本文選題：汽車產業(yè)低碳化 + 碳排放�。� 參考：《吉林大學》2014年碩士論文

【摘要】：吉林省汽車工業(yè)是新中國汽車工業(yè)的搖籃。2013年，坐落在吉林省長春市的中國第一汽車集團公司迎來了建廠60周年。第一汽車制造廠作為新中國第一批汽車生產基地，背負著汽車強國的歷史使命，60年來誕生了“解放”、“東風”、“紅旗”等一批家喻戶曉的品牌。吉林省汽車工業(yè)可謂是新中國汽車工業(yè)從無到有、從弱到強的實踐者與見證者，是新中國汽車工業(yè)輝煌歷史的譜寫者。 汽車工業(yè)是吉林省的支柱性產業(yè)。2012年，吉林省汽車制造業(yè)產值占吉林省工業(yè)總產值的比重高達27.7%，汽車制造業(yè)對吉林省經(jīng)濟拉動作用顯著。2001年，中國加入WTO以來，中國汽車工業(yè)頂住了來自國際汽車市場的壓力，經(jīng)歷的一段井噴式的增長。吉林省整車產量由2002年生產52.87萬輛增長到2012年生產197.56萬輛，翻了兩番左右。2012年吉林省汽車制造業(yè)零部件企業(yè)數(shù)量突破400家，圍繞一汽和大眾兩大整車制造商，產業(yè)集群效應初顯。汽車市場方面，吉林省民用汽車保有量從2002年的47.57萬輛增長到2012年的225.09萬輛，翻了兩番多。吉林省汽車制造業(yè)呈現(xiàn)出一片繁榮的景象。 但是，隨著經(jīng)濟的高速發(fā)展，隨之而來的能源與環(huán)境問題逐漸凸顯。尤其2012年以來北京等地區(qū)出現(xiàn)的持續(xù)性霧霾天氣，更是將PM2.5等環(huán)境問題推到了輿論的風口浪尖，引發(fā)了全社會的關注。早在2003年，英國的能源白皮書《我們能源的未來：創(chuàng)建低碳經(jīng)濟》中，，第一次提出了低碳經(jīng)濟的概念。這種可持續(xù)發(fā)展的理念、追求經(jīng)濟發(fā)展與環(huán)境保護雙贏的經(jīng)濟發(fā)展形態(tài)很快得到了國際社會的認同。而中國過去的經(jīng)濟發(fā)展是以極大的環(huán)境為代價的，“高能耗、高污染、高排放”的經(jīng)濟發(fā)展模式顯然不滿足低碳經(jīng)濟的客觀要求。汽車產業(yè)一直是“高能耗、高污染、高排放”的代名詞。因此，進行產業(yè)結構優(yōu)化與升級、低碳化轉型勢在必行。 本文在當前的經(jīng)濟背景下，從低碳經(jīng)濟的視角出發(fā)，以吉林省汽車產業(yè)為研究對象，對吉林省汽車產業(yè)低碳化發(fā)展水平進行了評價，并分析了吉林省汽車產業(yè)碳排放影響因素，通過實證揭示各影響因素對吉林省碳排放量的影響程度。各章節(jié)內容如下： 第一章，本論文的選題背景、研究內容、研究方法、數(shù)據(jù)來源以及創(chuàng)新點等內容的說明。 第二章，對國內外的低碳經(jīng)濟理論和產業(yè)低碳化轉型相關文獻進行梳理和總結，作為本文研究的理論支撐。對發(fā)達國家汽車產業(yè)低碳化轉型的實踐經(jīng)驗進行歸納整理，選取美國、日本以及歐盟作為主要研究對象，總結它們在汽車產業(yè)低碳化轉型過程中的成功經(jīng)驗。 第三章，分析了吉林省汽車產業(yè)能源消耗與碳排放現(xiàn)狀。運用因子分析的方法，從產業(yè)經(jīng)濟、節(jié)能環(huán)保、循環(huán)利用三個方面建立了低碳經(jīng)濟下汽車產業(yè)評價模型，評價模型共包含15個指標，通過該模型對國內30個省份（除西藏和港澳臺）進行評價，從而揭示吉林省汽車產業(yè)低碳化發(fā)展水平。 第四章，對吉林省汽車產業(yè)碳排放量影響因素進行梳理。根據(jù)協(xié)整理論，建立了吉林省碳排放量與交通運輸設備制造業(yè)能源消耗量、機動車保有量、居民消費水平、每萬人公共交通梳理的協(xié)整模型，通過協(xié)整模型檢驗五組時間序列間的長期均衡關系。通過脈沖分析，觀察吉林省碳排放量對這四個影響因素一個標準差新息脈沖的響應。 第五章，針對上文對吉林省汽車產業(yè)低碳化發(fā)展水平的評價與影響吉林省汽車產業(yè)碳排放量的因素，結合模型的實證結果，從促進機動車保有量綠色增長、清潔生產因素方面、消費者因素方面、能源效率因素方面四個層面對吉林省汽車產業(yè)低碳化轉型提出幾點對策和建議。
[Abstract]:Jilin auto industry is the cradle of the new China auto industry.2013. The China First Automobile Group Corporation, located in Changchun, Jilin Province, ushered in the construction plant 60th anniversary. The first automobile manufacturing plant, as the first batch of automobile production base in the new China, bears the historical mission of the automobile power. In 60 years, the "liberation", "Dongfeng", "red", "red", "red", "red", "red", "red", "red", "red", "red", "red", "red", "red", "red", "red" The flag "and so on" a number of household name brands. Jilin auto industry is a new China auto industry from scratch, from weak to strong practitioners and witnesses, is the new Chinese auto industry brilliant history of the history of the composer.
