本文選題：財(cái)政支農(nóng)支出 + 農(nóng)村居民生活消費(fèi)��； 參考：《湖南大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文

【摘要】：黨的十八大指出解決好三農(nóng)問題是全黨工作重中之重，凱恩斯的邊際消費(fèi)傾向遞減定律表明，促進(jìn)消費(fèi)的關(guān)鍵是促進(jìn)低收入群體的消費(fèi)需求。我國(guó)是一個(gè)農(nóng)業(yè)大國(guó)，財(cái)政政策作為重要的宏觀調(diào)控手段，在調(diào)整農(nóng)村居民生活消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)、引導(dǎo)農(nóng)民消費(fèi)方向等方面意義重大。 本文以財(cái)政支農(nóng)支出對(duì)農(nóng)村居民生活消費(fèi)的影響為切入點(diǎn)，，依托1978-2012年度的時(shí)間序列數(shù)據(jù)，運(yùn)用計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)的理論和灰色關(guān)聯(lián)理論，研究財(cái)政支農(nóng)支出與農(nóng)村居民生活消費(fèi)之間的內(nèi)在關(guān)系和聯(lián)系。本文首先對(duì)財(cái)政支出對(duì)居民生活消費(fèi)影響的理論機(jī)制進(jìn)行了分析，并選取了基于消費(fèi)者最優(yōu)行為選擇理論的財(cái)政支出對(duì)居民消費(fèi)的影響機(jī)制作為本文研究的理論基礎(chǔ)，其次對(duì)財(cái)政支農(nóng)支出和農(nóng)村居民生活消費(fèi)的總體及結(jié)構(gòu)現(xiàn)狀分別進(jìn)行了分析和研究，分別對(duì)其目前存在的問題進(jìn)行了分析和總結(jié)。在實(shí)證分析過(guò)程中，為解決統(tǒng)計(jì)口徑改變，確保數(shù)據(jù)的完整性及研究的準(zhǔn)確性的問題，將研究分兩個(gè)階段進(jìn)行，第一階段（1978-2006）建立了計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)模型，運(yùn)用計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)的方法進(jìn)行了研究分析兩者之間的關(guān)系，第二階段（2007-2012）采用了解決樣本小、信息量不完全問題的灰色關(guān)聯(lián)分析方法進(jìn)行研究分析，兩個(gè)階段的研究得出結(jié)論農(nóng)村居民人均收入是影響農(nóng)村居民生活消費(fèi)的重要因素和財(cái)政支農(nóng)支出對(duì)農(nóng)村居民生活消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)具有調(diào)節(jié)機(jī)制。最后在實(shí)證分析結(jié)論的基礎(chǔ)上，結(jié)合我國(guó)目前財(cái)政支農(nóng)支出和農(nóng)村居民生活消費(fèi)存在的問題及當(dāng)前的實(shí)際情況，提出了相應(yīng)的政策建議：一要加大支持力度，確保財(cái)政支農(nóng)支出總量，二要優(yōu)化財(cái)政支農(nóng)投入結(jié)構(gòu)，調(diào)節(jié)農(nóng)村居民生活消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)，三要拓展增收渠道，確保農(nóng)村居民收入倍增，促進(jìn)農(nóng)村居民生活消費(fèi)，四要轉(zhuǎn)變消費(fèi)觀念，為消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化創(chuàng)造良好的主觀條件。
[Abstract]:The 18th National Congress of the Party pointed out that it is the most important task of the whole party to solve the problems of agriculture, countryside and farmers, and Keynes's law of decreasing marginal consumption tendency shows that the key to promoting consumption is to promote the consumption demand of low-income groups.China is a large agricultural country. As an important means of macro-control, fiscal policy is of great significance in adjusting the consumption structure of rural residents and guiding the direction of farmers' consumption.Based on the time series data of 1978-2012 and the econometrics theory and grey correlation theory, this paper takes the impact of fiscal expenditure on the rural residents' living consumption as the starting point and relies on the time series data of 1978-2012.This paper studies the internal relationship and relation between the expenditure of supporting agriculture and the living consumption of rural residents.This paper firstly analyzes the theoretical mechanism of the influence of fiscal expenditure on residents' living consumption, and selects the influence mechanism of fiscal expenditure on residents' consumption based on the theory of consumer's optimal behavior choice as the theoretical basis of this paper.Secondly, the paper analyzes and studies the overall and structural status of the financial expenditure for agriculture and the living consumption of rural residents, respectively, and analyzes and summarizes the existing problems respectively.In the process of empirical analysis, in order to solve the problem of statistical caliber change, to ensure the integrity of data and the accuracy of research, the research is divided into two stages, the first stage is 1978-2006) the econometric model is established.The relationship between the two is studied and analyzed by econometrics method. The second stage (2007-2012) adopts the grey relational analysis method to solve the problem of small sample size and incomplete information.It is concluded that the per capita income of rural residents is an important factor that affects the living consumption of rural residents and that the financial support for agriculture expenditure has a regulating mechanism on the structure of rural residents' living consumption.Finally, on the basis of the conclusion of empirical analysis, combined with the problems existing in our country's current financial support for agriculture expenditure and rural residents' living consumption and the current actual situation, the corresponding policy suggestions are put forward: first, we should increase the support strength.To ensure the total amount of financial support for agriculture, second, to optimize the structure of financial support for agriculture, to adjust the structure of living and consumption of rural residents, third, to expand the channels of income increase, to ensure that the income of rural residents is doubled, to promote rural residents' living consumption, and fourth, to change the concept of consumption,To optimize the consumption structure to create good subjective conditions.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：湖南大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號(hào)】：F812.8;F323.8

