本文選題：勞動(dòng)力轉(zhuǎn)移 + 農(nóng)業(yè)補(bǔ)貼�。� 參考：《蘭州大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文

【摘要】：勞動(dòng)力轉(zhuǎn)移與農(nóng)業(yè)政策補(bǔ)貼是我國農(nóng)業(yè)與鄉(xiāng)村近年來改革最重要的兩個(gè)方面本文以勞動(dòng)力轉(zhuǎn)移新經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)理論為基礎(chǔ),結(jié)合農(nóng)業(yè)政策補(bǔ)貼,以降水與熱量為梯度由南向北在隴東黃土高原選取塬區(qū)、河川和山地三種農(nóng)業(yè)類型,分析了勞動(dòng)力轉(zhuǎn)移與農(nóng)業(yè)政策補(bǔ)貼對隴東黃土高原農(nóng)戶生計(jì)的影響機(jī)制,得到如下主要結(jié)果:(1)外出務(wù)工人數(shù)增加1人,中南部糧食作物面積隨之減少0.0342 ha,北部糧食作物隨之增加0.0543 ha,南部經(jīng)濟(jì)作物增加0.0633 ha(P0.05);南部的糧食作物的投入隨之減少214元,經(jīng)濟(jì)作物投入增加725元,總投入增加935元(P0.05);南部經(jīng)濟(jì)作物收益與總收益隨之增加分別為1636與1489元(P0.05)。務(wù)工匯款增加5000元,中南部糧食作物面積隨之減少0.0253 ha,北部隨之增加0.076ha,飼草作物增加0.0217 ha(P0.05),南部經(jīng)濟(jì)作物隨之增加0.0101ha(P0.05),其收益增加576元(P0.05)。農(nóng)業(yè)支持保護(hù)補(bǔ)貼增加1000元,北部糧食作物面積隨之增加0.133 ha,其投入增加833元;中部糧食作物投入減少142元,作物總投入增加1112元,糧食作物總收益減少2265元,北部作物總收益增加86元(P0.05)。(2)外出務(wù)工及匯款增加分別使豬增加0.776與1.039羊單位(P0.05);務(wù)工匯款增加,羊投入隨之減少33元,豬投入增加31元,家畜總投入增加12.8元(P0.05),羊收益隨之減少178元,豬收益增加334元,家畜收益與凈收益增加63與50.3元(P0.05)。退耕還林補(bǔ)貼每增加1000元使家畜數(shù)量增加8羊單位(P0.05),均使羊、豬、家畜投入增加(P0.05),增加家畜收益(P0.05)。(3)務(wù)工人數(shù)增加使北部投入增加151元,隴東地區(qū)收益增加721元,凈收益增長332元;匯款使北部投入增加120元,收益與凈收益增加1469與1021元。農(nóng)業(yè)支持保護(hù)補(bǔ)貼增加1000元使北部投入增加380元,總收益增加130元(P0.05)。(4)務(wù)工人數(shù)的增多使家庭基本消費(fèi)增長,務(wù)工匯款增加使家庭基本消費(fèi)、社交與總消費(fèi)提高,農(nóng)業(yè)補(bǔ)貼提高了教育、醫(yī)療以及家庭總消費(fèi)水平。勞動(dòng)力轉(zhuǎn)移促使家庭結(jié)構(gòu)趨向核心化、年輕化;務(wù)工距離,務(wù)工傷害,務(wù)工時(shí)間,負(fù)債,夫妻長期分居均降低家庭滿意度,增加了家庭破裂的可能性,回家次數(shù)的增加可以降低其負(fù)面影響。(5)農(nóng)戶占比隨投入產(chǎn)出的變化可用Logistic方程擬合,在南部、中部與北部3個(gè)區(qū)域農(nóng)戶占比50.0%拐點(diǎn)處,作物系統(tǒng)的投入和收益分別為6060、1681、2629元和18250、4726、7800元。家畜系統(tǒng)投入和收益分別為10025、2325、3621元和22000、6800、7200元。綜合系統(tǒng)投入和收益分別為7695、2166、5003元,收益為20800、6075、12015元。該點(diǎn)是區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)調(diào)控的關(guān)鍵點(diǎn)。
[Abstract]:Labor force transfer and agricultural policy subsidy are the two most important aspects of agricultural and rural reform in recent years. Based on the theory of new economics of labor force transfer, this paper combines agricultural policy subsidies. Taking precipitation and heat as gradient from south to north, three types of agriculture in Loess Plateau of east Gansu were selected. The influence mechanism of labor force transfer and agricultural policy subsidy on the livelihood of farmers in Longdong Loess Plateau was analyzed. The main results are as follows: (1) when the number of migrant workers increased by 1 person, the area of grain crops in the central and southern parts of the country decreased by 0.0342 haa, the grain crops in the north increased by 0.0543 haa, the cash crops in the south increased by 0.0633 hap 0.05, and the input of food crops in the south decreased by 214 yuan. The cash crop input increased by 725 yuan, the total input increased by 935 yuan (P0.05N), and the southern cash crop income and total income increased by 1636 yuan and 1489 yuan respectively. The remittance of workers increased by 5000 yuan, the area of grain crops decreased by 0.0253 haa, the area of forage crops increased by 0.076 haa in the north, the forage crops increased by 0.0217 hap 0.05, and the cash crops in the south increased by 