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煤電能源供應(yīng)鏈風(fēng)險遞展機理分析:結(jié)構(gòu)型和過程型

發(fā)布時間:2018-06-20 01:35

  本文選題:煤電能源 + 能源供應(yīng)鏈 ; 參考:《技術(shù)經(jīng)濟》2015年04期


【摘要】:定義了"供應(yīng)鏈風(fēng)險遞展"的概念,將風(fēng)險遞展分為3類,即"效果型""結(jié)構(gòu)型"和"過程型"。利用解釋結(jié)構(gòu)方程和卡方自動交叉檢驗方法,分別對結(jié)構(gòu)型遞展和過程型遞展的作用機理進(jìn)行建模和分析。研究結(jié)果如下:結(jié)構(gòu)型遞展過程主要體現(xiàn)各風(fēng)險之間的結(jié)構(gòu)關(guān)系,過程型遞展過程主要體現(xiàn)利益相關(guān)主體在決策過程中對風(fēng)險考量的優(yōu)先排序;在分析結(jié)構(gòu)型遞展過程時,將煤電能源供應(yīng)鏈風(fēng)險指標(biāo)分布于8個層次,"制度/法律風(fēng)險"和"經(jīng)濟周期風(fēng)險"是影響煤電能源供應(yīng)鏈安全性的源頭;在分析過程型遞展過程時,將煤電能源供應(yīng)鏈風(fēng)險指標(biāo)分為18個類別,并篩選出可影響供應(yīng)鏈安全性的9個風(fēng)險。
[Abstract]:This paper defines the concept of "supply chain risk spread" and divides it into three categories, namely, "effect type" structural type "and" process type ". Using the method of explaining structural equation and chi-square automatic cross test, the mechanism of structural devolopment and process devolopment is modeled and analyzed respectively. The results are as follows: the structural development process mainly reflects the structural relationship among the risks, the process of the development process mainly reflects the priority of stakeholders to the risk consideration in the decision-making process; in the analysis of the structural development process, The risk index of coal power supply chain is distributed in 8 levels. "system / law risk" and "economic cycle risk" are the source of influencing the safety of coal power supply chain. The coal power supply chain risk index is divided into 18 categories and 9 risks affecting the supply chain security are screened out.
【作者單位】: 華北電力大學(xué)經(jīng)濟與管理學(xué)院;
【基金】:國家自然科學(xué)基金項目“煤電能源供應(yīng)鏈風(fēng)險遞展動因分析及風(fēng)險控制模擬模型研究”(71273090)
【分類號】:F426.6;F274

【參考文獻(xiàn)】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前10條

1 鄧明然;夏U,

本文編號:2042302


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