基于DEA-Tobit兩步法的城鎮(zhèn)化效率評(píng)價(jià)及其影響因素——從人口城鎮(zhèn)化與土地城鎮(zhèn)化協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展的視角
發(fā)布時(shí)間:2019-04-17 13:28
【摘要】:當(dāng)前我國土地城鎮(zhèn)化超前發(fā)展的大背景下,從人口城鎮(zhèn)化與土地城鎮(zhèn)化協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展的視角研究城鎮(zhèn)化效率具有重要的現(xiàn)實(shí)意義。文章以甘肅省12個(gè)地級(jí)市為研究對(duì)象,選用DEA模型從人口與土地城鎮(zhèn)化協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展的視角評(píng)價(jià)城鎮(zhèn)化動(dòng)態(tài)效率和靜態(tài)效率,并建立面板Tobit回歸模型分析城鎮(zhèn)化靜態(tài)效率的影響因素。結(jié)論表明,2009—2014年12個(gè)城市整體城鎮(zhèn)化效率年均下降9.5%,其中在2014年有7個(gè)城市屬于非DEA有效發(fā)展類型;經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平、外資利用規(guī)模變量對(duì)城鎮(zhèn)化綜合效率并未表現(xiàn)出顯著影響,城市規(guī)模與城鎮(zhèn)化綜合效率呈現(xiàn)"U"型曲線關(guān)系,金融發(fā)展程度、第二產(chǎn)業(yè)比重和第三產(chǎn)業(yè)比重與城鎮(zhèn)化綜合效率正相關(guān),投資率、產(chǎn)權(quán)結(jié)構(gòu)變量與城鎮(zhèn)化綜合效率負(fù)相關(guān)。
[Abstract]:Under the background of the advanced development of land urbanization in China, it is of great practical significance to study the efficiency of urbanization from the perspective of coordinated development of population urbanization and land urbanization. Taking 12 prefectural cities in Gansu Province as the research object, this paper selects the DEA model to evaluate the dynamic and static efficiency of urbanization from the perspective of coordinated development of population and land urbanization. And the panel Tobit regression model is established to analyze the influencing factors of urbanization static efficiency. The results show that the overall urbanization efficiency of 12 cities decreased by 9.5% from 2009 to 2014, among which 7 cities belong to the non-DEA efficient development type in 2014. The level of economic development and the scale of utilization of foreign capital have no significant effect on the comprehensive efficiency of urbanization. The relationship between urban scale and comprehensive efficiency of urbanization is "U" curve, and the degree of financial development is the same. The proportion of the secondary industry and the tertiary industry are positively related to the comprehensive efficiency of urbanization, while the investment rate and the property right structure variable are negatively related to the comprehensive efficiency of urbanization.
【作者單位】: 蘭州理工大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)管理學(xué)院;
【基金】:國家自然科學(xué)基金青年科學(xué)基金項(xiàng)目“核心主體需求視角下區(qū)域旅游環(huán)境承載力研究”(41501597) 甘肅省哲學(xué)社會(huì)科學(xué)規(guī)劃項(xiàng)目“甘肅省人口城鎮(zhèn)化和土地城鎮(zhèn)化協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展研究”(YB035) 蘭州市社會(huì)科學(xué)規(guī)劃項(xiàng)目“蘭州市旅游環(huán)境可持續(xù)承載的區(qū)間多目標(biāo)優(yōu)化研究”(16-007E);蘭州市社會(huì)科學(xué)規(guī)劃項(xiàng)目“供給側(cè)改革背景下蘭州市節(jié)能環(huán)保產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展評(píng)價(jià)及優(yōu)化升級(jí)研究”(16-029D)
【分類號(hào)】:F224;F299.27
本文編號(hào):2459491
[Abstract]:Under the background of the advanced development of land urbanization in China, it is of great practical significance to study the efficiency of urbanization from the perspective of coordinated development of population urbanization and land urbanization. Taking 12 prefectural cities in Gansu Province as the research object, this paper selects the DEA model to evaluate the dynamic and static efficiency of urbanization from the perspective of coordinated development of population and land urbanization. And the panel Tobit regression model is established to analyze the influencing factors of urbanization static efficiency. The results show that the overall urbanization efficiency of 12 cities decreased by 9.5% from 2009 to 2014, among which 7 cities belong to the non-DEA efficient development type in 2014. The level of economic development and the scale of utilization of foreign capital have no significant effect on the comprehensive efficiency of urbanization. The relationship between urban scale and comprehensive efficiency of urbanization is "U" curve, and the degree of financial development is the same. The proportion of the secondary industry and the tertiary industry are positively related to the comprehensive efficiency of urbanization, while the investment rate and the property right structure variable are negatively related to the comprehensive efficiency of urbanization.
【作者單位】: 蘭州理工大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)管理學(xué)院;
【基金】:國家自然科學(xué)基金青年科學(xué)基金項(xiàng)目“核心主體需求視角下區(qū)域旅游環(huán)境承載力研究”(41501597) 甘肅省哲學(xué)社會(huì)科學(xué)規(guī)劃項(xiàng)目“甘肅省人口城鎮(zhèn)化和土地城鎮(zhèn)化協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展研究”(YB035) 蘭州市社會(huì)科學(xué)規(guī)劃項(xiàng)目“蘭州市旅游環(huán)境可持續(xù)承載的區(qū)間多目標(biāo)優(yōu)化研究”(16-007E);蘭州市社會(huì)科學(xué)規(guī)劃項(xiàng)目“供給側(cè)改革背景下蘭州市節(jié)能環(huán)保產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展評(píng)價(jià)及優(yōu)化升級(jí)研究”(16-029D)
【分類號(hào)】:F224;F299.27
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