0.0101 haha P0.05, and the income increased by 576 yuan. The subsidies for agricultural support and protection increased by 1000 yuan, the area of grain crops in the north increased by 0.133 haa, and the input of grain crops increased by 833 yuan, while in the middle of the region, the investment in grain crops decreased by 142 yuan, the total input of crops increased by 1112 yuan, and the total income of grain crops decreased by 2265 yuan. The total income of the northern crops increased by 86 yuan (P0.05). The increase of migrant workers and remittances increased the number of pigs by 0.776 and 1.039 sheep units, respectively. The migrant workers' remittances increased, and the input of sheep decreased by 33 yuan, and the input of pigs increased by 31 yuan. The total investment of livestock increased by 12.8 Yuan / P0.05A, the income of sheep decreased 178 yuan, the income of pig increased 334 yuan, and the income of livestock and net income increased 63 and 50.3 yuan respectively. Each 1000 yuan increase in the subsidy for returning farmland to forestry will increase the number of livestock by 8 sheep units per unit of P0.05, increase the input of sheep, pigs and livestock, increase the income of livestock, increase the number of workers, increase the investment in the north by 1000 yuan, and increase the income in the east of Gansu by 721 yuan. Net income increased 332 yuan, remittances increased investment in the north by 120 yuan, income and net income increased by 1469 yuan and 1021 yuan. The increase of 1000 yuan in agricultural support and protection subsidies increased the investment in the north by 380 yuan, and the total income increased by 130 yuan (P0.05) the number of workers increased the basic consumption of households, and the increase of migrant workers' remittances increased the basic consumption of households, and the social and total consumption increased. Agricultural subsidies have raised the level of education, health care and total household consumption. The shift of labor force makes the family structure become more central and younger; the distance between the workers, the injury of the worker, the working time, the debt, the long-term separation of husband and wife all reduce the satisfaction of the family and increase the possibility of the family breaking up. The increase of the number of home returns can reduce the negative effect. (5) the ratio of farmers to farmers can be fitted by Logistic equation with the change of input and output. In the south, in the middle and in the north, the proportion of farmers accounts for 50.0% of the inflection points. The input and income of crop system are 6060,1681U 2629 Yuan and 18250 Yuan 4726267800 Yuan respectively. The investment and income of livestock system are 10025 / 2325 / 3621 yuan and 2200,000,6800000 / 7200 yuan respectively. The investment and income of the integrated system are 7695U 2166N 5003 Yuan and 20800 RMB6075RMB12015 respectively. This point is the key point of regional economic regulation and control.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：蘭州大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：F323.6;F812.8;F249.27

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