中國社會保險:地區(qū)差異和經(jīng)濟增長
發(fā)布時間:2018-03-19 11:33
本文選題:社會保險 切入點:養(yǎng)老保險 出處:《復(fù)旦大學》2013年碩士論文 論文類型:學位論文
【摘要】:社會保險問題關(guān)系民生福祉,已成為社會關(guān)注的重要問題。本文研究了中國社會保險和養(yǎng)老保險的省級差異根源以及對經(jīng)濟增長的影響。本文整理了2000-2009年中國全部31個省級社會保險收入支出的詳細數(shù)據(jù),對中國現(xiàn)階段社會保險的地區(qū)差異進行全面的統(tǒng)計描述。實證研究發(fā)現(xiàn),西部地區(qū)社會保險和養(yǎng)老保險收入和支出占GDP比重明顯高于中部和東部地區(qū)。地區(qū)經(jīng)濟發(fā)展水平,老年撫養(yǎng)比,國有經(jīng)濟比重,以及財政對社會保險的補貼指標對社會保險收入和支出均有顯著的正向影響,對外貿(mào)易的影響顯著為負;社會保險基金規(guī)模對經(jīng)濟增長無短期影響。養(yǎng)老保險收入和支出均受到對外貿(mào)易的顯著負影響和財政補貼、城市化水平、人力資本存量的顯著正影響,老年撫養(yǎng)比也存在正影響。養(yǎng)老保險的工資替代率主要受經(jīng)濟發(fā)展水平的影響,與人均GDP水平和FDI顯著負相關(guān),經(jīng)濟越發(fā)達,養(yǎng)老金替代率越低。另外,還與老年人口撫養(yǎng)比負相關(guān),即當繳費率一定時,負擔系數(shù)越高,養(yǎng)老金的替代率越低;中西部地區(qū)養(yǎng)老金負擔較重。這說明,經(jīng)濟發(fā)展水平、國有經(jīng)濟比重、對外開放政策和人口老齡化趨勢是影響地區(qū)社會保險差異的重要因素。
[Abstract]:Social insurance matters to the well-being of the people, This paper studies the root causes of provincial differences between social insurance and old-age insurance in China and its impact on economic growth. This paper collates the detailed data of all 31 provincial social insurance income expenditures in China from 2000 to 2009. This paper makes a comprehensive statistical description of the regional differences in social insurance in China at present. The empirical study shows that the income and expenditure of social insurance and old-age insurance in the western region account for a higher proportion of GDP than in the central and eastern regions, and the level of regional economic development is obviously higher than that in the central and eastern regions. The old-age dependency ratio, the proportion of state-owned economy, and the subsidy index of finance to social insurance have significant positive effects on social insurance income and expenditure, while the influence of foreign trade is significantly negative. The scale of social insurance fund has no short-term impact on economic growth. The income and expenditure of pension insurance are significantly negatively affected by foreign trade and financial subsidies, and the level of urbanization and the stock of human capital have a significant positive impact. There is also a positive impact on old-age dependency ratio. The wage replacement rate of old-age insurance is mainly affected by the level of economic development, and negatively correlated with the per capita GDP level and FDI. The more developed the economy, the lower the pension replacement rate. There is also a negative correlation with the dependency ratio of the elderly population, that is, when the contribution rate is fixed, the higher the burden coefficient, the lower the replacement rate of the pension; the heavier the pension burden is in the central and western regions. This shows that the level of economic development, the proportion of the state-owned economy, The policy of opening to the outside world and the trend of population aging are the important factors influencing the regional social insurance difference.
【學位授予單位】:復(fù)旦大學
【學位級別】:碩士
【學位授予年份】:2013
【分類號】:F842.6
【參考文獻】
相關(guān)期刊論文 前5條
1 柯卉兵;;中國社會保障財政支出的地區(qū)差異問題分析[J];公共管理學報;2009年01期
2 張濤;張若雪;;人力資本與技術(shù)采用:對珠三角技術(shù)進步緩慢的一個解釋[J];管理世界;2009年02期
3 袁志剛;李珍珍;封進;;城市化進程中基本養(yǎng)老保險制度的保障水平研究[J];南開經(jīng)濟研究;2009年04期
4 朱慶芳;1993年各省市區(qū)社會保障水平的比較與評價[J];社會科學研究;1995年05期
5 封進;張馨月;張濤;;經(jīng)濟全球化是否會導(dǎo)致社會保險水平的下降:基于中國省際差異的分析[J];世界經(jīng)濟;2010年11期
,本文編號:1634134
本文鏈接:http://sikaile.net/jingjilunwen/bxjjlw/1634134.html
最近更新
教材專著