農(nóng)村金融發(fā)展與農(nóng)村經(jīng)濟增長關系的實證研究
本文關鍵詞:農(nóng)村金融發(fā)展與農(nóng)村經(jīng)濟增長關系的實證研究 出處:《華中師范大學》2014年碩士論文 論文類型:學位論文
更多相關文章: 農(nóng)村金融 經(jīng)濟增長 VEC
【摘要】:在長期的二元經(jīng)濟體制格局下,如何促進農(nóng)村與城市協(xié)調發(fā)展成為一個重要課題。在關注農(nóng)村經(jīng)濟增長問題時,農(nóng)村金融的作用被認為是核心問題之一。近年來,國家越來越重視農(nóng)村金融的發(fā)展,近期國務院出臺了《關于金融服務“三農(nóng)”發(fā)展的若干意見》,力促金融服務“三農(nóng)”,為農(nóng)村經(jīng)濟增長注入活力。 本文先是對金融發(fā)展、農(nóng)村金融等相關理論進行了歸類總結,然后對我國農(nóng)村金融、農(nóng)村經(jīng)濟發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀進行數(shù)據(jù)描述和分析,通過對近些年的各項重要指標比較以及相關制度的分析,總結出了當前農(nóng)村金融發(fā)展存在的問題:出于制度因襲等多方面原因,農(nóng)村金融的相對外生性,對農(nóng)村經(jīng)濟的發(fā)展作用是比較有限的。 金融供給理論與金融需求理論分別從不同角度總結了金融發(fā)展對于經(jīng)濟增長的影響,那么在當下我國農(nóng)村地區(qū),農(nóng)村金融與農(nóng)村經(jīng)濟增長之間到底是一種什么樣的關系呢?本文采用多變量VAR分析方法,對農(nóng)村經(jīng)濟增長變量與農(nóng)村金融發(fā)展規(guī)模變量、農(nóng)村金融發(fā)展效率變量、農(nóng)村金融發(fā)展結構變量進行協(xié)整檢驗,建立向量誤差修正模型,并采用Granger因果檢驗方法檢驗農(nóng)村經(jīng)濟增長變量與農(nóng)村金融發(fā)展各變量之間的關系。 關于農(nóng)村問題的實證分析由于數(shù)據(jù)龐雜、口徑不一,指標選取的不一結論也會不一樣,本文在總結前人文獻的基礎之上,精選指標,無論是農(nóng)村GDP還是金融發(fā)展的指標選取都結合了我國當下的國情,具有現(xiàn)實意義。文章的最后,基于理論和實證研究,針對我國農(nóng)村金融發(fā)展中存在的問題提出建議,以期農(nóng)村金融更好地與農(nóng)村經(jīng)濟相適應,促進農(nóng)村經(jīng)濟的健康發(fā)展。
[Abstract]:In the long-term dual economic system, how to promote the coordinated development of rural and urban has become an important issue, while paying close attention to the problem of rural economic growth. The role of rural finance is regarded as one of the core issues. In recent years, more and more attention has been paid to the development of rural finance. Efforts to promote financial services, rural areas and farmers for rural economic growth injected vitality. In this paper, the financial development, rural finance and other related theories are classified and summarized, and then the current situation of rural finance and rural economic development in China are described and analyzed. Through the comparison of various important indicators in recent years and the analysis of relevant systems, this paper summarizes the problems existing in the development of rural finance at present: the relative externality of rural finance is due to various reasons, such as institutional inheritance. To the development of rural economy is more limited. The theory of financial supply and the theory of financial demand have summed up the impact of financial development on economic growth from different angles, then in the current rural areas of China. What is the relationship between rural finance and rural economic growth? This paper uses the multivariate VAR analysis method to test the rural economic growth variable and the rural financial development scale variable, the rural financial development efficiency variable, the rural financial development structure variable. The vector error correction model is established and the Granger causality test is used to test the relationship between the variables of rural economic growth and the variables of rural financial development. The empirical analysis of rural problems due to the complex data, different caliber, the different conclusions of index selection will be different, this paper summarizes the previous literature on the basis of the selection of indicators. Whether rural GDP or financial development indicators are combined with the current situation of China, has practical significance. Finally, based on theoretical and empirical research. In view of the problems existing in the development of rural finance in China, some suggestions are put forward in order to better adapt the rural finance to the rural economy and promote the healthy development of the rural economy.
【學位授予單位】:華中師范大學
【學位級別】:碩士
【學位授予年份】:2014
【分類號】:F832.35;F323
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