本文關(guān)鍵詞： 能源消費(fèi) 新能源 經(jīng)濟(jì)增長 能源政策　出處：《湖北大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：隨著全球經(jīng)濟(jì)高速發(fā)展,以傳統(tǒng)能源為主的能源消費(fèi)總量也日益增加,但與此同時,廢氣排放量急劇上升,環(huán)境污染問題嚴(yán)重,這些都嚴(yán)重阻礙了世界經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展和人們生活水平的提高。因此,為實(shí)現(xiàn)經(jīng)濟(jì)可持續(xù)發(fā)展,世界各國開始注重新能源的研發(fā)和利用,而日本作為東北亞發(fā)達(dá)國家,其新能源的發(fā)展有許多值得我國借鑒的地方。在此背景下研究日本新能源消費(fèi)與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的關(guān)系,對我國制定新能源政策,發(fā)展以新能源消費(fèi)為主的低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)具有重要的理論和現(xiàn)實(shí)意義。 首先,本文將日本的能源消費(fèi)總量作為第三種生產(chǎn)要素考慮到Cobb-Douglas生產(chǎn)函數(shù)中,選取1990-2012年間相關(guān)經(jīng)濟(jì)數(shù)據(jù)對包括新能源在內(nèi)的日本能源總消費(fèi)量與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的關(guān)系進(jìn)行了實(shí)證研究。然后運(yùn)用協(xié)整理論對日本能源消費(fèi)為與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長之間關(guān)系進(jìn)行了檢驗(yàn),實(shí)證結(jié)果表明日本能源消費(fèi)與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長之間存在著長期均衡關(guān)系,并建立了長期均衡模型。通過運(yùn)用Granger因果關(guān)系檢驗(yàn)證明了日本能源總消費(fèi)量對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長存在著單向因果關(guān)系�；貧w分析結(jié)果表明：日本的GDP增長與能源消費(fèi)、資本存量、勞動力這三者顯著相關(guān)。其中資本存量對GDP增長的推動最大,能源消費(fèi)其次,勞動力最小。再次,本文研究了以風(fēng)能、水能以及核能為主的新能源消費(fèi)與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長之間的關(guān)系,運(yùn)用協(xié)整性檢驗(yàn)以及修正誤差模型理論證明了日本新能源消費(fèi)與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長之間存在著長期均衡關(guān)系,并建立了經(jīng)濟(jì)增長模型。通過Granger因果關(guān)系檢驗(yàn)證明了日本新能源消費(fèi)與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長之間在10%的顯著水平下存在著單向因果關(guān)系。最后,結(jié)合實(shí)證分析結(jié)果,對日本新能源產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展提出了政策建議,認(rèn)為日本的能源政策應(yīng)側(cè)重節(jié)能降耗,同時討論了其對我國新能源產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展的啟示。
[Abstract]:With the rapid development of the global economy, the total amount of energy consumption based on traditional energy is increasing day by day, but at the same time, the emission of exhaust gas is rising sharply, and the problem of environmental pollution is serious. These have seriously hindered the development of the world economy and the improvement of people's living standard. Therefore, in order to achieve sustainable economic development, countries in the world began to pay attention to the research and development and utilization of new energy. Japan, as a developed country in Northeast Asia, has much to learn from its new energy development. In this context, the relationship between Japan's new energy consumption and economic growth is studied, and new energy policies are formulated for China. The development of low-carbon economy with new energy consumption is of great theoretical and practical significance. First of all, the total energy consumption in Japan is taken into account in the Cobb-Douglas production function as the third factor of production. Based on the relevant economic data from 1990 to 2012, this paper makes an empirical study on the relationship between total energy consumption and economic growth in Japan, including new energy sources, and then applies cointegration theory to analyze the relationship between Japan's energy consumption and economic growth. The relationship between economic growth has been tested. The empirical results show that there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between energy consumption and economic growth in Japan. By using Granger causality test, it is proved that Japan's total energy consumption has a one-way causal relationship with economic growth. The results of regression analysis show that:. Japan's GDP growth and energy consumption. Capital stock, labor force are significantly related to each other. Among them, capital stock has the greatest impact on GDP growth, energy consumption is the second, labor force is the smallest. Thirdly, this paper studies wind energy. The relationship between water and nuclear energy consumption and economic growth, using cointegration test and modified error model theory, proves that there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between new energy consumption and economic growth in Japan. Through the Granger causality test, it is proved that there is a one-way causality between Japan's new energy consumption and economic growth at a significant level of 10%. Based on the results of empirical analysis, this paper puts forward some policy suggestions on the development of new energy industry in Japan, and points out that Japan's energy policy should focus on saving energy and reducing consumption. At the same time, it discusses the enlightenment to the development of new energy industry in China.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：湖北大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F416.2;F131.3

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