本文選題：農(nóng)業(yè)保險(xiǎn) + 低水平均衡�。� 參考：《南昌大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文

【摘要】：農(nóng)業(yè)作為國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)的基礎(chǔ)，是國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)其他部門得以進(jìn)一步發(fā)展的前提條件，同時(shí)由于農(nóng)業(yè)獨(dú)特生產(chǎn)方式，對(duì)自然環(huán)境高度依賴，然而自然環(huán)境的多變性就決定了農(nóng)業(yè)的弱質(zhì)性，尤其是我國(guó)自然災(zāi)害的頻繁發(fā)生，使現(xiàn)代農(nóng)業(yè)的發(fā)展面臨嚴(yán)峻的挑戰(zhàn)，導(dǎo)致農(nóng)民的收入和農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)處于一種極度不穩(wěn)定的狀態(tài)。農(nóng)業(yè)保險(xiǎn)作為一種有效的農(nóng)業(yè)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)分散機(jī)制，在分散農(nóng)業(yè)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)、分?jǐn)偨?jīng)濟(jì)損失方面有著重要的作用。然而從目前我國(guó)農(nóng)業(yè)的發(fā)展?fàn)顩r看，農(nóng)業(yè)保險(xiǎn)的保障作用似乎并不明顯，我國(guó)的農(nóng)業(yè)保險(xiǎn)市場(chǎng)呈現(xiàn)出“供給不足，需求有限”的低水平均衡狀態(tài)，本文先簡(jiǎn)單的闡述了我國(guó)農(nóng)業(yè)保險(xiǎn)的發(fā)展歷程和現(xiàn)狀，試分析了我國(guó)農(nóng)業(yè)保險(xiǎn)市場(chǎng)供需不足的原因，并運(yùn)用演化博弈理論分析了農(nóng)業(yè)保險(xiǎn)各參與主體的演化博弈行為，分析各博弈主體行為選擇的影響因素，最后結(jié)合我國(guó)的實(shí)際情況，從農(nóng)戶、政府、保險(xiǎn)公司三個(gè)角度提出政策建議，主要包括：①增加農(nóng)民農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)收入，鼓勵(lì)農(nóng)業(yè)技術(shù)創(chuàng)新，鼓勵(lì)農(nóng)戶集約化經(jīng)營(yíng)和專業(yè)化生產(chǎn)；②政府加大財(cái)政補(bǔ)貼力度，完善補(bǔ)貼方式和農(nóng)業(yè)信息服務(wù)體系，并加強(qiáng)農(nóng)業(yè)保險(xiǎn)立法，為農(nóng)業(yè)保險(xiǎn)的開展創(chuàng)造良好的法制環(huán)境；③保險(xiǎn)公司加強(qiáng)農(nóng)險(xiǎn)產(chǎn)品的研發(fā)和創(chuàng)新力度，推出符合市場(chǎng)需求的保險(xiǎn)產(chǎn)品；并且提高自身的經(jīng)營(yíng)管理水平，，降低經(jīng)營(yíng)成本，以促進(jìn)我國(guó)農(nóng)業(yè)保險(xiǎn)達(dá)到更高水平的均衡。 全文共分六章： 第一章，緒論。主要包括本文的選題背景和意義、國(guó)內(nèi)外文獻(xiàn)綜述和研究?jī)?nèi)容，總結(jié)了可能的創(chuàng)新和不足之處。 第二章，相關(guān)理論論述。本章闡述了農(nóng)業(yè)保險(xiǎn)理論以及本文所要運(yùn)用的相關(guān)理論。 第三章，簡(jiǎn)述了我國(guó)農(nóng)業(yè)保險(xiǎn)發(fā)展歷程和發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀。 第四章，我國(guó)農(nóng)業(yè)保險(xiǎn)市場(chǎng)低水平均衡的原因分析。本章從農(nóng)業(yè)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的自身特征、農(nóng)業(yè)保險(xiǎn)市場(chǎng)的信息不對(duì)稱、農(nóng)民非正規(guī)的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)規(guī)避機(jī)制等角度分析了我國(guó)農(nóng)業(yè)保險(xiǎn)市場(chǎng)低水平均衡的原因。 第五章，演化博弈理論的應(yīng)用。本章主要構(gòu)建了三個(gè)演化博弈模型，分別是農(nóng)戶與農(nóng)戶之間、保險(xiǎn)公司與保險(xiǎn)公司之間、保險(xiǎn)公司和農(nóng)戶之間，動(dòng)態(tài)分析了各演化博弈主體的行為選擇。 第六章，結(jié)論、建議及展望。本章以第四章、第五章的分析為基礎(chǔ)進(jìn)行小結(jié)，并分別從農(nóng)戶、政府、保險(xiǎn)公司三個(gè)角度提出改善我國(guó)農(nóng)業(yè)保險(xiǎn)低水平均衡的對(duì)策。
[Abstract]:Agriculture, as the foundation of the national economy, is the prerequisite for the further development of other sectors of the national economy. At the same time, because of the unique mode of production of agriculture, it is highly dependent on the natural environment.However, the variability of the natural environment determines the weak nature of agriculture, especially the frequent occurrence of natural disasters in China, which makes the development of modern agriculture face severe challenges, resulting in the farmers' income and agricultural economy in a state of extreme instability.As an effective mechanism of agricultural risk dispersion, agricultural insurance plays an important role in spreading agricultural risks and distributing economic losses.However, judging from the current situation of