本文關(guān)鍵詞： 建筑業(yè) 建筑業(yè)增加值 因子分析 多元線性回歸 EVIEWS 貢獻(xiàn)率　出處：《華中師范大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：建筑業(yè)是國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的支柱產(chǎn)業(yè)之一,它的健康發(fā)展對(duì)國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)有著舉足輕重的作用,而建筑業(yè)是一個(gè)復(fù)雜的系統(tǒng),它受到多種因素的影響,我國(guó)區(qū)域遼闊,內(nèi)部經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展不均衡,作為第二產(chǎn)業(yè)中的一大產(chǎn)業(yè),我國(guó)建筑業(yè)區(qū)域發(fā)展也呈現(xiàn)出極不平衡的現(xiàn)象,本文在前人研究的基礎(chǔ)上,從內(nèi)部因素和外部因素出發(fā),研究了建筑業(yè)的影響因素。 首先,歸納總結(jié)了國(guó)內(nèi)外的研究成果和經(jīng)驗(yàn),在此基礎(chǔ)上,利用我國(guó)八個(gè)省份的橫截面數(shù)據(jù),以人均GDP為自變量,建筑業(yè)增加值占GDP的比重為因變量擬合它們之間的關(guān)系,得到它們滿足四次曲線的關(guān)系,即建筑業(yè)增加值占GDP的比重會(huì)隨著人均GDP先上升后下降再上升最后又下降,其次,從資本投入、勞動(dòng)投入、技術(shù)投入這些內(nèi)部因素出發(fā),利用改進(jìn)的柯布—道格拉斯生產(chǎn)函數(shù)和索洛增長(zhǎng)模型,計(jì)算出了資本投入、勞動(dòng)投入、技術(shù)投入對(duì)我國(guó)建筑業(yè)增加值的貢獻(xiàn)率,結(jié)果表明：資本投入依然是影響我國(guó)建筑業(yè)發(fā)展的第一要素,我國(guó)建筑業(yè)發(fā)展水平整體處于粗放型發(fā)展階段。為了研究我國(guó)建筑業(yè)的局部發(fā)展情況,以廣東省、湖北省、貴州省分別代表發(fā)達(dá)程度好、中等、差的省份,并分別計(jì)算它們各自的資本投入貢獻(xiàn)率、勞動(dòng)投入貢獻(xiàn)率及技術(shù)進(jìn)步貢獻(xiàn)率,得出經(jīng)濟(jì)較好的省份建筑業(yè)率先進(jìn)入集約型增長(zhǎng)方式,經(jīng)濟(jì)較差省份的建筑業(yè)依然主要依靠資本的投入,即我國(guó)建筑業(yè)區(qū)域發(fā)展不均衡,經(jīng)濟(jì)較好的東部地區(qū)或中部快速發(fā)展區(qū)建筑業(yè)相對(duì)發(fā)達(dá),而西部經(jīng)濟(jì)較差的省份建筑業(yè)相對(duì)落后,這與前人的研究結(jié)果相符合。最后,從外部影響因素出發(fā),結(jié)合因子分析法,建立我國(guó)建筑業(yè)增加值與八個(gè)外部影響因素之間的多元線性回歸模型,得出了各個(gè)因素對(duì)我國(guó)建筑業(yè)的影響力,結(jié)論表明：OPEN這個(gè)變量對(duì)我國(guó)建筑業(yè)影響最大,SALE這個(gè)變量對(duì)我國(guó)建筑業(yè)的正影響力是最小的,只有PRIVATE這個(gè)變量對(duì)我國(guó)建筑業(yè)的影響是負(fù)的,且影響力是最小的。 雖然我國(guó)建筑業(yè)局部發(fā)展不平衡,但我國(guó)建筑業(yè)整體發(fā)展?jié)摿κ蔷薮蟮?應(yīng)注重提升勞動(dòng)和技術(shù)對(duì)我國(guó)建筑業(yè)貢獻(xiàn)率,所以我國(guó)的當(dāng)前主要任務(wù)是：加大對(duì)建筑業(yè)的技術(shù)投入,提升勞動(dòng)者的專業(yè)素質(zhì),提高建筑業(yè)生產(chǎn)效率,擺脫以往高投入、低產(chǎn)出、密集型勞動(dòng)模式,調(diào)整產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu),轉(zhuǎn)變發(fā)展方式,實(shí)現(xiàn)技術(shù)帶動(dòng)發(fā)展,縮小我國(guó)建筑業(yè)局部發(fā)展差距,這樣才能實(shí)現(xiàn)我國(guó)建筑業(yè)整體和局部全面的發(fā)展。
[Abstract]:The construction industry is one of the pillar industries of the national economy development, its healthy development plays an important role in the national economy, but the construction industry is a complex system, it is affected by many factors, our country has a vast area. The internal economic development is not balanced, as a major industry in the secondary industry, the regional development of China's construction industry also presents a very unbalanced phenomenon. Based on the previous studies, this paper starts from the internal and external factors. The influencing factors of the construction industry are studied. First of all, summarized the domestic and foreign research results and experience, on this basis, using the cross-sectional data of eight provinces in China, taking the per capita GDP as the independent variable. The proportion of the added value of construction industry to GDP is dependent variable to fit the relationship between them and get the relationship between them to satisfy the quartic curve. That is, the proportion of the added value of construction industry to GDP will rise first, then decrease and then decrease with the per capita GDP. Secondly, starting from the internal factors of capital input, labor input and technology investment. By using the improved Cobb-Douglas production function and Solow growth model, the contribution rate of capital input, labor input and technical input to the added value of Chinese construction industry is calculated. The results show that capital investment is still the first factor that affects the development of Chinese construction industry, and the development level of construction industry in our country is in the extensive development stage as a whole. In order to study the local development of construction industry in China, Guangdong Province. Hubei Province and Guizhou Province represent the well-developed, moderate and poor provinces, and calculate their respective capital input contribution rate, labor input contribution rate and technological progress contribution rate respectively. The conclusion is that the construction industry of the provinces with better economy is the first to enter the intensive growth mode, and the construction industry of the poor provinces still mainly depends on the investment of capital, that is, the regional development of the construction industry in our country is not balanced. The construction industry is relatively developed in the eastern region or the rapid development area in the central part of the economy, while the construction industry is relatively backward in the provinces with poor economy in the west, which is consistent with the previous research results. Finally, from the external factors. Combined with factor analysis, the multiple linear regression model between the added value of China's construction industry and eight external factors is established, and the influence of each factor on China's construction industry is obtained. The conclusion shows that the positive influence of this variable on China's construction industry is the least. Only the PRIVATE variable has a negative effect on the construction industry in China, and the influence is the least. Although the partial development of China's construction industry is unbalanced, the overall development potential of our country's construction industry is huge, so we should pay attention to the contribution rate of labor and technology to our construction industry. So the main task of our country is to increase the technical input to the construction industry, to improve the professional quality of workers, to improve the efficiency of construction industry, to get rid of the past high input, low output, intensive labor model. Only by adjusting the industrial structure, changing the mode of development, realizing the development driven by technology, and narrowing the gap between the local development of the construction industry of our country, can we realize the overall and partial overall development of the construction industry in our country.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：華中師范大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號(hào)】：F426.92;O212.1;F124.1

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