發(fā)布時間：2018-02-06 03:22

  本文關(guān)鍵詞： 供給側(cè)改革 房地產(chǎn)投資效率 SBM超效率DEA Malmquist　出處：《安徽理工大學》2017年碩士論文　論文類型：學位論文

【摘要】：21世紀,房地產(chǎn)業(yè)已經(jīng)成為支撐我國經(jīng)濟的重要力量,是影響我國經(jīng)濟增長和社會穩(wěn)定的關(guān)鍵因素。安徽省房地產(chǎn)市場相比于沿海發(fā)達城市起步時間晚,市場化程度也不高,整體發(fā)展水平落后于全國平均水平。當全國范圍內(nèi)的房地產(chǎn)進行大規(guī)模的投資時,安徽沒有任何動靜動;而安徽省房地產(chǎn)業(yè)正式啟動時,全國的房地產(chǎn)投資已趨于飽和。目前安徽省房地產(chǎn)投資雖然也受到宏觀調(diào)控的影響,產(chǎn)生周期性的波動,但是地區(qū)發(fā)展極度不平衡,大量的商品房和住房閑置。隨著競爭的日益加劇和"供給側(cè)改革"思想的提出,安徽房地產(chǎn)業(yè)也面臨調(diào)結(jié)構(gòu),降庫存的問題,因此通過提升房地產(chǎn)業(yè)的投資效率,促進行業(yè)的穩(wěn)定發(fā)展,具有重要的現(xiàn)實意義。本文在對房地產(chǎn)投資效率的相關(guān)理論和文獻進行梳理的基礎(chǔ)上,確定了 SBM超效率模型作為本文的主要模型,其次選取了我國30個省和安徽省16個地級市房地產(chǎn)業(yè)的數(shù)據(jù),運用SBM超效率DEA橫向比較了 2015年安徽省與其他各省房地產(chǎn)業(yè)綜合技術(shù)效率、規(guī)模效率以及純技術(shù)效率以及排名情況,得出了安徽省目前房地產(chǎn)投資雖然處在規(guī)模遞增階段,但是整體效率水平較低,純技術(shù)效率不高是限制我省房地產(chǎn)業(yè)投資效率的關(guān)鍵因素,然后利用2005～2015年的面板數(shù)據(jù)靜態(tài)分析了安徽省16個地級市11年的效率情況,并將皖江城市帶與皖北地區(qū)進行對比分析,利用Malmquist指數(shù)方法測算了各個地區(qū)的全要素生產(chǎn)率值,對安徽省16個地級市的房地產(chǎn)業(yè)相對生產(chǎn)效率動態(tài)變化狀況進行分析。最后在此分析基礎(chǔ)之上,結(jié)合影響房地產(chǎn)投資效率的因素,利用面板回歸模型對安徽省的房地產(chǎn)投資效率影響因素進行分析,提出了提升安徽省房地產(chǎn)投資效率的建議。
[Abstract]:In 21th century, the real estate industry has become an important force to support our economy, which is the key factor to affect the economic growth and social stability. The real estate market in Anhui Province started later than the developed coastal cities. The degree of marketization is not high, the overall level of development lags behind the national average. When large-scale investment in real estate across the country, there is no movement in Anhui; When the real estate industry of Anhui Province officially started, the real estate investment of the whole country has become saturated. At present, the real estate investment in Anhui Province is also affected by macro-control, which produces periodic fluctuations. However, the regional development is extremely unbalanced, a large number of commercial housing and housing idle. With the increasing competition and the idea of "supply-side reform", the real estate industry in Anhui is also facing the problem of adjusting structure and reducing inventory. Therefore, by improving the investment efficiency of the real estate industry and promoting the stable development of the industry, it has important practical significance. The SBM super-efficiency model is determined as the main model of this paper. Secondly, the data of the real estate industry in 30 provinces and 16 prefecture-level cities in Anhui Province are selected. Using SBM super-efficiency DEA, this paper compares the comprehensive technical efficiency, scale efficiency, pure technical efficiency and ranking of real estate industry between Anhui Province and other provinces in 2015. It is concluded that the real estate investment in Anhui Province is at the stage of increasing scale at present, but the overall efficiency level is low, the pure technical efficiency is not high is the key factor to limit the investment efficiency of real estate industry in Anhui Province. Then using the panel data from 2005 to 2015 static analysis of the efficiency of 16 prefecture-level cities in Anhui Province for 11 years and compare the urban belt of Anhui River with that of northern Anhui. The total factor productivity (TFP) of each region is calculated by Malmquist index method. This paper analyzes the dynamic changes of the relative production efficiency of the real estate industry in 16 prefecture-level cities in Anhui Province. Finally, on the basis of the analysis, the paper combines the factors that affect the investment efficiency of the real estate industry. Based on the panel regression model, this paper analyzes the influencing factors of the real estate investment efficiency in Anhui Province, and puts forward some suggestions for improving the real estate investment efficiency in Anhui Province.
【學位授予單位】：安徽理工大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：F299.23

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本文編號：1493456