安徽省房地產(chǎn)業(yè)投資效率的統(tǒng)計研究
發(fā)布時間:2018-04-05 17:05
本文選題:房地產(chǎn)業(yè) 切入點:投資效率 出處:《安徽財經(jīng)大學(xué)》2016年碩士論文
【摘要】:在國民經(jīng)濟(jì)中,房地產(chǎn)業(yè)具有重要的地位,它是促進(jìn)我國經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的基礎(chǔ)產(chǎn)業(yè)之一。房地產(chǎn)業(yè)的健康發(fā)展可以保證國民經(jīng)濟(jì)的穩(wěn)定發(fā)展,也有助于保障人民房屋需求。房地產(chǎn)業(yè)投資效率為評價房地產(chǎn)業(yè)資源配置水平提供了依據(jù),通過對安徽省房地產(chǎn)業(yè)投資效率進(jìn)行研究,可以對安徽省房地產(chǎn)業(yè)資源配置情況有所了解,分析出安徽省房地產(chǎn)業(yè)投資效率整體水平及地區(qū)之間存在的差異。本文在構(gòu)建房地產(chǎn)業(yè)投資效率評價指標(biāo)體系時,不僅考慮房地產(chǎn)企業(yè)對房地產(chǎn)業(yè)的投入和產(chǎn)出,也考慮了政府對房地產(chǎn)業(yè)的投入和產(chǎn)出,符合我國對房地產(chǎn)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)活動的界定,使得房地產(chǎn)業(yè)投資效率評價指標(biāo)體系進(jìn)一步完善。首先,對安徽省及其地級市房地產(chǎn)業(yè)投資現(xiàn)狀進(jìn)行分析。然后,以安徽省16個地級市為樣本,選取2011—2014年相關(guān)指標(biāo)數(shù)據(jù),運用主成分分析方法對投入指標(biāo)和產(chǎn)出指標(biāo)分別進(jìn)行主成分分析,提取主成分,并計算其主成分得分,將主成分得分變換為正值后的數(shù)據(jù)作為投入指標(biāo)和產(chǎn)出指標(biāo)的數(shù)據(jù)。其次,利用BCC模型和Malmquist指數(shù)模型對安徽省地級市房地產(chǎn)業(yè)投資效率分別進(jìn)行靜態(tài)評價和動態(tài)評價。結(jié)果說明安徽省整體房地產(chǎn)業(yè)投資效率水平不高,只有合肥市房地產(chǎn)業(yè)投資效率在這4年中始終處于較高水平,其他地級市房地產(chǎn)業(yè)投資效率均有所波動;安徽省房地產(chǎn)業(yè)投資效率呈現(xiàn)明顯的地理分布特征,安徽省南部地區(qū)房地產(chǎn)業(yè)投資效率水平較高,北部地區(qū)較低;2011—2014年,安徽省房地產(chǎn)業(yè)投資效率水平有所下降;房地產(chǎn)業(yè)技術(shù)進(jìn)步水平對安徽省房地產(chǎn)業(yè)投資效率的提高具有重要影響。本文還分析了影響房地產(chǎn)業(yè)投資效率的因素,并建立了影響房地產(chǎn)業(yè)投資效率的Tobit模型,進(jìn)行了實證分析。結(jié)果說明城市化水平對安徽省房地產(chǎn)業(yè)投資效率具有顯著的正影響,金融發(fā)展對安徽省房地產(chǎn)業(yè)投資效率具有顯著的負(fù)影響,房地產(chǎn)業(yè)規(guī)模對安徽省房地產(chǎn)業(yè)投資效率的影響雖然不顯著,但是仍然有一定的正影響,經(jīng)濟(jì)增長對安徽省房地產(chǎn)業(yè)投資效率的影響不顯著。最后,將實證結(jié)果進(jìn)行總結(jié),并從房地產(chǎn)企業(yè)和政府兩個主體出發(fā),給出提高安徽省房地產(chǎn)業(yè)投資效率的政策建議。
[Abstract]:In the national economy, the real estate industry has an important position, it is one of the basic industries to promote the economic development of our country. The healthy development of real estate industry can guarantee the stable development of the national economy, but also helps to protect the people's housing needs. Provide the basis for the investment efficiency of real estate industry level resource allocation evaluation of real estate industry based on the research of Anhui Province, the real estate investment efficiency, we can understand the real estate industry of Anhui province resources allocation, analyze the differences between the efficiency of investment in real estate industry of Anhui province and the overall level of the region. Based on the construction of the real estate investment efficiency evaluation index system, considering not only the real estate business of the real the input and output, also consider the input and output of the government of the real estate industry, in line with China's definition of economic activity in the real estate industry, the real estate investment efficiency evaluation To further improve the index system. First, the investment analysis of the present situation of Anhui province and prefecture level city real estate industry. Then, in 16 cities in Anhui Province as the sample, select the relevant indicators data from 2011 to 2014, using the principal component method of input and output index respectively for principal component analysis, principal component extraction, and the calculation of principal component scores, the scores of principal components transform positive data as input index and output index data. Secondly, using BCC model and Malmquist index model of Anhui Province real estate investment efficiency of different static and dynamic evaluation. Results show that the investment efficiency of the overall level of the real estate industry in Anhui province high efficiency, only the investment of real estate in Hefei in the past 4 years has been in high level, other real estate cities industry investment efficiency have fluctuation; Anhui Province Real Estate Investment Capital efficiency has a distinct geographical distribution characteristics, higher investment efficiency level of real estate industry in southern Anhui Province, the northern region is relatively low; from 2011 to 2014, decreased in Anhui Province real estate investment efficiency; the real estate industry has an important impact on technology progress level of investment efficiency of real estate industry in Anhui Province to improve in this paper. We analyzed the factors affecting the efficiency of investment in the real estate industry, and the establishment of the Tobit model on the investment efficiency of the real estate industry, has carried on the empirical analysis. The results show that the city level has the efficiency of investment in Anhui Province, the real estate industry is significant, financial development has a significant negative impact on the efficiency of investment in real estate industry of Anhui province the real estate industry, affecting the efficiency of the scale of investment in the real estate industry in Anhui province is not significant, but still have certain influence, influence the economic growth of Anhui Province Real Estate investment efficiency No significant. Finally, the empirical results are summarized, and from the two main bodies of real estate enterprises and governments, the policy recommendations to improve the investment efficiency of Anhui real estate industry are given.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:安徽財經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2016
【分類號】:F299.23
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