Granger causality test to verify the impact of Shanghai's FDI on its primary products, manufactured products, mechanical and electrical products, high-tech products exports; At the same time, it also studies the Granger causality between FDI and general trade, export volume of processing trade. Finally, this paper summarizes the conclusions of empirical analysis, and puts forward some countermeasures and suggestions. The empirical analysis shows that the foreign direct investment (FDI) used in Shanghai has an obvious promoting effect on the total export trade, but there is a delay of two years from the introduction of FDI to the promotion of the total export growth in Shanghai. At the same time, foreign direct investment can improve the structure of Shanghai export commodities. From the long-term equilibrium relationship, foreign direct investment increases by 1%. At the same time, foreign direct investment (FDI) plays a significant role in guiding general trade exports, but not in processing trade. In the long run, however, it is necessary for Shanghai to introduce a series of policies to improve its export competitiveness by using foreign direct investment (FDI).
【學(xué)位授予單位】：華東師范大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F832.6;F752.62

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