本文關(guān)鍵詞： 江蘇省 煤炭消費與經(jīng)濟增長 時間演變 空間差異　出處：《南京師范大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：煤炭資源是我國最重要的能源資源,煤炭的開發(fā)利用為國民經(jīng)濟和能源工業(yè)發(fā)展做出了巨大的貢獻(xiàn)。目前,煤炭在江蘇能源消費結(jié)構(gòu)中占60%左右,煤炭在消費結(jié)構(gòu)中的主體地位形成了大規(guī)模的用煤需求。然而江蘇卻是一個煤炭資源相對匱乏的省份,供需矛盾尖銳,因此,研究江蘇省煤炭消費與經(jīng)濟增長關(guān)系的時空差異,對于深入了解全省及各地區(qū)煤炭消費與經(jīng)濟增長情況,探索促使經(jīng)濟發(fā)展與煤炭消費相協(xié)調(diào)的發(fā)展道路,實現(xiàn)經(jīng)濟、社會和生態(tài)的可持續(xù)發(fā)展具有重要意義。 本文首先根據(jù)江蘇省1985-2012年27年的時間序列數(shù)據(jù),分析江蘇省經(jīng)濟增長、煤炭消費的時間演變特征,在此基礎(chǔ)上分析了江蘇省煤炭消費與經(jīng)濟增長之間的協(xié)整因果關(guān)系,得出江蘇省煤炭消費與經(jīng)濟增長之間存在著長期的協(xié)整關(guān)系,并通過格蘭杰因果檢驗得出江蘇省1985-2012年煤炭消費與經(jīng)濟增長之間存在著單向的因果關(guān)系,即經(jīng)濟增長是促進(jìn)煤炭消費增長的原因。然后采用相對極差、加權(quán)變異系數(shù)和Jenks自然斷裂系統(tǒng)分類法等方法,分別對2001-2010年江蘇全省,蘇南、蘇中和蘇北三大區(qū)域之間,三大區(qū)域內(nèi)部以及13個地級市煤炭消費空間差異的演變進(jìn)行了研究,結(jié)果顯示,江蘇省煤炭消費的空間差異呈逐步上升趨勢,蘇南、蘇中和蘇北的絕對差異也在拉大；蘇北地區(qū)的內(nèi)部差異最大,蘇中其次,蘇南最��；各地級市煤炭消費類型的劃分與變化與全省的經(jīng)濟格局基本一致。最后提出了江蘇經(jīng)濟與煤炭協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展的建議：第一,控制煤炭消耗量,發(fā)展清潔能源；第二,依靠科技進(jìn)步,提高煤炭利用效率；第三,因地制宜,促進(jìn)區(qū)域共同發(fā)展；第四,進(jìn)一步完善和落實相關(guān)法律規(guī)定,提高全民節(jié)能環(huán)保意識。
[Abstract]:Coal resources are the most important energy resources in China. The development and utilization of coal have made great contributions to the development of national economy and energy industry. At present, coal accounts for about 60% of the energy consumption structure in Jiangsu Province. The dominant position of coal in the consumption structure has formed a large-scale demand for coal. However, Jiangsu is a province with relatively scarce coal resources, and the contradiction between supply and demand is sharp. Therefore, the spatio-temporal differences between coal consumption and economic growth in Jiangsu Province are studied. It is of great significance to understand the situation of coal consumption and economic growth in the whole province and all regions, to explore the way to promote the coordination of economic development and coal consumption, and to realize the sustainable development of economy, society and ecology. Based on the time series data of Jiangsu Province from 1985 to 2012, this paper analyzes the time evolution characteristics of Jiangsu economic growth and coal consumption, and then analyzes the cointegration causality between coal consumption and economic growth in Jiangsu Province. It is concluded that there is a long-term cointegration relationship between coal consumption and economic growth in Jiangsu Province, and by Granger causality test, there is a one-way causal relationship between coal consumption and economic growth in Jiangsu Province from 1985 to 2012. That is, economic growth is the reason to promote the growth of coal consumption. Then, by using the methods of relative extreme difference, weighted coefficient of variation and Jenks classification of natural fracture system, the author compares the three major regions of Jiangsu province, southern Jiangsu, central Jiangsu and northern Jiangsu from 2001 to 2010, respectively. The evolution of the spatial difference of coal consumption in three regions and 13 prefectural cities has been studied. The results show that the spatial difference of coal consumption in Jiangsu Province is gradually rising, and the absolute difference among south, middle and north of Jiangsu is also increasing. The internal difference of north Jiangsu is the biggest, the middle of Jiangsu is the second, and the south of Jiangsu is the smallest. The classification and change of coal consumption type in each prefectural level are basically consistent with the economic pattern of the whole province. Finally, the suggestions for the coordinated development of Jiangsu economy and coal are put forward: first, To control coal consumption and develop clean energy; second, to improve the efficiency of coal use by relying on scientific and technological progress; third, to take measures according to local conditions to promote regional common development; and (4th) to further improve and implement relevant laws and regulations, Improve the awareness of energy conservation and environmental protection.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：南京師范大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F426.21;F127

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