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我國(guó)工資超勞動(dòng)生產(chǎn)率增長(zhǎng)背后的故事——基于省份面板模型的經(jīng)驗(yàn)分析

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-03-12 19:27

  本文選題:工資 切入點(diǎn):勞動(dòng)生產(chǎn)率 出處:《北京師范大學(xué)學(xué)報(bào)(社會(huì)科學(xué)版)》2017年03期  論文類(lèi)型:期刊論文


【摘要】:近十多年來(lái),我國(guó)實(shí)際工資增長(zhǎng)率持續(xù)超過(guò)勞動(dòng)生產(chǎn)率增長(zhǎng)率。這種現(xiàn)象不僅和我國(guó)低勞動(dòng)力成本優(yōu)勢(shì)的歷史情況不符,也和經(jīng)典的新古典理論相悖,值得深入研究。為此,本文首先納入相對(duì)生產(chǎn)率、勞動(dòng)力供給、勞動(dòng)力轉(zhuǎn)移、投資規(guī)模占比與投資結(jié)構(gòu)三類(lèi)五大結(jié)構(gòu)因素,搭建工資與勞動(dòng)生產(chǎn)率的非一致性變動(dòng)分析框架,然后采集1998—2014年我國(guó)31個(gè)省份數(shù)據(jù)構(gòu)建省份面板模型,從全國(guó)和地區(qū)兩個(gè)層面定量揭示工資超勞動(dòng)生產(chǎn)率增長(zhǎng)背后的結(jié)構(gòu)誘因及其驅(qū)動(dòng)機(jī)理。研究發(fā)現(xiàn):(1)從全國(guó)層面看,五大結(jié)構(gòu)因素引入模型后,工資對(duì)勞動(dòng)生產(chǎn)率的彈性下降40%以上,且每一結(jié)構(gòu)因素均顯著驅(qū)動(dòng)工資超增長(zhǎng),但在趨勢(shì)表現(xiàn)上有很大差異。(2)從地區(qū)層面看,勞動(dòng)生產(chǎn)率水平越高的地區(qū),結(jié)構(gòu)因素對(duì)工資超增長(zhǎng)的驅(qū)動(dòng)作用越強(qiáng)。東部地區(qū)工資超增長(zhǎng)的結(jié)構(gòu)誘因是相對(duì)生產(chǎn)率的提高、勞動(dòng)力供給和農(nóng)村剩余勞動(dòng)力的減少,中部地區(qū)的結(jié)構(gòu)誘因是投資規(guī)模占比擴(kuò)大,而西部地區(qū)的工資增長(zhǎng)則較少受結(jié)構(gòu)因素驅(qū)動(dòng)。上述結(jié)論意味著:我國(guó)應(yīng)在勞動(dòng)生產(chǎn)率增長(zhǎng)的基礎(chǔ)上,充分挖掘和借助結(jié)構(gòu)誘因促使勞動(dòng)者工資合理增長(zhǎng),從而更好地實(shí)現(xiàn)共享發(fā)展。
[Abstract]:In the last decade or so, the growth rate of real wages in China has continued to exceed the growth rate of labor productivity. This phenomenon is not only inconsistent with the historical situation of the advantage of low labor costs in China, but also contradicts the classical neoclassical theory, which is worthy of further study. This paper first introduces five structural factors, namely relative productivity, labor force supply, labor force transfer, investment scale ratio and investment structure, and sets up an analytical framework of inconsistency between wage and labor productivity. Then the data of 31 provinces in China from 1998 to 2014 are collected to construct the provincial panel model to reveal quantitatively the structural inducement and its driving mechanism behind the wage surpassing labor productivity growth at the national and regional levels. After the introduction of the five structural factors into the model, the elasticity of wage to labor productivity decreases by more than 40%, and each structural factor significantly drives the wage overgrowth, but there is a great difference in trend performance. The higher the level of labor productivity, the stronger the driving force of structural factors on wage supergrowth. The structural inducement of wage supergrowth in eastern China is the increase of relative productivity, the decrease of labor supply and the reduction of rural surplus labor force. The structural inducement of the central region is the expansion of the scale of investment, while the wage growth in the western region is less driven by the structural factors. The above conclusion means that our country should base on the growth of labor productivity. Fully excavate and with the help of structural incentives to promote reasonable wage increase, thus better achieve shared development.
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本文編號(hào):1602970

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