【參考文獻(xiàn)】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前10條

1 陳太明;;中國(guó)財(cái)政支出與居民消費(fèi)的實(shí)證研究[J];山東工商學(xué)院學(xué)報(bào);2007年05期

2 李樹培;白戰(zhàn)偉;;改革開放三十年政府支出與居民消費(fèi)關(guān)系的動(dòng)態(tài)演變——基于時(shí)變參數(shù)模型的考察[J];財(cái)經(jīng)科學(xué);2009年09期

3 呂煒;孫永軍;范輝;;社會(huì)公平、財(cái)政支農(nóng)與農(nóng)村消費(fèi)需求[J];財(cái)經(jīng)科學(xué);2010年01期

4 孫慧鈞;;中國(guó)西部地區(qū)農(nóng)村居民消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)分析——以陜西省農(nóng)村居民消費(fèi)為例[J];財(cái)經(jīng)問題研究;2007年03期

5 洪源;;政府民生消費(fèi)性支出與居民消費(fèi):理論詮釋與中國(guó)的實(shí)證分析[J];財(cái)貿(mào)經(jīng)濟(jì);2009年10期

6 隨新玉;美歐(盟)財(cái)政支農(nóng)政策比較與啟示[J];財(cái)政研究;2004年05期

7 謝建國(guó),陳漓高;政府支出與居民消費(fèi)——一個(gè)基于跨期替代模型的中國(guó)經(jīng)驗(yàn)分析[J];當(dāng)代經(jīng)濟(jì)科學(xué);2002年06期

8 方鴻;;財(cái)政補(bǔ)貼性支出對(duì)城鎮(zhèn)居民消費(fèi)的影響——基于省級(jí)面板數(shù)據(jù)的實(shí)證研究[J];發(fā)展研究;2010年02期

9 段濤;;財(cái)政支農(nóng)支出對(duì)農(nóng)村居民消費(fèi)的影響分析——基于東、中、西部面板數(shù)據(jù)的實(shí)證研究[J];改革與戰(zhàn)略;2011年10期

10 胡東蘭;田侃;夏杰長(zhǎng);;中國(guó)財(cái)政支農(nóng)支出對(duì)農(nóng)村居民消費(fèi)影響——實(shí)證分析與政策建議[J];財(cái)政研究;2013年01期

本文編號(hào)：1758488