The automobile industry is the pillar industry of Jilin province in.2012 years. The proportion of automobile manufacturing output in Jilin province accounts for 27.7% of the total industrial output value of Jilin province. The driving effect of automobile manufacturing industry to Jilin province is.2001 years. Since China's entry into WTO, China's auto industry has withstood the pressure from the international automobile market and experienced a blowout type. The total vehicle output of Jilin province increased from 528 thousand and 700 vehicles in 2002 to 1 million 975 thousand and 600 in 2012. The number of auto manufacturing parts enterprises in Jilin province broke through 400 in.2012 years, around FAW and the public two major vehicle manufacturers, and the industrial cluster effect was first revealed. In the automobile market, the number of civil automobiles in Jilin province was from 2002 The number of 475 thousand and 700 vehicles in 2012 increased to more than two times in 2012, and the auto manufacturing industry in Hunan Province was booming.
However, with the rapid development of the economy, the problems of energy and environment are becoming increasingly prominent. Especially, the persistent haze weather in Beijing and other areas since 2012 has pushed the environmental problems such as PM2.5 to the public opinion. In 2003, the energy white paper of Britain was "the future of our energy." In the first time, the concept of low carbon economy is put forward in the establishment of low carbon economy. The concept of sustainable development and the economic development form pursuing the win-win of economic development and environmental protection are quickly recognized by the international community. The past economic development of China is the economic development of the great environment, "high energy consumption, high pollution, high emission". The model of economic development obviously does not meet the objective requirement of low carbon economy. The automobile industry has always been the pronoun of "high energy consumption, high pollution and high emission". Therefore, it is imperative to optimize and upgrade the industrial structure.
Under the current economic background, from the perspective of low carbon economy and taking the automobile industry of Jilin Province as the research object, this paper evaluates the low carbonization development level of the automobile industry in Jilin Province, analyzes the influence factors of the carbon emission in the automobile industry of Jilin Province, and reveals the influence degree of the influence factors on the carbon emission of Jilin province by the empirical analysis. The contents of the chapter are as follows:
The first chapter is about the background, research contents, research methods, data sources and innovations of this thesis.
The second chapter, the domestic and foreign low-carbon economic theory and industrial low carbon transformation related literature to sort out and summarize, as the theoretical support of this study, the practical experience of the low-carbon transformation of the automobile industry in developed countries was summarized, and selected the United States, Japan and the European Union as the main research object, and summed up their low automobile industry. Successful experience in the process of carbonization.
In the third chapter, the current status of energy consumption and carbon emission in Jilin auto industry is analyzed. Using factor analysis, the evaluation model of automobile industry under low carbon economy is established from three aspects of industrial economy, energy conservation, environmental protection and recycling. The evaluation model includes 15 indexes in 30 provinces in China (except Tibet and Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan). Evaluation to reveal the low carbon development level of Jilin's automobile industry.
In the fourth chapter, the influence factors of carbon emission in Jilin auto industry are combed. According to cointegration theory, the co integration model of carbon emission and transportation equipment manufacturing industry in Jilin Province, motor vehicle ownership, resident consumption level, and public transportation of every 10000 people is set up, and the length of the five groups of time series is tested by cointegration model. Through the pulse analysis, the response of Jilin's carbon emissions to the four standard factors of the new standard pulse is observed.
The fifth chapter, in view of the evaluation of the low carbon development level of Jilin auto industry and the factors affecting the carbon emission of automobile industry in Jilin Province, combined with the empirical results of the model, the four aspects of promoting the green growth of the motor vehicles, the factors of cleaner production, the consumer factors and the energy efficiency factors are facing the Jilin automobile. Some countermeasures and suggestions are put forward in the industrial low carbonization transformation.
【學位授予單位】：吉林大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F426.471

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