本文選題：工商協(xié)同　切入點(diǎn)：卷煙投放量　出處：《中國(guó)煙草學(xué)報(bào)》2015年04期 　論文類型：期刊論文

【摘要】：為準(zhǔn)確預(yù)測(cè)卷煙月度投放量,采用時(shí)間序列模型中的季節(jié)變動(dòng)預(yù)測(cè)法,根據(jù)實(shí)際情況改進(jìn)算法,設(shè)定了"下月日均銷量"和"目標(biāo)月存銷比"這兩個(gè)定量調(diào)控預(yù)測(cè)手段,通過存銷比管理,建立了卷煙月度投放量預(yù)測(cè)模型。實(shí)證檢驗(yàn)表明該模型能夠進(jìn)行較為準(zhǔn)確的月度預(yù)測(cè),可以據(jù)此在工商協(xié)同營(yíng)銷系統(tǒng)中創(chuàng)新、優(yōu)化工商月度網(wǎng)上配貨工作。
[Abstract]:In order to accurately predict the monthly cigarette quantity, the seasonal variation forecasting method in the time series model was used to improve the algorithm according to the actual situation, and two quantitative control and prediction methods, "average sales volume next month" and "target monthly ratio of storage and sales", were set up. Through the management of the ratio of storage and sales, the forecast model of monthly cigarette quantity is established, and the empirical test shows that the model can make more accurate monthly forecast, which can be used to innovate in the cooperative marketing system of industry and commerce, and optimize the monthly online distribution of goods for industry and commerce.
【作者單位】： 紅塔煙草(集團(tuán))有限責(zé)任公司 工藝質(zhì)量部;
【分類號(hào)】：F426.8;F274

【參考文獻(xiàn)】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前6條

1 仲東亭;張s，

本文編號(hào)：1630174