發(fā)布時(shí)間：2018-01-07 10:34

  本文關(guān)鍵詞：福建省水利投資效益研究　出處：《福州大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文　論文類(lèi)型：學(xué)位論文

  更多相關(guān)文章： 水利投資效益 因子分析法 誤差修正模型 投資效益評(píng)價(jià) VAR(p)模型 回歸模型

【摘要】：本文立足于福建省,在結(jié)合前人研究成果的基礎(chǔ)上,從模型分析的角度入手,通過(guò)對(duì)水利投資的直接效益和間接效益的分析以及綜合效益的評(píng)價(jià),全面的分析了福建省水資源的開(kāi)發(fā)利用情況,通過(guò)環(huán)境效益、經(jīng)濟(jì)效益、社會(huì)效益對(duì)水利投入效益進(jìn)行了綜合評(píng)價(jià),然后通過(guò)實(shí)證方法來(lái)驗(yàn)證模型。研究水利工程投資的直接效益應(yīng)用的是因子分析法建模,水利工程投資的間接效益分析應(yīng)用的是誤差修正模型,為了得到水利投資對(duì)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)變動(dòng)的間接效益建立了線性回歸模型,水利投資對(duì)城市化的間接效益應(yīng)用的是VAR(p)模型,水利工程投資效益評(píng)價(jià)的綜合分析涵蓋于四大效益中即經(jīng)濟(jì)效益、社會(huì)效益、環(huán)境質(zhì)量、環(huán)境治理等,因此,綜合效益評(píng)價(jià)模型有社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)效益和生態(tài)環(huán)境效益評(píng)價(jià)模型、水利投資利用綜合效益指數(shù)評(píng)價(jià)模型、水利投資利用協(xié)調(diào)性評(píng)價(jià)模型、水利投資利用協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展模型和耦合度模型。本研究中所用到的原始數(shù)據(jù)均來(lái)自于福建省統(tǒng)計(jì)局發(fā)布的統(tǒng)計(jì)年鑒以及福建省水利廳發(fā)布的各年度水利公報(bào),具有可靠性。水利的投資綜合效益評(píng)價(jià)表明,社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)效益和生態(tài)環(huán)境效益指數(shù),以及兩者之間的協(xié)調(diào)度,協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展度和耦合度均呈平穩(wěn)或上升的趨勢(shì)。說(shuō)明福建省社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展速度明顯,生態(tài)環(huán)境勢(shì)態(tài)良好,經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的同時(shí)沒(méi)有對(duì)生態(tài)環(huán)境造成破壞,水利投資利用呈現(xiàn)正向發(fā)展的趨勢(shì),經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展沒(méi)有破壞到生態(tài)環(huán)境,反而相互促進(jìn)相互發(fā)展,水利投資綜合利用效益顯著。同時(shí),本文還針對(duì)一些不足,為以后合理化該區(qū)域的水利項(xiàng)目投資以及提高相關(guān)效益提出建議。
[Abstract]:This article is based on Fujian Province, on the basis of previous research, starting from the view of model analysis, through the evaluation and analysis of water conservancy investment benefits and indirect benefits and comprehensive benefits, comprehensive analysis of the development and utilization of water resources in Fujian Province, through the environmental benefits, economic benefits, social benefits of the comprehensive evaluation of water conservancy investment benefit, and then through the empirical method to verify the model. The application of direct benefit of water conservancy project investment is the factor analysis model, analysis the indirect benefits of investment of water conservancy project is the application of error correction model, in order to get water conservancy investment to establish a linear regression model of the indirect benefits of the change of industrial structure, the application of indirect benefits the city of water conservancy investment is VAR (P) model, a comprehensive analysis of the investment benefit evaluation of water conservancy project covers four major benefits in economic benefit, Social benefits, environmental quality, environmental governance, therefore, the comprehensive benefit evaluation model of social economic benefit and ecological benefit evaluation model of water conservancy investment utilization index evaluation model of water conservancy investment utilization coordination evaluation model, the coordinated development of water conservancy investment model and coupling model. The annual bulletin of water conservancy, statistical yearbook data used in this study are from the Fujian Provincial Bureau of statistics released by the Fujian Provincial Department of water conservancy and released with reliability. Show that the comprehensive evaluation of water conservancy investment benefit, social benefit and ecological environment benefit index, coordination degree and coordinated development degree between the two, and the coupling degree were stable or rising trend. Fujian province social economy development speed obviously, ecological environment and economic development situation is good, does not damage the ecological environment, water conservancy investment utilization The positive trend of economic development, no damage to the ecological environment, but the mutual development and utilization efficiency of water conservancy investment significantly. At the same time, this paper also addresses some deficiencies, for the rationalization of the region water conservancy project investment and improve the efficiency of the relevant recommendations.

【學(xué)位授予單位】：福州大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】：F426.91

【參考文獻(xiàn)】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前10條

1 季倩;谷文林;;江蘇省水利投資現(xiàn)狀分析及對(duì)策研究[J];水利經(jīng)濟(jì);2012年06期

2 吳麗萍;陳寶峰;張旺;;中國(guó)水利投資對(duì)農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)影響的實(shí)證研究[J];技術(shù)經(jīng)濟(jì);2012年10期

3 曾志雄;謝旭洋;漆文邦;;水利投資與國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)關(guān)系的實(shí)證研究[J];水利經(jīng)濟(jì);2012年05期

4 郭衛(wèi)東;穆月英;;我國(guó)水利投資對(duì)糧食生產(chǎn)的影響研究[J];經(jīng)濟(jì)問(wèn)題探索;2012年04期

5 徐波;李偉;;水利投資對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的促進(jìn)作用分析[J];水利發(fā)展研究;2012年03期

6 潘婕;方國(guó)華;高玉琴;;2005～2009年江蘇省水利投資結(jié)構(gòu)分析[J];水電能源科學(xué);2011年06期

7 王海鋒;龐靖鵬;張旺;李勤;;我國(guó)水利投資供求狀況分析[J];水利發(fā)展研究;2011年05期

8 李磊;;我國(guó)水利投資經(jīng)濟(jì)效益的實(shí)證分析[J];農(nóng)村經(jīng)濟(jì)與科技;2011年05期

9 魯仕寶;黃強(qiáng);李雷;吳成國(guó);;水利工程投資效益分析[J];生態(tài)經(jīng)濟(jì);2010年09期

10 孟文;陳奇;肖麗麗;;甘肅省2007年水利投資分析[J];水利發(fā)展研究;2008年07期

，

本文編號(hào)：1392202