agricultural development in China, the function of agricultural insurance is not obvious. The agricultural insurance market of our country presents a low level equilibrium state of "insufficient supply and limited demand".This paper briefly expounds the development course and present situation of agricultural insurance in China, tries to analyze the reasons for the shortage of supply and demand in the agricultural insurance market of our country, and analyzes the evolutionary game behavior of the participants in agricultural insurance by using the evolutionary game theory.This paper analyzes the influencing factors of the behavior choice of the main players of the game, and finally, combining the actual situation of our country, puts forward some policy suggestions from the perspectives of farmers, governments and insurance companies, mainly including: 1 to increase farmers' agricultural production income and to encourage agricultural technological innovation.The government should encourage farmers to strengthen their intensive management and specialized production, improve the subsidy method and agricultural information service system, and strengthen the legislation of agricultural insurance to create a good legal environment for the development of agricultural insurance.(3) Insurance companies should strengthen the R & D and innovation of agricultural insurance products, introduce insurance products that meet the needs of the market, and improve their own management level and reduce their operating costs in order to promote China's agricultural insurance to achieve a higher level of equilibrium.The full text is divided into six chapters:Chapter one, introduction.This paper mainly includes the background and significance of this topic, literature review and research content at home and abroad, and summarizes the possible innovations and shortcomings.The second chapter, the related theory discussion.This chapter describes the theory of agricultural insurance and the relevant theories to be used in this paper.The third chapter, briefly describes the development of agricultural insurance in China and the status quo.The fourth chapter, our country agriculture insurance market low level equilibrium reason analysis.This chapter analyzes the reasons for the low level equilibrium of the agricultural insurance market in China from the aspects of the characteristics of agricultural risks, the asymmetric information in the agricultural insurance market, and the informal risk aversion mechanism of farmers.Chapter five, the application of evolutionary game theory.In this chapter, three evolutionary game models are constructed, which are between farmers and farmers, between insurance companies and insurance companies, and between insurance companies and farmers.Chapter VI, conclusions, recommendations and prospects.This chapter is based on the analysis of the fourth chapter and the fifth chapter, and puts forward the countermeasures to improve the low level equilibrium of agricultural insurance in China from three angles: farmers, governments and insurance companies.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：南昌大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號(hào)】：F842.66;F224.32

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